Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 12% {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rick Perry 11% {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Jeb Bush 8% {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% {5%} [7%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Paul Ryan 14% {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Rand Paul 12% {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 10% {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Scott Walker 4% {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Santorum 4% {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rand Paul 13% {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Chris Christie 12% {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Rick Perry 12% {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Paul Ryan 7% {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% {6%} [6%]
• Jeb Bush 5% {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 14% {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 12% {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Paul Ryan 12% {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 9% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 6% {7%} [8%]
• Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%) 
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 1% {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Rick Perry 13% {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rand Paul 10% {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Marco Rubio 7% {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Scott Walker 3% {3%} [6%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 5% {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 470 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 18-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 59% {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 41% {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.