Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 74% [76%] {77%} (75%) [77%] {76%} (73%) [73%] {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 16% [14%] {13%} (14%) [15%] {15%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+58%}
• Mitt Romney 66% [67%] {71%} (72%) [72%] {74%} (71%) [71%] {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 24% [23%] {18%} (19%) [20%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+42%}
• Newt Gingrich 65% [67%] {66%} (63%) [64%] {61%} (61%) [61%] {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 27% [27%] {27%} (30%) [30%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+38%}
• Rick Santorum 58% [62%] {62%} (61%) [65%] {65%} (60%) [63%] {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 25% [23%] {24%} (23%) [19%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+33%}
• Rick Perry 60% [60%] {63%} (68%) [71%] {74%} (73%) [73%] {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 29% [30%] {27%} (21%) [17%] {15%} (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+31%}
• Michele Bachmann 56% [57%] {59%} (59%) [62%] {65%} (64%) [67%] {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 34% [33%] {32%} (31%) [29%] {29%} (27%) [24%] {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+22%}
• Ron Paul 55% [53%] {53%} (56%) [57%] {57%} (59%) [61%] {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 34% [36%] {35%} (33%) [32%] {34%} (30%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+21%}
• Jon Huntsman 46% [52%] {54%} (50%) [51%] {53%} (53%) [50%] {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 36% [34%] {31%} (31%) [32%] {32%} (34%) [34%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+10%}

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 33% [35%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [26%] {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 41% [41%] {42%} (44%) [50%] {51%} (49%) [47%] {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 13% [12%] {12%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 16% [19%] {18%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 50% [48%] {53%} (55%) [55%] {55%} (52%) [56%] {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 20% [19%] {14%} (16%) [17%] {15%} (17%) [16%] {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% [4%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 18% [19%] {18%} (16%) [16%] {15%} (13%) [13%] {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 47% [48%] {48%} (47%) [48%] {46%} (48%) [48%] {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 21% [22%] {22%} (24%) [24%] {25%} (27%) [25%] {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% [5%] {5%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 11% [12%] {12%} (12%) [13%] {12%} (11%) [13%] {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 47% [50%] {50%} (49%) [52%] {53%} (49%) [50%] {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 22% [21%] {22%} (20%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% [2%] {2%} (3%) [2%] {2%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 11% [11%] {13%} (19%) [25%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 49% [49%] {50%} (49%) [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 22% [23%] {21%} (17%) [14%] {12%} (12%) [10%] {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 7% [7%] {6%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 11% [12%] {11%} (12%) [15%] {17%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 45% [45%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 26% [24%] {25%} (24%) [22%] {23%} (21%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 8% [9%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 11% [10%] {9%} (10%) [12%] {13%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 44% [43%] {44%} (46%) [45%] {44%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 28% [28%] {28%} (27%) [26%] {28%} (25%) [23%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% [8%] {7%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 4% [6%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 42% [46%] {49%} (46%) [45%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 30% [29%] {27%} (26%) [27%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% [5%] {4%} (5%) [5%] {4%} (6%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Herman Cain +30% [+34%] {+34%} (+30%) [+26%] {+24%} (+22%) [+24%] {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Mitt Romney +13% [+15%] {+14%} (+13%) [+14%] {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Newt Gingrich +12% [+13%] {+13%} (+11%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
• Rick Santorum +8% [+10%] {+10%} (+8%) [+11%] {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Rick Perry +5% [+4%] {+7%} (+15%) [+22%] {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Ron Paul +5% [+2%] {+2%} (+3%) [+6%] {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Michele Bachmann +3% [+4%] {+4%} (+5%) [+8%] {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Jon Huntsman -2% [+1%] {+1%} (-1%) [+1%] {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}

Name Recognition

• Mitt Romney 88% [88%] {85%} (83%) [84%] {85%} (86%) [88%] {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Newt Gingrich 87% [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {86%} (86%) [86%] {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Rick Perry 85% [82%] {80%} (80%) [79%] {76%} (75%) [74%] {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Michele Bachmann 83% [85%] {84%} (84%) [83%] {84%} (84%) [84%] {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Ron Paul 80% [80%] {78%} (79%) [80%] {82%} (81%) [79%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Herman Cain 78% [69%] {61%} (55%) [51%] {50%} (48%) [48%] {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Rick Santorum 57% [55%] {54%} (54%) [53%] {53%} (54%) [52%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Jon Huntsman 50% [49%] {46%} (43%) [44%] {45%} (46%) [46%] {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking October 10-23, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.   

Results from the poll conducted October 3-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19 - October 2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.