Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 41% [40%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (45%)
• Other 4% [3%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 6% [8%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (7%)

With Leaners

• John Kasich (R) 50% [50%] (52%) {52%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 42% [43%] (40%) {42%}
• Other 3% [2%] (4%) {2%}
• Not sure 4% [5%] (4%) {4%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Kasich (R) 54% [55%] (55%) {56%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 46% [45%] (45%) {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 51% [50%] (48%) {51%} [47%] (49%) {44%} (51%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [45%] (47%) / 37% [37%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} (27%) {29%} [29%] (30%) [24%] (25%) {+14%}
• Ted Strickland 46% [39%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {44%} (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) [46%] (48%) / 52% [55%] (53%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) [46%] (46%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job Ted Strickland has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% [14%] (14%) {18%} [17%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (15%)
• Somewhat approve 22% [27%] (25%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (35%) {32%} [29%] (33%) {28%} [37%] (32%)
• Somewhat disapprove 18% [21%] (29%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {32%} [27%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% [36%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [24%] (26%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 30% Republican; 29% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Kasich earns 92% of the Republican vote in the state. Eighty percent (80%) of Ohio Democrats support Strickland. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the GOP candidate leads by 33 points.