Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 31% (40%) {41%} [31%] (39%)
• Mike Huckabee 15% (13%) {10%} [12%] (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (10%) {12%} [14%] (11%)
• Ron Paul 10%
• Sarah Palin 10% (10%) {12%} [9%] (13%)
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 4% (4%) {5%} [3%] (3%)
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 12% (19%)

What if Rudy Giuliani ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 29%
• Rudy Giuliani 17%
• Mike Huckabee 12%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Sarah Palin 6%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Someone else/Undecided 7%

Somewhat Conservative (43%)

• Mitt Romney 28%
• Rudy Giuliani 21%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Mike Huckabee 11%
• Sarah Palin 8%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Someone else/Undecided 6%

Very Conservative (31%)

• Mitt Romney 23%
• Mike Huckabee 18%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Rudy Giuliani 9%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Tim Pawlenty 7%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Someone else/Undecided 5%

Moderate (22%)

• Mitt Romney 35%
• Rudy Giuliani 20%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Mike Huckabee 7%
• Sarah Palin 2%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Someone else/Undecided 12%

Let’s say that Mike Huckabee didn’t run for President next year and the candidates were just Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 37%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Sarah Palin 14%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 11%

Now let’s say that Mike Huckabee did run for President next year but that Sarah Palin did not and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 35%
• Mike Huckabee 14%
• Newt Gingrich 13%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 10%

Now let’s say that neither Mike Huckabee nor Sarah Palin ran for President next year and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 18%
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Haley Barbour 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 10%

Here’s one last scenario: what if Donald Trump ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 27%
• Donald Trump 21%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Mike Huckabee 12%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 68% / 19% {+49%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% / 22% {+40%}
• Ron Paul 53% / 21% {+32%}
• Michele Bachmann 38% / 18% {+20%}
• Tim Pawlenty 34% / 14% {+20%}
• Rick Santorum 30% / 17% {+13%}
• Sarah Palin 51% / 39% {+12%}
• Mike Huckabee 48% / 36% {+12%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% / 36% {+9%}
• Haley Barbour 24% / 16% {+8%}
• Mitch Daniels 14% / 11% {+3%}
• Donald Trump 41% / 43% {-2%}
• Herman Cain 9% / 13% {-4%}
• Jon Huntsman 8% / 13% {-5%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 30% {33%} [27%]
• No 51% {48%} [51%]

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 35%
• No 42%
• Not sure 23%

Would you be willing to vote for someone who supported a bill at the state level mandating that voters have health insurance for President?

• Would be willing 14%
• Would not be willing 61%

Survey of 384 usual New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 67% Republican; 32% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 43% Somewhat conservative; 31% Very conservative; 22% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-29, 2010, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.