Friday, September 27, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
 
Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Ted Cruz 20% (12%) {7%} 
  • Rand Paul 17% (16%) {14%} [17%] (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
  • Chris Christie 14% (13%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)  
  • Jeb Bush 11% (13%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 10% (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 10% (10%) {16%} [21%] (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)  
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {3%} [4%] (4%) {3%} (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {5%} [5%] [4%] (12%) 
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (13%) {15%} [10%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
Among Men
  • Ted Cruz 24% (14%) {9%}
  • Rand Paul 18% (15%) {15%}
  • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {15%}
  • Chris Christie 11% (13%) {15%}
  • Paul Ryan 9% (14%) {8%}
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {16%}
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {5%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (13%) {11%}
Among Women
  • Chris Christie 16% (13%) {14%}
  • Ted Cruz 16% (11%) {4%}
  • Rand Paul 16% (17%) {12%}
  • Jeb Bush 10% (10%) {15%}
  • Paul Ryan 10% (13%) {10%}
  • Marco Rubio 10% (12%) {15%}
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) {3%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% (5%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (14%) {19%}
Very Conservative
  • Ted Cruz 34% (20%) {8%}
  • Rand Paul 17% (18%) {18%}
  • Paul Ryan 12% (17%) {9%}
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {17%}
  • Jeb Bush 7% (12%) {14%}
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (4%) {3%}
  • Chris Christie 4% (7%) {7%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% (4%) {9%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (9%) {13%}
Somewhat Conservative
  • Rand Paul 20% (16%) {13%}
  • Jeb Bush 14% (13%) {16%}
  • Ted Cruz 13% (7%) {6%}
  • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {14%}
  • Paul Ryan 11% (13%) {11%}
  • Marco Rubio 11% (14%) {18%}
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%) {3%}
  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (15%) {15%}
Moderate
  • Chris Christie 34% (24%) {25%}
  • Jeb Bush 12% (12%) {17%}
  • Marco Rubio 10% (6%) {14%} 
  • Rand Paul 9% (12%) {9%}
  • Bobby Jindal 7% (4%) {2%}
  • Paul Ryan 6% (11%) {7%}
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Ted Cruz 4% (8%) {5%}
  • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {1%} 
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (16%) {17%}
Survey of 743 Republican primary voters was conducted September 25-26, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 37% (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 4% (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% [45%] (44%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% [38%] (41%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6%
  • Some other candidate 2%
  • Undecided 11% [10%] (12%)
Survey of 1,050 likely voters was conducted September 23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Among Independents
  • Jeb Bush (R) 55%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
  • Rand Paul (R) 57%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 27%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 26%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31%
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 61%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 59%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Rand Paul (R) 58%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
Among Women
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Survey of 1,110 West Virginia voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 51% Democrat; 35% Republican; 14% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal;  12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 64% {58%} [61%] (59%) {58%} [60%] (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 30% {30%} [29%] (29%) {26%} [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 67% [66%] (63%) {66%} [69%] (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 27% [27%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+40%}
  • Barbara Buono 23% [25%] (18%) {12%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] / 36% [29%] (23%) {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [7%] {-13%}
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job controlling property taxes?
  • Chris Christie (R) 62%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 19%
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job improving the state's economy?
  • Chris Christie (R) 65%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 22%
Do you think Chris Christie should or should not run for President in 2016?
  • Should 43%
  • Should not 41%
If Chris Christie did run for President in 2016, do you think that would be good or bad for New Jersey? 
  • Good 53%
  • Bad 28%
Survey of 1,249 likely New Jersey voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {35%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 25% {23%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% {35%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 50%
  • Natalie Tennant (D) 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 45% / 36% {+9%}
  • Natalie Tennant (D) 39% / 32% {+7%}
Survey of 1,110 West Virginia voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 51% Democrat; 35% Republican; 14% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Cory Booker (D) 53% {54%} [53%] (54%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 41% {29%} [30%] (27%)
Among Men
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 48% {32%} [32%] (33%)
  • Cory Booker (D) 46% {52%} [51%] (52%)
Among Women 
  • Cory Booker (D) 60% {56%} [56%] (55%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 34% {26%} [28%] (23%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Booker 53% / 30% {+23%}
  • Steve Lonegan 35% / 22% {+13%}
Survey of 948 likely New Jersey voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {35%} [33%] (34%) Democrat; 24% {23%} [23%] (23%) Republican; 34% {35%} [35%] (37%) Independent; 5% {7%} [9%] (7%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC4/NBC News/Marist Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 43% (42%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% (45%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 8% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 41% (32%) / 34% (24%) {+7%}
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 34% (42%) / 47% (27%) {-13%}
Survey of 1,069 registered voters, including a subsample of 546 likely voters, was conducted September 17-19, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.2 percentage points among likely voters. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election were being held today and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe, the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli, the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 49% (41%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 44% (51%)
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 47% (41%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% (46%)
How about if the candidates were Terry McAuliffe, the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli, the Republican, and Robert Sarvis running as a Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 47% 
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 10%
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% 
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 34%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 11%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe 48% (21%) / 36% (22%) {+12%}
  • Ken Cuccinelli 40% (35%) / 47% (31%) {-7%}
Overall, do you think Terry McAuliffe's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?

Among Registered Voters
  • Too liberal 34%
  • Too conservative 5%
  • Just about right 44%
Overall, do you think Ken Cuccinelli's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?

Among Registered Voters
  • Too liberal 8%
  • Too conservative 40%
  • Just about right 36%
Survey of 812 registered voters, including 562 likely voters, was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage pointsParty ID: 33% (30%) Democrat; 26% (26%) Republican; 34% (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 46% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (54%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 44% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Among Independents
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (51%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (56%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 43% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Rand Paul (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34% 
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (61%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 30% (26%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Chris Christie (R) 28%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% (67%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 27% (25%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Rand Paul (R) 25%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 23%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Scott Walker (R) 49% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 48% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (56%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% 
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (59%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 41% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 32%
Survey of 1,180 Wisconsin voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (31%) Democrat; 28% (30%) Republican; 41% (39%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (29%) Moderate; 25% (22%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (21%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (17%) Very conservative; 11% (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Russ Feingold, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 50%
  • Russ Feingold 20% 
  • Joe Biden 11%
  • Elizabeth Warren 4%
  • Cory Booker 3%
  • Andrew Cuomo 2%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9%
Survey of 449 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Party ID: 59% Democrat; 4% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 39% Moderate; 32% Somewhat liberal; 20% Very liberal; 8% Somewhat conservative; 1% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Paul Ryan 27%
  • Scott Walker 14% 
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Marco Rubio 10%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Jeb Bush 8%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 5%
If Scott Walker didn’t run for President in 2016, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Paul Ryan 33% (35%)
  • Chris Christie 14% (10%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% (5%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (8%) 
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Marco Rubio 9% (22%)
  • Rick Santorum 6%
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%) 
  • Someone else/Not sure 5% (8%)
If Paul Ryan didn’t run for President in 2016, but Scott Walker did, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Scott Walker 37% (33%)
  • Chris Christie 13% (10%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Rand Paul 10% (6%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (27%)
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (3%) 
  • Someone else/Not sure 3% (8%)
Between Paul Ryan and Scott Walker, who would you rather see as the Republican candidate for President in 2016?
  • Paul Ryan 47%
  • Scott Walker 38%
  • Not sure 15%
Survey of 447 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Party ID: 62% Republican; 3% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 41% (41%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (38%) Very conservative; 18% (15%) Moderate; 5% (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [46%] (45%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% [37%] (40%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% [44%] (46%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 35% [37%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (37%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% (40%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 42% (47%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [36%] (39%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 52% [47%] (51%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 26% [28%] (29%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% (37%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% (42%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 36% (42%)
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 46% [42%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (37%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 49% [47%] (51%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 32% [34%] (32%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 47% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (42%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 50% (49%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 38% (38%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [53%] (53%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% [33%] (34%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (42%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 38% [40%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (59%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 33% (28%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 45% (55%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 35% (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 55% [56%] (55%) / 19% [18%] (17%) {+36%}
  • Hillary Clinton 53% [57%] (58%) / 42% [38%] (37%) {+11%}
  • Rand Paul 38% (36%) / 33% (32%) {+5%}
  • Joe Biden 44% [48%] (47%) / 46% [44%] (44%) {-2%}
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 58% [59%] (61%) / 17% [18%] (15%) {+41%}
  • Hillary Clinton 49% [50%] (58%) / 44% [45%] (36%) {+5%} 
  • Rand Paul 39% (40%) / 34% (30%) {+5%} 
  • Joe Biden 41% [43%] (44%) / 49% [49%] (48%) {-8%}
Among Men
  • Chris Christie 54% [60%] (56%) / 22% [20%] (20%) {+32%}
  • Rand Paul 46% (45%) / 32% (28%) {+14%}
  • Hillary Clinton 44% [52%] (48%) / 52% [44%] (48%) {-8%}
  • Joe Biden 40% [48%] (40%) / 52% [45%] (51%) {-12%}
Among Women
  • Chris Christie 56% [52%] (55%) / 16% [17%] (14%) {+40%}
  • Hillary Clinton 61% [62%] (66%) / 32% [32%] (28%) {+29%}
  • Joe Biden 47% [48%] (53%) / 40% [43%] (37%) {+7%}
  • Rand Paul 30% (28%) / 35% (36%) {-5%}
Among Whites
  • Chris Christie 61% [59%] (60%) / 17% [18%] (17%) {+44%}
  • Rand Paul 46% (42%) / 28% (32%) {+18%}
  • Hillary Clinton 46% [49%] (51%) / 51% [47%] (44%) {-5%}
  • Joe Biden 35% [38%] (39%) / 56% [55%] (52%) {-21%}
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton 84% [87%] (91%) / 10% [5%] (4%) {+74%}
  • Joe Biden 76% [81%] (75%) / 12% [6%] (15%) {+64%}
  • Chris Christie 39% [49%] (42%) / 20% [21%] (15%) {+19%}
  • Rand Paul 7% (6%) / 51% (37%) {-44%}
Survey of 1,405 registered voters was conducted September 9-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% [32%] (31%) Democrat; 26% [22%] (26%) Republican; 35% [37%] (36%) Independent; 9% [10%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Gender: 50% [52%] (53%) Female; 50% [48%] (47%) Male.  Race: 70% [69%] (71%) White; 16% [17%] (17%) Black; 4% [4%] (4%) Hispanic; 10% [10%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (41%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 38%
    Among Independents
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
    • Chris Christie (R) 34%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Kelly Ayotte (R) 40%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 33%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 35%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 38% (39%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 34%
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Chris Christie (R) 29%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
    • Kelly Ayotte (R) 28%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 25%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 63% (68%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 25% (20%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 20%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 42%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
    • Kelly Ayotte (R) 47%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (42%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 46% (51%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% 
    • Ted Cruz (R) 43% 
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Chris Christie (R) 36%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
    • Kelly Ayotte (R) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (61%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 37% (31%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% 
    • Ted Cruz (R) 34% 
    Survey of 1,038 New Hampshire voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (32%) Democrat; 30% (29%) Republican; 39% (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (31%) Moderate; 21% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (15%) Very conservative; 12% (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
    • Rand Paul 20% {28%} [4%] (10%) 
    • Chris Christie 19% {14%} [21%] (24%)
    • Jeb Bush 14% {7%} [11%] (15%) 
    • Kelly Ayotte 12%
    • Ted Cruz 10%
    • Paul Ryan 7% {7%} [10%] (8%)  
    • Marco Rubio 7% {25%} [14%] (12%)
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
    • Rick Santorum 2% {4%} [5%] (7%)
    • Someone else/Not sure 6% {11%} [10%] (2%)
    Among Republicans
    • Rand Paul 18% {26%} [4%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 17% {9%} [22%] (21%)
    • Jeb Bush 16% {6%} [13%] (15%) 
    • Kelly Ayotte 12%
    • Ted Cruz 10%
    • Paul Ryan 8% {10%} [10%] (10%)
    • Marco Rubio 8% {29%} [15%] (13%) 
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
    • Rick Santorum 2% {6%} [5%] (8%)
    • Someone else/Not sure 5% {9%} [8%] (2%)
    Among Independents
    • Rand Paul 24% {32%} [3%] (12%)
    • Chris Christie 22% {19%} [21%] (33%)
    • Kelly Ayotte 11%  
    • Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [8%] (14%) 
    • Ted Cruz 10%
    • Paul Ryan 6% {1%} [10%] (5%)
    • Marco Rubio 5% {17%} [11%] (10%)
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {1%}
    • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [4%] (4%)  
    • Someone else/Not sure 7% {14%} [14%] (2%) 
    Among Men
    • Rand Paul 25% {33%} [4%] (12%)
    • Chris Christie 17% {13%} [22%] (28%)
    • Kelly Ayotte 14%
    • Jeb Bush 13% {9%} [13%] (15%)
    • Ted Cruz 10%
    • Marco Rubio 9% {22%} [13%] (10%)
    • Paul Ryan 6% {7%} [10%] (8%)
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {2%}
    • Rick Santorum 1% {3%} [4%] (4%)
    • Someone else/Not sure 4% {9%} [10%] (1%)
    Among Women
    • Chris Christie 21% {14%} [21%] (21%)
    • Jeb Bush 15% {6%} [10%] (16%)
    • Rand Paul 15% {22%} [3%] (8%)
    • Kelly Ayotte 10%
    • Ted Cruz 10%
    • Paul Ryan 8% {6%} [10%] (8%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {0%} 
    • Marco Rubio 4% {27%} [14%] (14%)
    • Rick Santorum 2% {5%} [5%] (10%)
    • Someone else/Not sure 9% {12%} [11%] (2%)
    Survey of 491 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 57% {59%} [66%] (66%) Republican; 42% {40%} [33%] (33%) Independent/Other; 1% {1%} [1%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% {41%} [43%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 31% {32%} [29%] (31%) Very conservative; 24% {23%} [24%] (21%) Moderate; 6% {3%} [4%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

    PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
    • Hillary Clinton 57% (68%) {60%} [55%] (52%)
    • Joe Biden 12% (12%) {10%} [9%] (16%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 11% (5%) {4%} [8%] 
    • Cory Booker 4%
    • Andrew Cuomo 2% (3%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%)
    • Mark Warner 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Martin O'Malley 0% (1%) {0%} [1%]
    • Brian Schweitzer 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Someone else/Not sure 11% (9%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
    • Joe Biden 36% (44%) {26%} [19%]
    • Elizabeth Warren 20% (12%) {11%} [17%] 
    • Cory Booker 9%
    • Andrew Cuomo 7% (9%) {15%} [15%]
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (2%)
    • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {3%} [3%]
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
    • Mark Warner 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 23% (21%) {36%} [37%]
    If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
    • Elizabeth Warren 33% (22%) {15%} [18%]
    • Andrew Cuomo 14% (23%) {22%} [23%] (30%) 
    • Cory Booker 12%
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 5% (4%)
    • Martin O'Malley 4% (2%) {1%} [2%] 
    • Mark Warner 2% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 30% (30%) {42%} [42%] (35%)
    Survey of 455 usual New Hampshire Democratic primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Party ID: 68% (70%) {66%} [66%] Democrat; 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] Republican; 30% (27%) {33%} [32%] Independent/Other.  Ideology: 34% (34%) {34%} [39%] Moderate; 34% (33%) {35%} [34%] Somewhat liberal; 26% (26%) {19%} [19%] Very liberal; 4% (5%) {9%} [6%] Somewhat conservative; 1% (2%) {2%} [1%] Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

    Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 39%
    • Joe Biden (D) 35%
    • Joe Biden (D) 44%
    • Rand Paul (R) 36%
    • Joe Biden (D) 44%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 34% 
    • Joe Biden (D) 43%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 32%
    Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 16-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 77% (63%)
    • Joe Biden 11% (12%)
    • Some other candidate 6%
    • Undecided 6%
    Survey of likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 16-17, 2013. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
    • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 41% (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
    • Robert Sarvis (L) 7%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Robert Sarvis 8% / 6% {+2%}
    • Terry McAuliffe 38% (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 38% (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {0%}
    • Ken Cuccinelli 34% (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 51% (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-17%}
    Survey of 1,005 likely voters was conducted September 9-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (30%) {31%} Democrat; 26% (23%) {26%} Republican; 34% (39%) {36%} Independent; 8% (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 51% (48%) {47%} Male; 49% (52%) {53%} Female.  Race: 75% (72%) {71%} White; 13% (16%) {17%} Black; 4% (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 9% (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, September 17, 2013

    Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Terry McAuliffe (D) 42%
    • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 37%
    • Robert Sarvis (L) 10%
    • Not sure 11%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Ken Cuccinelli 34% / 47% {-13%}
    • Terry McAuliffe 28% / 41% {-13%}
    Survey of 779 likely voters was conducted September 15-16, 2013 on behalf of Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 3.51 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 15% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

    Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

    Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Rand Paul (R) 42%
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie (R) 36% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 33%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
    • Rand Paul (R) 43%
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
    • Chris Christie (R) 28%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 22%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 69%
    • Rand Paul (R) 23%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 41% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Rand Paul (R) 45%
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
    • Chris Christie (R) 40%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
    • Rand Paul (R) 40%
    Survey of 779 likely voters was conducted September 15-16, 2013 on behalf of Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 3.51 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 15% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

    Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

    • Approve 63% {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
    • Disapprove 24% {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 47% {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
    • Disapprove 37% {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 89% {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
    • Disapprove 7% {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 64% {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
    • Disapprove 21% {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%{41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
    Among Men 
    • Approve 62% {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
    • Disapprove 23% {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
    Among Women
    • Approve 61% {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
    • Disapprove 25% {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
    Survey of 674 registered voters was conducted September 6-10, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 23% {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 40% {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Monday, September 16, 2013

    Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 55% (59%) {57%} [63%] (60%)
    • Barbara Buono (D) 35% (27%) {27%} [21%] (22%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Chris Christie 60% (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) / 35% (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {+25%}
    • Barbara Buono 32% (22%) {18%} [20%] (11%) / 25% (24%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {+7%}
    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
    • Approve 66% (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
    • Disapprove 31% (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
    Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you expect to win?
    • Chris Christie (R) 84% (83%) {80%}
    • Barbara Buono (D) 10% (9%) {9%}
    Survey of 568 likely voters was conducted September 3-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID (among registered voters): 41% (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) Democrat; 23% (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) Republican; 36% (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
    • Hillary Clinton 65%
    • Joe Biden 10%
    • Elizabeth Warren 7%
    • Andrew Cuomo 6%
    • Martin O'Malley 2%
    • Someone else (vol.) 4%
    • None/No one (vol.) 5%
    • No opinion 2%
    Among Men
    • Hillary Clinton 52%
    • Joe Biden 15%
    • Elizabeth Warren 10%
    • Andrew Cuomo 8%
    • Martin O'Malley 2%
    • Someone else (vol.) 4%
    • None/No one (vol.) 7%
    • No opinion 1%
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton 76%
    • Joe Biden 6%
    • Elizabeth Warren 4%
    • Andrew Cuomo 4%
    • Martin O'Malley 1%
    • Someone else (vol.) 4%
    • None/No one (vol.) 3%
    • No opinion 2%
    Survey of 448 Democrats, including 311 respondents who describe themselves as Democrats and 137 who describe themselves as Independents who lean Democratic, was conducted September 6-8, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Chris Christie 17%
    • Paul Ryan 16%
    • Rand Paul 13%
    • Jeb Bush 10%
    • Marco Rubio 9%
    • Ted Cruz 7%
    • Rick Perry 6%
    • Rick Santorum 5%
    • Someone else (vol.) 6%
    • None/No one (vol.) 4%
    • No opinion 6%
    Among Republicans
    • Chris Christie 17%
    • Paul Ryan 17%
    • Jeb Bush 13%
    • Marco Rubio 10%
    • Rand Paul 9%
    • Ted Cruz 7%
    • Rick Perry 7%
    • Rick Santorum 3%
    • Someone else (vol.) 7%
    • None/No one (vol.) 4%
    • No opinion 5%
    Among GOP-Leaning Independents
    • Chris Christie 18%
    • Rand Paul 17%
    • Paul Ryan 15%
    • Marco Rubio 9%
    • Ted Cruz 7%
    • Rick Santorum 7%
    • Jeb Bush 6%
    • Rick Perry 6%
    • Someone else (vol.) 4%
    • None/No one (vol.) 4%
    • No opinion 7%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie 16%
    • Paul Ryan 14%
    • Rand Paul 13%
    • Ted Cruz 12%
    • Marco Rubio 11%
    • Jeb Bush 9%
    • Rick Perry 7%
    • Rick Santorum 6%
    • Someone else (vol.) 5%
    • None/No one (vol.) 3%
    • No opinion 5%
    Among Women
    • Chris Christie 19%
    • Paul Ryan 19%
    • Rand Paul 12%
    • Jeb Bush 11%
    • Marco Rubio 7%
    • Rick Perry 6%
    • Rick Santorum 4%
    • Ted Cruz 3%
    • Someone else (vol.) 6%
    • None/No one (vol.) 6%
    • No opinion 7%
    Survey of 452 Republicans, including 218 respondents who describe themselves as Republicans and 234 who describe themselves as Independents who lean Republican, was conducted September 6-8, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

    Friday, September 13, 2013

    Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
    • Approve 66% (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
    • Disapprove 31% (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 50% (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
    • Disapprove 45% (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 89% (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
    • Disapprove 10% (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 70% (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
    • Disapprove 26% (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)
    Among Moderates
    • Approve 69% (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
    • Disapprove 27% (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)
    Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
    • Favorable 60% (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
    • Unfavorable 32% (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
    Among Democrats
    • Favorable 43% (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
    • Unfavorable 47% (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
    Among Republicans
    • Favorable 87% (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
    • Unfavorable 10% (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
    Among Independents
    • Favorable 64% (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
    • Unfavorable 26% (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
    Survey of 814 registered voters was conducted September 3-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 21% (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 38% (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 58% (58%)
    • Barbara Buono (D) 32% (28%)
    • Some other candidate 2% (4%)
    • Undecided 8% (10%)
    Survey of 999 likely voters was conducted September 10-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, September 12, 2013

    Poll Watch: Purple Strategies Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Purple Strategies Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Terry McAuliffe (D) 43%
    • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38%
    • Not sure 19%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Terry McAuliffe 24% / 39% {-15%}
    • Ken Cuccinelli 29% / 49% {-20%
    Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 6-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 28% Republican; 33% Independent.

    Poll Watch: Purple Strategies Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

    Purple Strategies Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Chris Christie (R) 40%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Rand Paul (R) 41%
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie (R) 41% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
    • Rand Paul (R) 48%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 47% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
    • Rand Paul (R) 46%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Chris Christie (R) 34%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
    • Rand Paul (R) 37%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 53% / 40% {+13%}
    • Chris Christie 39% / 27% {+12%}
    • Rand Paul 30% / 41% {-11%}
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie 43% / 27% {+16%}
    • Rand Paul 40% / 34% {+6%}
    • Hillary Clinton 45% / 47% {-2%}
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie 39% / 32% {+7%}
    • Hillary Clinton 46% / 46% {0%}
    • Rand Paul 37% / 39% {-2%}
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton 61% / 34% {+27%}
    • Chris Christie 39% / 22% {+17%}
    • Rand Paul 23% / 43% {-20%}
    Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 6-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 28% Republican; 33% Independent.

    Wednesday, September 11, 2013

    Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

    Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
    • Cory Booker (D) 64%
    • Steve Lonegan (R) 29%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Cory Booker 63% / 19% {+44%}
    • Steve Lonegan 22% / 22% {+0%}
    Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you expect to win?
    • Cory Booker (D) 79%
    • Steve Lonegan (R) 12%
    Survey of 462 likely voters was conducted September 3-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 20% Republican; 37% Independent.

    Friday, September 06, 2013

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Terry McAuliffe (D) 45% (44%)
    • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% (41%)
    • Some other candidate 7% (3%)
    • Undecided 10% (12%)
    Survey of 998 likely voters was conducted September 3-4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, September 03, 2013

    Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
    • Approve 58% {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
    • Disapprove 29% {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 42% {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
    • Disapprove 44% {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 79% {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
    • Disapprove 12% {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}
    Among Independents
    • Approve 62% {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
    • Disapprove 18% {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}
    Among Men
    • Approve 65% {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
    • Disapprove 26% {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}
    Among Women
    • Approve 52% {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
    • Disapprove 32% {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}
    If someone from another state asked you about Governor Christie and whether you personally believe he would be a good president, would you say yes, no, or would you tell them that you’re unsure?
    • Yes 35%
    • No 32%
    • Unsure 34%
    Among Democrats
    • Yes 18%
    • No 48%
    • Unsure 34%
    Among Republicans
    • Yes 57%
    • No 11%
    • Unsure 32%
    Among Independents
    • Yes 41%
    • No 24%
    • Unsure 35%
    Among Men
    • Yes 43%
    • No 26%
    • Unsure 31%
    Among Women
    • Yes 26%
    • No 37%
    • Unsure 37%
    Survey of 700 registered voters was conducted August 21-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 48% {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 33% {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 22% {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.