Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mike Huckabee 49% [49%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 44% [43%] (42%)

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% [43%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 46% [44%] (44%)
• Newt Gingrich 44% [44%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Donald Trump 41%

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (46%)
• Sarah Palin 43% [43%] (43%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the vote in Missouri. In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the vote in MO.

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 43% [35%] (37%)
• Mike Huckabee 42% [49%] (49%)

• Barack Obama 42% [33%] (35%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [45%] (47%)

• Barack Obama 47% [43%] (45%)
• Sarah Palin 41% [40%] (40%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Donald Trump 39%

• Barack Obama 47% [39%] (41%)
• Newt Gingrich 33% [41%] (43%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 51% of the Independent vote in Missouri (26% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Independent vote in MO (29% of the electorate).

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 63% [61%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 22% [25%] (28%)

• Barack Obama 67% [62%] (59%)
• Mike Huckabee 23% [28%] (29%)

• Barack Obama 67%
• Donald Trump 21%

• Barack Obama 70% [65%] (63%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% [24%] (24%)

• Barack Obama 73% [70%] (67%)
• Sarah Palin 16% [22%] (25%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 38% of the Moderate vote in Missouri (45% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 46% of the Moderate vote in MO (45% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 51% [51%] (54%)
• Barack Obama 41% [41%] (38%)

• Mitt Romney 49% [47%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 39% [40%] (36%)

• Donald Trump 47%
• Barack Obama 40%

• Newt Gingrich 46% [47%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 42% [42%] (40%)

• Sarah Palin 47% [44%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 45% [45%] (43%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the Male vote in Missouri (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Male vote in MO (47% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 47% [48%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 47% [45%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [41%] (42%)

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] (47%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% [42%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 50% [50%] (48%)
• Sarah Palin 40% [42%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 51%
• Donald Trump 35%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Female vote in Missouri (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in MO (53% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 43% [45%] (51%) / 38% [35%] (29%) {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [32%] (30%) / 45% [44%] (42%) {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 29% [31%] (33%) / 50% [50%] (48%) {-21%}
• Sarah Palin 33% [37%] (39%) / 56% [56%] (53%) {-23%}
• Donald Trump 24% / 65% {-41%}

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 77% [72%] (79%) / 11% [14%] (11%) {+66%}
• Sarah Palin 62% [67%] (69%) / 27% [23%] (22%) {+35%}
• Newt Gingrich 54% [55%] (60%) / 22% [26%] (25%) {+32%}
• Mitt Romney 52% [46%] (49%) / 30% [29%] (24%) {+22%}
• Donald Trump 33% / 51% {-18%}

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 34% [54%] (46%) / 44% [30%] (27%) {-10%}
• Mitt Romney 26% [35%] (26%) / 46% [41%] (39%) {-20%}
• Sarah Palin 30% [34%] (35%) / 57% [59%] (55%) {-27%}
• Donald Trump 28% / 60% {-32%}
• Newt Gingrich 18% [28%] (27%) / 60% [55%] (53%) {-42%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 26% [29%] (20%) / 46% [47%] (48%) {-20%}
• Mike Huckabee 25% [31%] (39%) / 48% [44%] (36%) {-23%}
• Donald Trump 20% / 72% {-52%}
• Newt Gingrich 10% [19%] (17%) / 68% [64%] (64%) {-58%}
• Sarah Palin 12% [19%] (23%) / 76% [76%] (71%) {-64%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 46% [46%] (55%) / 42% [38%] (31%) {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 35% [32%] (34%) / 50% [49%] (42%) {-15%}
• Sarah Palin 34% [36%] (44%) / 56% [56%] (50%) {-22%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% [32%] (36%) / 54% [54%] (51%) {-22%}
• Donald Trump 29% / 65% {-36%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 40% [44%] (48%) / 34% [33%] (27%) {+6%}
• Mitt Romney 29% [31%] (27%) / 41% [39%] (42%) {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% [31%] (31%) / 45% [47%] (46%) {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 33% [38%] (36%) / 56% [56%] (55%) {-23%}
• Donald Trump 20% / 65% {-45%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 43% [43%] (43%)
• Disapprove 53% [52%] (52%)

Among Independents

• Approve 42% [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 51% [53%] (52%)

Among Men

• Approve 41% [41%] (39%)
• Disapprove 56% [56%] (57%)

Among Women

• Approve 45% [45%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% [49%] (48%)

Survey of 555 Missouri voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% [38%] (36%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (39%) Republican; 25% [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% [27%] Moderate; 25% [27%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [22%] Very conservative; 14% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.