Friday, September 24, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey
  • Tom Emmer (R) 36% (36%) {36%} [37%] (35%)
  • Mark Dayton (D) 34% (45%) {40%} [35%] (38%)
  • Tom Horner (I) 18% (10%) {10%} [12%] (7%)
  • Not sure 8% (10%) {14%} [16%] (20%)
With Leaners
  • Tom Emmer (R) 42%
  • Mark Dayton (D) 41%
  • Tom Horner (I) 9%
  • Other 6%
  • Not sure 2%
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Mark Dayton (D) 47%
  • Tom Emmer (R) 44%
  • Tom Horner (I) 9%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Horner 50% (35%) / 33% (36%) {+17%}
  • Tom Emmer 46% (40%) {43%} [45%] (38%) / 42% (50%) {40%} [31%] (26%) {+4%}
  • Mark Dayton 48% (53%) {46%} [48%] (44%) / 46% (43%) {45%} [39%] (45%) {+2%}
How would you rate the job Tim Pawlenty has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 24% (25%) {24%} [22%]
  • Somewhat approve 28% (23%) {25%} [30%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 16% (13%) {17%} [10%]
  • Strongly disapprove 31% (37%) {32%} [36%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 28% (28%) {32%} [36%] (31%)
  • Somewhat approve 20% (19%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 9% (11%) {12%} [12%] (11%)
  • Strongly disapprove 43% (41%) {38%} [34%] (38%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 22, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 36% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Minnesota Republicans support Emmer. Dayton has the backing of 82% of the state’s Democrats. Horner is favored by three percent (3%) of GOP voters and 10% of Democrats.
Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, 32% favor Emmer, 33% Dayton and 17% Horner.

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