Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 75% [77%] {76%} (73%) [73%] {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 14% [15%] {15%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+61%}
• Rudy Giuliani 76% [79%] {81%} (77%) [74%] {75%} (77%) [76%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 18% [16%] {15%} (18%) [20%] {19%} (18%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+58%}
• Mitt Romney 72% [72%] {74%} (71%) [71%] {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 19% [20%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+53%}
• Rick Perry 68% [71%] {74%} (73%) [73%] {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 21% [17%] {15%} (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+47%}
• Sarah Palin 68% [66%] {67%} (67%) [69%] {69%} (69%) [71%] {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 29% [31%] {31%} (30%) [27%] {29%} (28%) [26%] {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+39%}
• Rick Santorum 61% [65%] {65%} (60%) [63%] {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 23% [19%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+38%}
• Newt Gingrich 63% [64%] {61%} (61%) [61%] {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 30% [30%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+33%}
• Michele Bachmann 59% [62%] {65%} (64%) [67%] {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 31% [29%] {29%} (27%) [24%] {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+28%}
• Ron Paul 56% [57%] {57%} (59%) [61%] {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 33% [32%] {34%} (30%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+23%}
• Jon Huntsman 50% [51%] {53%} (53%) [50%] {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 31% [32%] {32%} (34%) [34%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+19%}

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 31% [27%] {25%} (24%) [26%] {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 44% [50%] {51%} (49%) [47%] {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 13% [14%] {13%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 1% [1%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Rudy Giuliani

• Strongly Favorable 22% [22%] {23%} (21%) [19%] {21%} (23%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
• Favorable 54% [57%] {58%} (56%) [55%] {54%} (54%) [54%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
• Unfavorable 15% [14%] {13%} (15%) [16%] {15%} (14%) [13%] {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% [2%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 17% [17%] {19%} (19%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 55% [55%] {55%} (52%) [56%] {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 16% [17%] {15%} (17%) [16%] {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 19% [25%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 49% [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 17% [14%] {12%} (12%) [10%] {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Sarah Palin

• Strongly Favorable 21% [20%] {21%} (20%) [21%] {25%} (24%) [24%] {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
• Favorable 47% [46%] {46%} (47%) [48%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 21% [22%] {21%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 8% [9%] {10%} (10%) [8%] {9%} (10%) [9%] {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 12% [13%] {12%} (11%) [13%] {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 49% [52%] {53%} (49%) [50%] {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 20% [17%] {19%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% [2%] {2%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 16% [16%] {15%} (13%) [13%] {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 47% [48%] {46%} (48%) [48%] {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 24% [24%] {25%} (27%) [25%] {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% [6%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 12% [15%] {17%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 47% [47%] {48%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 24% [22%] {23%} (21%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 7% [7%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 10% [12%] {13%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 46% [45%] {44%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 27% [26%] {28%} (25%) [23%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 4% [6%] {6%} (5%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 46% [45%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 26% [27%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 5% [5%] {4%} (6%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Herman Cain +30% [+26%] {+24%} (+22%) [+24%] {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Rudy Giuliani +19% [+20%] {+21%} (+18%) [+15%] {+17%} (+19%) [+19%] {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
• Rick Perry +15% [+22%] {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Sarah Palin +13% [+12%] {+11%} (+10%) [+13%] {+16%} (+14%) [+15%] {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
• Mitt Romney +13% [+14%] {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Newt Gingrich +11% [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
• Rick Santorum +8% [+11%] {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Michele Bachmann +5% [+8%] {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Ron Paul +3% [+6%] {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Jon Huntsman -1% [+1%] {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}

Name Recognition

• Sarah Palin 96% [95%] {95%} (97%) [97%] {97%} (97%) [97%] {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
• Rudy Giuliani 88% [89%] {90%} (89%) [90%] {91%} (91%) [91%] {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
• Michele Bachmann 84% [83%] {84%} (84%) [84%] {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Newt Gingrich 84% [85%] {86%} (86%) [86%] {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Mitt Romney 83% [84%] {85%} (86%) [88%] {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Rick Perry 80% [79%] {76%} (75%) [74%] {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Ron Paul 79% [80%] {82%} (81%) [79%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Herman Cain 55% [51%] {50%} (48%) [48%] {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Rick Santorum 54% [53%] {53%} (54%) [52%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Jon Huntsman 43% [44%] {45%} (46%) [46%] {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking September 19 - October 2, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.   

Results from the poll conducted September 12-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.