Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Newt Gingrich in The Situation Room (Part 4)

Newt Gingrich in The Situation Room (Part 3)

Newt Gingrich in The Situation Room (Part 2)

Newt Gingrich in The Situation Room (Part 1)

Newt Gingrich 2012 Ad: "Winning the Argument"

Newt Gingrich 2012 Ad: "A Merry Christmas Video from NewtHampshire"

Winning Our Future SuperPAC 2012 Ad: "20 to 1"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 47% {48%} [49%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [47%]
  • Newt Gingrich 37% {37%} [39%] (40%) {45%} [40%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (30%) {37%} [39%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 26, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 6-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-29, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2011are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted June 24-25, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-16, 2011 are in square brackets.
Inside the numbers:
President Obama leads Gingrich among men 46% to 39%. Among women, the president holds a 47% to 34% advantage.

The president leads by a wide margin among voters under 40, while Gingrich holds a slight edge among voters over 40.

Obama holds a 13-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major party. 
Most Tea Party members support Gingrich, while union members heavily favor Obama. Non-Tea Party members support Obama by a 26-point margin. Voters who are not in a labor union are evenly divided between the candidates.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 25% {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%{34%} [36%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 24% {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
  • Ron Paul 11% {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
  • Rick Perry 8% {8%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 6% {6%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (6%)  
  • Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Jon Huntsman 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted December 20-26, 2011. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 19-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conductedDecember 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Monday, December 26, 2011

Newt Gingrich 2012 Ad: "Christmas Day 1776 - 'Victory or Death'"

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 26% [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 23% [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
  • Ron Paul 12% [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
  • Rick Perry 8% [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 6% [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (6%)  
  • Rick Santorum 3% [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Jon Huntsman 1% [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted December 19-23, 2011. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Sunday, December 25, 2011

Face the Nation: Predictions for 2012

This Week Roundtable: Political Roller Coaster

Meet the Press Roundtable

Fox News Sunday: Panel Plus

Mike Huckabee on Fox News Sunday

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll 
  • Mitt Romney 39% (42%) {37%} [35%] (41%) {33%} [36%] (40%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% (15%) {4%} [1%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (6%)
  • Ron Paul 17% (12%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%)
  • Jon Huntsman 11% (8%) {8%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [0%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
  • Michele Bachmann 2% (2%) {2%} [12%] (4%) {4%} [4%]
  • Rick Perry 1% (4%) {4%} [4%]
  • Buddy Roemer 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Don't know 8%
Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? 
  • Definitely decided 26% (16%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {4%}
  • Leaning toward someone 28% (24%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {9%}
  • Still trying to decide 46% (59%) {68%} [75%] (76%) {87%}
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 22%
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • Jon Huntsman 7%
  • Other 15%
  • No second choice 22%
  • Don't know 5%
Regardless of who you vote for, who do you think will win the primary?
  • Mitt Romney 67%
  • Newt Gingrich 15%
  • Ron Paul 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Other 1%
  • Don't know 13%
Who has the best chance of beating President Obama in November?
  • Mitt Romney 55%
  • Newt Gingrich 18%
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Jon Huntsman 4%
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Other 3%
  • Don't know 14%
Which candidate is most likely to flip-flop on the issues?
  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Newt Gingrich 22%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Ron Paul 1%
  • Other 2%
  • Don't know 31%
Which GOP candidate would you NOT support under any circumstances?
  • Newt Gingrich 20%
  • Ron Paul 17%
  • Michele Bachmann 14%
  • Rick Perry 11%
  • Mitt Romney 9%
  • Other 8%
  • Don't know 20%
    Survey of 543 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted December 12-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 18-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Saturday, December 24, 2011

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) National Political Survey

    PPP (D) National Political Poll

    Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Boehner is doing?
    • Approve 27%
    • Disapprove 49%
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 52%
    • Disapprove 26%
    Among Independents 
    • Approve 21%
    • Disapprove 50%
    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Democrats are doing?
    • Approve 29%
    • Disapprove 64%
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 54%
    • Disapprove 33%
    Among Independents 
    • Approve 19%
    • Disapprove 76%
    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?
    • Approve 25%
    • Disapprove 67%
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 52%
    • Disapprove 37%
    Among Independents
    • Approve 15%
    • Disapprove 77%
    Do you think the Republicans are doing a better job than the Democrats did while in charge of the House of Representatives, a worse job, or about the same?
    • A better job 34%
    • A worse job 43%
    • About the same 21%
    Among Independents
    • A better job 26%
    • A worse job 36%
    • About the same 33%
      If there was an election for Congress today, would you vote Democratic or Republican?
      • Democratic 46%
      • Republican 44%
      Among Independents
      • Democratic 38%
      • Republican 37%
        Do you support or oppose the goals of the Occupy Wall Street movement?
        • Support 36%
        • Oppose 45%
        Among Democrats 
        • Support 58%
        • Oppose 20%
        Among Republicans
        • Support 12%
        • Oppose 75%
        Among Independents
        • Support 33%
        • Oppose 43%
        Do you support or oppose the goals of the Tea Party movement?
        • Support 41%
        • Oppose 45%
        Among Democrats 
        • Support 14%
        • Oppose 74%
        Among Republicans
        • Support 73%
        • Oppose 14%
        Among Independents

        • Support 41%
        • Oppose 42%
        Do you have a higher opinion of the Occupy Wall Street movement or the Tea Party movement?
        • Tea Party 43%
        • Occupy Wall Street 41%
        Among Independents
        • Tea Party 46%
        • Occupy Wall Street 41%
          Survey of 700 American voters was conducted December 16-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 35% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. Ideology: 27% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

          Weekly Address: The President and First Lady Thank our Troops for their Service as we Celebrate the Holiday Season