Saturday, September 25, 2010

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% {38%} [32%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 28% {33%} [38%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 23% {18%} [19%]
  • Undecided 9% {11%} [11%] 
Among Democrats
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 44% {36%} [36%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 37% {45%} [48%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 10% {7%} [4%]
  • Undecided 9% {12%} [12%]
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 75% {77%} [70%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 18% {14%} [18%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 1% {1%} [3%]
  • Undecided 6% {8%} [9%] 
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38% {31%} [19%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 27% {44%} [55%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 20% {13%} [13%]
  • Undecided 15% {12%} [13%] 
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47% {46%} [37%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 25% {29%} [37%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 20% {16%} [16%]
  • Undecided 8% {9%} [10%]
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 33% {31%} [27%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31% {36%} [39%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 26% {20%} [22%]
  • Undecided 10% {13%} [12%] 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 44% {41%} [35%] (27%) / 34% {35%} [28%] (17%) {+10%}
  • Kendrick Meek 32% {26%} [17%] (15%) / 27% {37%} [11%] (8%) {+5%}
  • Charlie Crist 35% {39%} [41%] (37%) / 36% {35%} [31%] (31%) {-1%}
Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted September 20-22, 2010.  The margin of error for each survey is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Party ID breakdown: 44% {44%} [43%] Democrat; 40% {39%} [38%] Republican; 16% {17%} [19%] Independent/Other.

2 comments:

Aron said...

All of the recent polls for this race are now pretty much in line with one another...

Mason-Dixon (9/20-22): Rubio 40%; Crist 28%; Meek 23%
Rasmussen (9/14-14): Rubio 41%; Crist 30%; Meek 23%
Reuters/Ipsos (9/10-12): Rubio 40%; Crist 26%; Meek 21%

Aron said...

Democrat Kendrick Meek advances uphill in Senate race against Crist, Rubio

In a quietly arranged phone call Wednesday night, about 80 black elected officials backing Democratic Senate candidate Kendrick Meek got their marching orders.

"I told them not to buy into the illusion that Kendrick can't win," said Democratic U.S. Rep. Alcee Hastings, who made his own historic bid for the U.S. Senate four decades ago. "I told them about the historic significance of having an African-American candidate win in the South and setting the stage for President (Barack) Obama's re-election in 2012. I told them to tell any candidate that comes through their area that they can't support them unless they are visibly supporting Meek."

The parade of establishment figures is aimed at voters like Natalie Mayeri of Pembroke Pines, who says she was "born a Democrat'' but plans to vote for Crist.

"Meek is weak," the 90-year-old Mayeri whispered after hearing Crist speak at her retirement community last week. "Meek hasn't done anything in office. … I think he means well but Crist is the stronger of the two."

It's not uncommon to find Democrats who view Meek as a lackluster congressman riding his mother's coattails. His career was blemished when a developer for whom he sought federal budget earmarks, Dennis Stackhouse, was charged with stealing $1 million from a failed project in his district.

A prominent Democratic fundraiser who is backing Crist, Orlando attorney John Morgan, told MSNBC earlier this month: "The only votes Kendrick Meek will get are from African-Americans and those who just see a 'D' next to the candidate's name and vote Democratic."