Poll Watch: AP-GfK 2012 Presidential Survey

AP-GfK 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Mitt Romney 30%
• Herman Cain 26%
• Rick Perry 13%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Newt Gingrich 7%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• None of them [Vol] 2%
• Don’t know [Vol] 7%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 45%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Herman Cain 43%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Rick Perry 42%

Regardless of how you might vote, do you think President Barack Obama deserves to be re-elected; or deserves to be voted out of office?

• Deserves to be re-elected 46%
• Deserves to be voted out of office 50%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 57% / 43% {+14%}
• Mitt Romney 49% (39%) {45%} [45%] (41%) / 37% (41%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {+12%}
• Herman Cain 43% (21%) {25%} / 32% (27%) {23%} {+11%}
• Ron Paul 38% (37%) {39%} [36%] / 35% (36%) {31%} [35%] {+3%}
• Rick Perry 38% (33%) {22%} / 44% (36%) {25%} {-6%}
• Jon Huntsman 22% (17%) {18%} [18%] (19%) / 28% (28%) {21%} [15%] (14%) {-6%}
• Rick Santorum 25% (20%) {25%} [24%] (23%) / 32% (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%) {-7%}
• Michele Bachmann 35% (35%) {37%} [30%] (30%) / 44% (43%) {28%} [29%] (27%) {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 35% (27%) {26%} [35%] (40%) / 51% (57%) {59%} [47%] (42%){-16%}
• Sarah Palin 35% (36%) {38%} [36%] (39%) / 61% (59%) {55%} [59%] (57%) {-26%}

Survey of 1,000 adults, including a subsample of 431 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents, was conducted October 13-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all adults.  Party ID breakdown: 44% (43%) {43%} [46%] (45%) Democrat; 36% (32%) {37%} [29%] (33%) Republican; Political ideology: 39% (32%) {33%} [36%] (32%) Moderate; 21% (23%) {22%} [22%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (20%) {21%} [16%] (18%) Strongly conservative; 12% (13%) {14%} [14%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {9%} [9%] (8%) Strongly liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2011 are in parentheses.