Friday, April 18, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [4%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%} 
  • Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don't know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)
(Open-Ended) If the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.  
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Mitt Romney 3%
  • Scott Brown 3%
  • Paul Ryan 2%
  • Jeb Bush 2%
  • Someone else 6%
  • Did not give name 62%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%}
  • Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
  • Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%}
  • Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%} 
  • Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
  • Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
  • Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}   
  • Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
  • Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}
Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

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