Thursday, January 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 28% (19%) {14%} [21%] (24%
  • Jeb Bush 14% (14%) {7%} [11%] (15%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (20%) {28%} [4%] (10%) 
  • Ted Cruz 10% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (7%) {7%} [10%] (8%)  
  • Marco Rubio 8% (7%) {25%} [14%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 4% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (3%) {1%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (6%) {11%} [10%] (2%)
Among Republicans
  • Chris Christie 27% (17%) {9%} [22%] (21%)
  • Jeb Bush 16% (16%) {6%} [13%] (15%) 
  • Rand Paul 13% (18%) {26%} [4%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {29%} [15%] (13%)  
  • Scott Walker 5% (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%) {1%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% (5%) {9%} [8%] (2%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 28% (22%) {19%} [21%] (33%
  • Rand Paul 15% (24%) {32%} [3%] (12%)
  • Jeb Bush 12% (10%) {10%} [8%] (14%) 
  • Ted Cruz 10% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (6%) {1%} [10%] (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {17%} [11%] (10%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (3%) {1%}
  • Scott Walker 2% (6%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% (7%) {14%} [14%] (2%) 
Among Moderates
  • Chris Christie 42% (37%)
  • Jeb Bush 19% (5%)
  • Rand Paul 10% (16%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% (6%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (4%)
  • Ted Cruz 1% (2%)
  • Scott Walker 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% (8%)
Among Men
  • Chris Christie 31% (17%) {13%} [22%] (28%
  • Jeb Bush 14% (13%) {9%} [13%] (15%)
  • Rand Paul 13% (25%) {33%} [4%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% (6%) {7%} [10%] (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% (9%) {22%} [13%] (10%) 
  • Scott Walker 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (2%) {2%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% (4%) {9%} [10%] (1%)
Among Women
  • Chris Christie 24% (21%) {14%} [21%] (21%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (15%) {6%} [10%] (16%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (15%) {22%} [3%] (8%)
  • Paul Ryan 11% (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (4%) {27%} [14%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (10%)
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (4%) {0%} 
  • Scott Walker 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% (9%) {12%} [11%] (2%)
Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Chris Christie 24%
  • Jeb Bush 12%
  • Rand Paul 12%
  • Mike Huckabee 11%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Paul Ryan 4%
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jeb Bush 52% [63%] (70%) / 14% [11%] (11%) {+38%}
  • Rand Paul 56% [48%] (53%) / 22% [28%] (27%) {+34%}
  • Paul Ryan 52% [80%] (64%) / 20% [13%] (11%) {+32%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% [65%] (68%) / 19% [8%] (8%) {+27%}
  • Chris Christie 53% [69%] (74%) / 27% [14%] (11%) {+26%}
  • Mike Huckabee 52% [62%] (65%) / 26% [21%] (21%) {+26%} 
  • Scott Walker 36% (48%) / 12% (10%) {+24%} 
  • Ted Cruz 42% / 20% {+22%}
  • Bobby Jindal 36% / 16% {+20%}
 Among Republicans
  • Jeb Bush 64% [71%] (76%) / 11% [7%] (8%) {+53%}
  • Paul Ryan 60% [86%] (69%) / 15% [7%] (6%) {+45%} 
  • Rand Paul 59% [49%] (57%) / 19% [28%] (24%) {+40%}
  • Marco Rubio 51% [72%] (73%) / 13% [5%] (5%) {+38%}
  • Mike Huckabee 56% [69%] (73%) / 21% [16%] (15%) {+35%}
  • Chris Christie 58% [71%] (76%) / 25% [12%] (7%) {+33%}
  • Scott Walker 38% (52%) / 8% (7%) {+30%}
  • Ted Cruz 44% / 18% {+26%}
  • Bobby Jindal 37% / 14% {+23%} 
Among Independents 
  • Rand Paul 52% [45%] (44%) / 25% [28%] (31%) {+27%}
  • Jeb Bush 37% [45%] (58%) / 17% [19%] (17%) {+20%} 
  • Ted Cruz 41% / 23% {+18%}
  • Bobby Jindal 36% / 18% {+18%}
  • Chris Christie 46% [64%] (69%) / 29% [18%] (19%) {+17%} 
  • Scott Walker 33% (39%) / 16% (14%) {+17%} 
  • Paul Ryan 42% [68%] (55%) / 26% [23%] (20%) {+16%}
  • Mike Huckabee 47% [47%] (51%) / 33% [30%] (32%) {+14%}  
  • Marco Rubio 40% [51%] (60%) / 27% [11%] (13%) {+13%}
Among Moderates
  • Chris Christie 64% [65%] (66%) / 15% [15%] (17%) {+49%} 
  • Jeb Bush 42% [49%] (62%) / 17% [18%] (19%) {+25%}
  • Scott Walker 22% (29%) / 24% (16%) {-2%}
  • Bobby Jindal 24% / 28% {-4%}
  • Marco Rubio 30% [43%] (54%) / 35% [13%] (16%) {-5%}
  • Mike Huckabee 36% [33%] (47%) / 43% [40%] (36%) {-7%
  • Rand Paul 34% [32%] (41%) / 42% [44%] (37%) {-8%}  
  • Paul Ryan 30% [55%] (48%) / 41% [30%] (22%) {-11%}
  • Ted Cruz 21% / 39% {-18%
Survey of 528 Republican primary voters was conducted January 9-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 56% (57%) {59%} [66%] (66%) Republican; 44% (42%) {40%} [33%] (33%) Independent/Other; 0% (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% (37%) {41%} [43%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 30% (24%) {23%} [24%] (21%) Moderate; 23% (31%) {32%} [29%] (31%) Very conservative; 5% (6%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

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