Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Herman Cain 30% {8%} [6%] (11%) {20%} [12%]
• Mitt Romney 22% {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Newt Gingrich 15% {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%] 
• Rick Perry 14% {31%} [33%] (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% {9%} [16%] (21%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
• Ron Paul 5% {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
• Rick Santorum 1% {2%} [4%]
• Gary Johnson 0%

Note: 33% are strongly committed to their candidate of choice; 67% might end up supporting someone else.

Second Choice

• Herman Cain 24%
• Newt Gingrich 15% 
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Michele Bachmann 10%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 0%

If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 48%
• Mitt Romney 36%

If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 48% {37%} [36%]
• Rick Perry 38% {49%} [52%]

If the Republican race for President came down to Herman Cain and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 55%
• Rick Perry 27%

Do you think that Herman Cain is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 6%
• Too conservative 8%
• About right 71%

Do you think that Mitt Romney is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 31%
• Too conservative 5%
• About right 51%

Do you think that Rick Perry is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 17%
• Too conservative 14%
• About right 53%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 66% / 15% {+51%}
• Newt Gingrich 57% {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 30% {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+27%}
• Rick Santorum 43% / 18% {+25%}
• Mitt Romney 55% {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 31% {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+24%}
• Rick Perry 42% {58%} [64%] / 38% {24%} [17%] {+4%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {45%} [51%] (48%) / 39% {36%} [32%] (26%) {+2%}
• Jon Huntsman 20% [19%] / 31% [27%] {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 9% / 23% {-14%}
• Ron Paul 29% [44%] / 54% [30%] {-25%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 32% {38%}
• No 52% {46%}

Note: With the Tea Party crowd, Cain is getting 39%, with Gingrich at 16%, Perry at 14%, and Romney in 4th place at 13%.

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 39% (48%)
• No 39% (34%)
• Not sure 22% (18%)

Survey of 484 usual Republican primary voters was conducted October 7-10, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 45% {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 32% {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  17% {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 3% {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.