SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 43% {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 8% {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 3% {4%} [6%] (8%)

Among Democrats

• Jerry Brown (D) 77% {66%} [74%] (64%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 14% {20%} [16%] (20%)
• Other 5% {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Undecided 4% {5%} [5%] (10%)

Among Republicans

• Meg Whitman (R) 78% {82%} [78%] (77%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 12% {8%} [10%] (11%)
• Other 9% {9%} [5%] (6%)
• Undecided 2% {2%} [7%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Meg Whitman (R) 49% {59%} [49%] (47%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 38% {31%} [33%] (37%)
• Other 11% {7%} [11%] (10%)
• Undecided 2% {3%} [7%] (5%)

Among Moderates

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% {44%} [51%] (43%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 40% {41%} [37%] (44%)
• Other 7% {10%} [6%] (3%)
• Undecided 3% {5%} [6%] (9%)

Among Men

• Meg Whitman (R) 47% {50%] [50%] (50%)
• Jerry Brown (D) 44% {36%} [35%] (37%)
• Other 7% {11%} [8%] (7%)
• Undecided 2% {3%} [5%] (6%)

Among Women

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% {44%} [51%] (42%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 39% {45%} [38%] (41%)
• Other 9% {7%} [4%] (8%)
• Undecided 3% {4%} [7%] (10%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 49% {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43% {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 6% {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% {1%} [5%] (5%)

Among Democrats

• Barbara Boxer (D) 81% {79%} [73%] (76%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 12% {16%} [14%] (18%)
• Other 5% {4%} [9%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% {1%} [5%] (4%)

Among Republicans

• Carly Fiorina (R) 84% {91%} [87%] (83%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 10% {4%} [10%] (9%)
• Other 5% {5%} [0%] (3%)
• Undecided 1% {0%} [2%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Carly Fiorina (R) 47% {58%} [49%] (49%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 43% {35%} [32%] (40%)
• Other 9% {5%} [9%] (6%)
• Undecided 1% {3%} [11%] (5%)

Among Moderates

• Barbara Boxer (D) 53% {57%} [45%] (52%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 37% {36%} [42%] (40%)
• Other 8% {5%} [7%] (2%)
• Undecided 2% {2%} [6%] (5%)

Among Men

• Carly Fiorina (R) 49% {54%} [52%] (53%)
• Barbara Boxer (D) 45% {41%} [37%] (41%)
• Other 4% {4%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% {1%} [4%] (3%)

Among Women

• Barbara Boxer (D) 53% {51%} [47%] (49%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% {42%} [41%] (41%)
• Other 7% {5%} [6%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% {1%} [6%] (6%)

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 47% {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 42% {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 11% {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 33% {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 41% {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 610 likely voters was conducted September 19-21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 33% {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 23% {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 42% {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 29% {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 22% {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Abortion: 59% {59%} [58%] (57%) Pro-choice; 36% {36%} [37%] (37%) Pro-life.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.