Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 47% [48%] (45%) {40%} [44%] (40%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 46% [46%] (39%) {45%} [45%] (47%) 
• Some other candidate 3% [2%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 3% [4%] (9%) {9%} [7%] (10%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Kay Hagan?

• Very favorable 27% [29%]
• Somewhat favorable 22% [21%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% [14%]
• Very unfavorable 36% [32%]
  

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Thom Tillis?

• Very favorable 22% [22%]
• Somewhat favorable 24% [25%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% [14%]
• Very unfavorable 37% [33%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kay Hagan 49% [50%] / 49% [46%] {0%}
• Thom Tillis 46% [47%] / 49% [47%] {-3%}

Survey of 982 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 6-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 5-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

North Carolina has early voting, and 30% of the voters in the state say they already have cast their ballot. Among these voters, Hagan leads 50% to 44%.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Tar Heel voters say they have made up their minds how they are going to vote, and the candidates are tied at 49% apiece among these voters.

Ninety percent (90%) of all voters in the state say they are definitely going to vote in this contest. Tillis is ahead 48% to 46% among this group.

Tillis has the support of 80% of Republicans in North Carolina and leads by 10 points among voters not affiliated with either major party. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of the state’s Democrats support Hagan.