Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

• Mitch McConnell (R) 52% {46%} [48%] (42%)
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 44% {41%} [41%] (42%)
• Some other candidate 2% {7%} [5%] (6%)
• Undecided 3% {6%} [7%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitch McConnell 49% {47%} / 47% {51%} {+2%}
• Alison Lundergan Grimes 46% {42%} / 50% {51%} {-4%}

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 15-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 1-2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Seventy-six percent (76%) of Kentucky voters say they have already made up their minds how they are going to vote, and McConnell leads 55% to 45% among these voters. Among the 24% who still could change their minds, the candidates are tied at 41% apiece, with 17% opting for a third-party candidate or undecided.

Among the 84% of Kentucky voters who say they will definitely vote in this contest, McConnell leads 53% to 44%.

Grimes has the support of 73% of Kentucky Democrats and 16% of the state’s Republicans. McConnell earns 83% backing from his fellow Republicans and 24% of the vote from Democrats. He also has a 21-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.