Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 41% (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
• Other 3% (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 5% (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Marco Rubio (R) 54% (53%) [56%]
• Charlie Crist (I) 27% (21%) [25%]
• Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (26%) [19%]

Among Voters Not Certain of Their Vote

• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (52%) [45%]
• Kendrick Meek (D) 30% (22%) [29%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 26% (26%) [26%]

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 41% (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 41% (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 9% (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
• Other 4% (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
• Not Sure 5% (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 78% (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 15% (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 2% (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
• Other 2% (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
• Not Sure 4% (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 38% (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 28% (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 22% (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
• Other 5% (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
• Not Sure 7% (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 50% (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 35% (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 6% (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
• Other (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
• Not Sure (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 46% (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 27% (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 18% (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Other 3% (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
• Not Sure 6% (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 69% (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 15% (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 8% (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
• Other 3% (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 4% (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 26% (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20% (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
• Other 2% (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 4% (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 36% (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 33% (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
• Other 4% (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
• Not Sure 6% (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 49% (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 12% (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
• Other 3% (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 6% (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}

Among Blacks

• Kendrick Meek (D) 58% (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 25% (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 6% (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
• Other 5% (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
• Not Sure 6% (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}

Among Hispanics/Other

• Kendrick Meek (D) 48% (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 32% (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 15% (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
• Other 5% (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
• Not Sure 0% (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 57% (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 40% (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+17%}
• Marco Rubio 54% (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 39% (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+15%}
• Kendrick Meek 40% (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 50% (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-10%} 

How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 17% (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
• Somewhat approve 38% (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 23% (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 21% (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
• Somewhat approve 14% (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
• Somewhat disapprove 5% (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 47% (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% (40%) Republican; 35% (34%) Democrat; 25% (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 79% (78%) White; 21% (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.