Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45% [48%] (46%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 42% [42%] (38%) {45%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%){43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%) 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59% [65%] (56%) {63%} [60%] (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [30%] (33%) {28%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (46%) {52%} [54%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%){51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 44% [44%] (45%) {42%} [41%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% [53%] (47%) {53%} [55%] (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% [48%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% [47%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 42% [41%] (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 49% [50%] (49%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-7%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 41% [38%] (41%) {36%} [41%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 46% [47%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-5%}
• Barack Obama 40% [41%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-9%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% [65%] (55%) {64%} [58%] (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 34% [30%] (39%) {30%} [36%] (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 30% [25%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 58% [65%] (59%) {61%} [57%] (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-28%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 47% [46%] (51%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {-2%}
• Barack Obama 44% [44%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 52% [52%] (51%) {56%} [54%] (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-8%}    

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [52%] (46%) {52%} [51%] (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 44% [42%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 40% [39%] (41%) {35%} [35%] (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 50% [53%] (46%) {48%} [54%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [47%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% [49%] (53%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 45% [46%] (48%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 7% [7%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 42% [43%] (39%) {43%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

Did Mitt Romney's behavior on his recent trip overseas make you think he is more or less ready to be President, or did it not change your opinion?

• More ready 18% 
• Less ready 44%
• Didn't change opinion 36%

Among Independents

• More ready 19% 
• Less ready 42%
• Didn't change opinion 37%

Among Moderates

• More ready 11% 
• Less ready 56%
• Didn't change opinion 32%

Among Men

• More ready 23% 
• Less ready 41%
• Didn't change opinion 34%

Among Women

• More ready 14% 
• Less ready 46%
• Didn't change opinion 37%

When Mitt Romney chooses a candidate for Vice President, do you think he will be more concerned with picking someone who will be qualified to serve as President in an emergency or picking someone who will give him a better chance of winning the election?

• Someone who will give him a better chance to win 61%
• Someone who will be qualified to be President 29%
• Both equally 8%

Among Republicans

• Someone who will be qualified to be President 51%
• Someone who will give him a better chance to win 37%
• Both equally 10%

Among Independents

• Someone who will give him a better chance to win 64%
• Someone who will be qualified to be President 26%
• Both equally 9%

Among Moderates

• Someone who will give him a better chance to win 69%
• Someone who will be qualified to be President 21%
• Both equally 7%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted August 2-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 34% [34%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 29% [27%] (29%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 46% [44%] (42%) {47%} [41%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 38% [39%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 16% [17%] (19%) {13%} [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012are in parentheses.