Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey

• Rand Paul (R) 49% {51%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (59%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (38%)
• Jack Conway (D) 38% {38%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [41%] (34%) {38%} [36%] (34%) {39%} [38%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rand Paul 56% {56%} [58%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (69%) {56%} [53%] (57%) {54%} [57%] (51%) / 39% {39%} [36%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (28%) {31%} [33%] (26%) {26%} [25%] (23%) {+17%}
• Jack Conway 46% {45%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (44%) [47%} [44%] (40%) {47%} [46%] (49%) / 45% {48%} [43%] (40%) {35%} [43%] (45%) {36%} [39%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (27%) {+1%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 24% {22%} [20%] (25%) {24%} [21%] (21%) {28%} [24%] (20%) {28%} [22%] (29%)
• Somewhat approve 16% {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {14%} [19%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {11%} [10%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [13%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 53% {53%} [53%] (48%) {46%} [51%] (51%) {48%} [53%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (41%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% Democrat; 38% Republican; 16% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While 82% of Republicans support Paul, just 67% of Democrats support their party's candidate. Paul holds an 18-point lead over Conway among voters not affiliated with either major political party.