Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Eric Hovde 31%
• Tommy Thompson 29% [39%]
• Mark Neumann 15% [22%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald 9% [22%]
• Undecided 16% [17%]

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Eric Hovde, Mark Neumann, and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Eric Hovde 35%
• Tommy Thompson 34%
• Mark Neumann 18%
• Not sure 14%

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Eric Hovde and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Eric Hovde 46%
• Tommy Thompson 39%
• Not sure 15%

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Mark Neumann and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Tommy Thompson 46% [46%]
• Mark Neumann 38% [36%]
• Not sure 16% [18%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Eric Hovde 50% / 9% {+41%}
• Jeff Fitzgerald 42% [42%] / 12% [12%] {+30%}
• Tommy Thompson 56% [66%] / 28% [17%] {+28%}
• Mark Neumann 43% [47%] / 21% [14%] {+22%}

Generally speaking, would you prefer that the Republican Senate nominee next year was Tommy Thompson or someone more conservative?

• Tommy Thompson 34% [37%]
• Someone more conservative 50% [47%]
• Not sure 17% [17%]

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 25% [26%]
• No 58% [54%]
• Not sure 17% [19%]

GENERAL ELECTION 

• Eric Hovde (R) 45% (45%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% (41%)

• Tommy Thompson (R) 45% (47%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {50%} [45%]
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45% (42%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {42%} [44%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45% (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {40%} [46%]
• Mark Neumann (R) 41% (46%) {45%} [41%] (43%) {44%} [41%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (44%) [48%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 42% {40%} [39%] (40%) [37%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Eric Hovde 31% (21%) / 27% (21%) {+4%}
• Tammy Baldwin 37% {29%} [31%] (28%) {26%} [27%] / 39% {31%} [31%] (30%) {28%} [25%] {-2%}
• Mark Neumann 28% {26%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [27%] / 34% {31%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [26%] {-6%}
• Tommy Thompson 40% {41%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [42%] / 47% {44%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [42%] {-7%}
• Jeff Fitzgerald 25% {21%} [19%] (20%) [19%] / 38% {36%} [38%] (33%) [34%] {-13%}

Survey of 1,057 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 564 usual Republican primary voters, was conducted July 6-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among GOP primary voters. Party ID: 32% (35%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 30% (28%) {31%} [33%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (33%) Democrat; 38% (37%) {37%} [36%] (32%) {29%} [31%] (35%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [31%] (30%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 26% [25%] (25%) {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 18% [19%] (19%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [15%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 10% [10%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets.