Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
Suppose some of the bigger names decided not to run for President in 2012 and you had a choice between Rudy Giuliani, Tim Pawlenty, John Thune, Mitch Daniels, John Huntsman, Herman Cain, Mike Pence and Haley Barbour…for whom would you vote?
  • Rudy Giuliani 29%
  • Tim Pawlenty 17% (9%)
  • Mitch Daniels 5% (2%)
  • Haley Barbour 5% (8%)
  • Mike Pence 4% (3%)
  • Herman Cain 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 4%
  • John Thune 3% (3%)
  • Some other candidate 11% (13%)
  • Undecided 19% (19%)
Note: In the poll conducted November 1, 2010, Chris Christie received 22%, Ron Paul, 14%, and Jim DeMint, 7%.

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted January 18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Giuliani is the leading vote-getter across virtually all demographic categories.
As in the survey of front-runners, there’s little difference of opinion on the candidates between male and female primary voters. Younger voters express much stronger interest in Giuliani than their elders.

Tea Party members like Pawlenty, Pence and Cain slightly more than non-members do. Non-members feel a bit more strongly about Giuliani and Daniels than do those who say they are part of the grass roots movement.

Primary voters who describe themselves as somewhat conservative or moderate/liberal are more strongly supportive of Giuliani than those who call themselves very conservative are.

Giuliani and Pawlenty are tied among Evangelical Christian primary voters, but the former mayor best known for his response to the 9/11 terrorist attacks leads among other Protestants, Catholics and those of other religions.

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