Poll Watch: SurveyUSA National Birther Poll

SurveyUSA National Birther Poll

Based on what you know now, was Barack Obama definitely born in the United States? Probably born in the United States? Probably born in another country? Or definitely born in another country?

• Definitely born in the United States 50%
• Probably born in the United States 27%
• Probably born in another country 15%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Democrats

• Definitely born in the United States 73%
• Probably born in the United States 15%
• Probably born in another country 8%
• Definitely born in another country 3%

Among Republicans

• Definitely born in the United States 28%
• Probably born in the United States 37%
• Probably born in another country 21%
• Definitely born in another country 12%

Among Independents

• Definitely born in the United States 46%
• Probably born in the United States 29%
• Probably born in another country 17%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Tea Party Members (12%)

• Definitely born in the United States 22%
• Probably born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in another country 29%
• Definitely born in another country 13%

Not a Member of the Tea Party (79%)

• Definitely born in the United States 56%
• Probably born in the United States 25%
• Probably born in another country 13%
• Definitely born in another country 5%

Among Liberals

• Definitely born in the United States 70%
• Probably born in the United States 15%
• Probably born in another country 9%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Moderates

• Definitely born in the United States 52%
• Probably born in the United States 28%
• Probably born in another country 15%
• Definitely born in another country 4%

Among Conservatives

• Definitely born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in another country 21%
• Definitely born in another country 10%

Have Seen Newly Released Birth Certificate (42%)

• Definitely born in the United States 63%
• Probably born in the United States 19%
• Probably born in another country 11%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Have NOT Seen Newly Released Birth Certificate (57%)

• Definitely born in the United States 40%
• Probably born in the United States 32%
• Probably born in another country 19%
• Definitely born in another country 7%

(Among those who have seen President Obama's newly released birth certificate) Which describes you: (1): I always knew the President was born in America. (2): I had my doubts, but now I am satisfied that the President was born in America. (3): I still have doubts about where the President was born. (4): I am sure the birth certificate newly released by the White House is a forgery.

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 57%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 14%
• Still have doubts 18%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 10%

Among Democrats (39%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 79%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 7%
• Still have doubts 10%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 3%

Among Republicans (23%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 24%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 24%
• Still have doubts 33%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 18%

Among Independents (38%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 54%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 15%
• Still have doubts 18%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 13%

Among Tea Party Members (14%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 19%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 24%
• Still have doubts 40%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 17%

Not a Member of the Tea Party (79%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 65%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 13%
• Still have doubts 13%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 9%

Among Liberals (24%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 74%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 6%
• Still have doubts 10%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 10%

Among Moderates (42%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 64%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 13%
• Still have doubts 17%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 7%

Among Conservatives (31%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 34%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 23%
• Still have doubts 27%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 16%

As it stands now, is Obama's birthplace still an open item to be debated? Or is it now a closed incident?

• Open item 27%
• Closed incident 56%

Among Democrats

• Open item 14%
• Closed incident 74%

Among Republicans

• Open item 42%
• Closed incident 38%

Among Independents

• Open item 27%
• Closed incident 53%

Among Tea Party Members

• Open item 47%
• Closed incident 33%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Open item 22%
• Closed incident 61%

Among Liberals

• Open item 17%
• Closed incident 71%

Among Moderates

• Open item 22%
• Closed incident 59%

Among Conservatives

• Open item 42%
• Closed incident 42%

Based on what you know, will Barack Obama be re-elected president in 2012? Or will someone else be elected president?

• Obama re-elected 33%
• Someone else 49%

Among Democrats

• Obama re-elected 55%
• Someone else 25%

Among Republicans

• Obama re-elected 11%
• Someone else 77%

Among Independents

• Obama re-elected 28%
• Someone else 50%

Among Tea Party Members

• Obama re-elected 11%
• Someone else 81%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Obama re-elected 36%
• Someone else 44%

Among Liberals

• Obama re-elected 52%
• Someone else 30%

Among Moderates

• Obama re-elected 34%
• Someone else 42%

Among Conservatives

• Obama re-elected 17%
• Someone else 71%

If there were an election for president of the United States today, which describes you: I would vote FOR Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would vote AGAINST Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would need to see who is on the ballot before I know how I would vote

• Vote FOR Obama 26%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 34%
• Need to See Ballot First 35%

Among Democrats

• Vote FOR Obama 53%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 13%
• Need to See Ballot First 30%

Among Republicans

• Vote FOR Obama 4%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 68%
• Need to See Ballot First 27%

Among Independents

• Vote FOR Obama 18%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 29%
• Need to See Ballot First 45%

Among Tea Party Members

• Vote FOR Obama 6%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 71%
• Need to See Ballot First 21%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Vote FOR Obama 30%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 28%
• Need to See Ballot First 37%

Among Liberals

• Vote FOR Obama 50%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 12%
• Need to See Ballot First 31%

Among Moderates

• Vote FOR Obama 24%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 26%
• Need to See Ballot First 44%

Among Conservatives

• Vote FOR Obama 11%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 62%
• Need to See Ballot First 26%

Among Men

• Vote FOR Obama 22%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 38%
• Need to See Ballot First 36%

Among Women

• Vote FOR Obama 29%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 31%
• Need to See Ballot First 35%

National survey of 1,500 adults, including a subsample of 631 who have seen Barack Obama's newly released birth certificate, was conducted April 27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points among all adults; +/- 3.9 percentage points among adults who have seen Obama's long-form birth certificate, which was released by the White House on April 27. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 39% Independent. Political ideology: 40% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 22% Liberal.