Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 51% [51%] (48%) {52%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {52%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% [45%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49% [50%] (59%) {51%} [52%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (50%) {54%} [57%] (47%) {53%} [49%] (56%) {53%} [46%] (36%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% [45%] (36%) {44%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [39%] (48%) {43%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [50%] (57%)
  

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 54% [57%] (57%) {59%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [61%] (60%) {62%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (55%) {60%} [62%] (61%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 41% [40%] (40%) {36%} [44%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (46%) {40%} [41%] (41%) {37%} [34%] (34%)

Among Whites

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 55% [52%] (59%) {55%} [57%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%) {57%} [57%] (55%) {58%} [54%] (57%) {55%} [50%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 42% [44%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (48%)

Among Non-Whites

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 73% [72%] (77%) {83%} [69%] (69%) {71%} [81%] (74%) {80%} [72%] (71%) {76%} [72%] (67%) {71%} [75%] (82%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 21% [25%] (20%) {12%} [23%] (21%) {19%} [14%] (22%) {15%} [22%] (25%) {21%} [25%] (28%) {24%} [21%] (15%) 

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 49% [47%] (43%) {45%} [39%] (42%) {42%} 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% [42%] (45%) {37%} [44%] (37%) {38%}
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% [7%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (13%) {9%}
• Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2% [2%] (2%) {5%} [3%] (5%) {7%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (42%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [49%] (42%) {44%} / 52% [54%] (56%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {57%} [49%] (57%) {53%} {-6}
• Donald Trump 41% [39%] (45%) {35%} [46%] (39%) {40%} [41%] (33%) {38%} / 57% [59%] (54%) {61%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [56%] (65%) {59%} {-16}

National survey of 779 likely voters was conducted October 20-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 29-31, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses.