Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 50% (47%)
• Mike Huckabee 38% (43%)

• Barack Obama 51% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (46%)

• Barack Obama 56% (52%)
• Sarah Palin 30% (40%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 87% (81%)
• Mitt Romney 8% (11%)

• Barack Obama 88% (83%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% (10%)

• Barack Obama 89% (85%)
• Sarah Palin 6% (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 81% (86%)
• Barack Obama 8% (7%)

• Mitt Romney 81% (87%)
• Barack Obama 10% (6%)

• Sarah Palin 66% (78%)
• Barack Obama 16% (12%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 45% (42%)
• Mike Huckabee 40% (40%)

• Barack Obama 47% (39%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (47%)

• Barack Obama 57% (52%)
• Sarah Palin 29% (35%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% (53%)
• Mitt Romney 30% (38%)

• Barack Obama 56% (55%)
• Mike Huckabee 29% (31%)

• Barack Obama 69% (68%)
• Sarah Palin 17% (26%)

Among Conservatives

• Mike Huckabee 68% (67%)
• Barack Obama 23% (25%)

• Mitt Romney 65% (67%)
• Barack Obama 24% (23%)

• Sarah Palin 58% (64%)
• Barack Obama 28% (26%)

Among Liberals

• Barack Obama 85% (78%)
• Mitt Romney 8% (13%)

• Barack Obama 85% (80%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% (10%)

• Barack Obama 85% (83%)
• Sarah Palin 7% (13%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 47% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (47%)

• Barack Obama 47% (49%)
• Mike Huckabee 41% (42%)

• Barack Obama 52% (53%)
• Sarah Palin 35% (40%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% (44%)
• Mike Huckabee 36% (43%)

• Barack Obama 54% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 36% (44%)

• Barack Obama 60% (50%)
• Sarah Palin 27% (39%)

Northeast

• Barack Obama 53% (53%)
• Mike Huckabee 30% (37%)

• Barack Obama 54% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 30% (43%)

• Barack Obama 59% (58%)
• Sarah Palin 22% (36%)

Midwest

• Barack Obama 54% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (43%)

• Barack Obama 55% (47%)
• Mike Huckabee 38% (42%)

• Barack Obama 63% (52%)
• Sarah Palin 27% (39%)

South

• Barack Obama 46% (42%)
• Mike Huckabee 43% (49%)

• Barack Obama 49% (36%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (53%)

• Barack Obama 52% (45%)
• Sarah Palin 35% (47%)

West

• Barack Obama 48% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (38%)

• Barack Obama 47% (48%)
• Mike Huckabee 38% (36%)

• Barack Obama 54% (58%)
• Sarah Palin 32% (32%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 48% (42%)
• Disapprove 43% (50%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 84% (74%)
• Disapprove 9% (21%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 9% (7%)
• Disapprove 83% (87%)

Among Independents

• Approve 44% (39%)
• Disapprove 44% (52%)

Overall, do you have a favorable or  an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? 

• Favorable 53%
• Unfavorable 40% 

Among Democrats

• Favorable 85% 
• Unfavorable 9% 

Among Republicans

• Favorable 14% 
• Unfavorable 76% 

Among Independents

• Favorable 53%
• Unfavorable 42%

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

• Strongly support Tea Party 9% (10%)
• Support Tea Party 20% (19%)
• Do not support Tea Party 63% (62%)

Among Democrats

• Strongly support Tea Party 2% (1%)
• Support Tea Party 9% (6%)
• Do not support Tea Party 83% (87%)

Among Republicans

• Strongly support Tea Party 17% (21%)
• Support Tea Party 30% (34%)
• Do not support Tea Party 42% (34%)

Among Independents

• Strongly support Tea Party 9% (12%)
• Support Tea Party 23% (18%)
• Do not support Tea Party 60% (62%)

The Republicans have control of the House of Representatives. Which comes 

closer to your view about what you think should happen: 

• The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 71%
• The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 23%

Among Democrats

• The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 92%
• The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 6%

Among Republicans

• The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 46%
• The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 47%

Among Independents

• The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 73%
• The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 23%

Which one of the following comes closest to your opinion about what Congress should do with the 2010 Health Care Law: 

• Let it stand 14%
• Change it so it does more 35%
• Change it so it does less 13%
• Repeal it completely 30%

Among Democrats

• Let it stand 23%
• Change it so it does more 51%
• Change it so it does less 8%
• Repeal it completely 9%

Among Republicans

• Let it stand 4%
• Change it so it does more 17%
• Change it so it does less 14%
• Repeal it completely 57%

Among Independents

• Let it stand 14%
• Change it so it does more 34%
• Change it so it does less 16%
• Repeal it completely 29%

Survey of 827 registered voters was conducted January 6-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% (37%) Democrat; 28% (28%) Republican; 36% (33%) Independent. Political ideology: 42% (46%) Conservative; 34% (34%) Moderate; 23% (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.