Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey 

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Mike Huckabee 16% (19%) [19%] {21%} (21%) [14%] {24%} (17%)
• Donald Trump 14% (19%) [10%]
• Mitt Romney 13% (11%) [18%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {20%} (22%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (12%) [12%] {19%} (14%) [18%] {15%} (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% (11%) [14%] {10%} (12%) [15%] {14%} (8%)
• Ron Paul 10% (7%) [8%] {7%} (7%) [10%] {8%} (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (5%)
• Mitch Daniels 5% (3%) [3%] {3%}
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (2%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%} (5%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) [3%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {3%} (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (3%) [4%] {5%} (7%) [6%] {5%} (8%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (4%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [0%] {5%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {2%} (6%) [4%] {1%} (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 17% (24%) [18%] {24%} (21%) [17%]
• Mitt Romney 14% (9%) [18%] {18%} (21%) [20%]
• Sarah Palin 13% (14%) [14%] {17%} (16%) [21%]
• Newt Gingrich 12% (14%) [15%] {9%} (14%) [15%]
• Donald Trump 12% (15%) [8%]
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) [7%] {7%} (4%) [7%]
• Michele Bachmann 5% (8%)
• Mitch Daniels 4% (2%) [3%] {4%}
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%) [3%] {1%} (3%) [3%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (2%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [2%]
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (1%) [4%] {4%} (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% (4%) [4%] {3%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {1%} (6%)

Among Independents

• Donald Trump 16% (24%) [13%]
• Mike Huckabee 15% (13%) [22%] {18%} (20%) [9%]
• Ron Paul 12% (10%) [11%] {8%} (11%) [14%]
• Mitt Romney 12% (13%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [23%]
• Sarah Palin 9% (11%) [7%] {22%} (11%) [12%]
• Mitch Daniels 7% (4%) [4%] {2%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% (9%) [14%] {13%} (9%) [14%]
• Michele Bachmann 6% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%) [2%] {3%} (3%) [5%]
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [2%]
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%) [4%] {5%} (10%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% (5%) [1%] {4%} (7%)
• No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {3%} (5%)

Among Men

• Ron Paul 14% (9%) [10%] {10%} (9%) [13%]
• Donald Trump 13% (16%) [9%]
• Mitt Romney 13 % (11%) [15%] {20%} (23%) [23%]
• Mike Huckabee 11% (18%) [21%] {18%} (21%) [11%]
• Newt Gingrich 10% (11%) [16%] {12%} (13%) [17%]
• Sarah Palin 10% (12%) [8%] {12%} (12%) [16%]
• Mitch Daniels 7% (4%) [4%] {5%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% (5%)
• Tim Pawlenty 4% (3%) [4%] {5%} (4%) [3%]
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [2%]

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 21% (19%) [17%] {24%} (20%) [18%]
• Donald Trump 15% (23%) [10%]
• Mitt Romney 14% (10%) [20%] {17%} (17%) [19%]
• Sarah Palin 12% (12%) [16%] {26%} (17%) [20%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% (12%) [12%] {9%} (9%) [13%]
• Ron Paul 6% (5%) [7%] {5%} (4%) [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 4% (5%)
• Mitch Daniels 3% (0%) [2%] {1%}
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%) [3%] {1%} (3%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (1%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 0%

Who would be your second choice?

• Mitt Romney 17% (14%) [15%] {18%}
• Mike Huckabee 14% (16%) [18%] {14%}
• Donald Trump 14% (13%) [6%]
• Sarah Palin 13% (13%) [12%] {19%}
• Michele Bachmann 9% (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% (12%) [11%] {8%}
• Ron Paul 5% (9%) [10%] {8%}
• Tim Pawlenty 4% (3%) [4%] {5%}
• Mitch Daniels 3% (4%) [4%] {4%}
• Jon Hunstman 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%) [3%] {3%}
• Someone else (vol.) 1% (3%) [2%] {5%}
• None/ No one (vol.) 5% (4%) [9%] {7%}
• No opinion 1% (2%) [3%] {4%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 52%
• Ron Paul 45%

• Barack Obama 53% (44%) {54%}
• Mike Huckabee 45% (52%) {45%}

• Barack Obama 54% (45%) {53%}
• Mitt Romney 43% (50%) {45%}

• Barack Obama 57% (49%) {55%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% (47%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 59% (52%) {55%}
• Sarah Palin 38% (44%) {42%}

• Barack Obama 58%
• Donald Trump 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable

• Mike Huckabee: 46% (42%) {43%} / 27% (26%) {29%} {+19%}
• Mitt Romney: 40% (36%) {40%} / 30% (29%) {34%} {+10%}
• Ron Paul: 30% / 27% {+3%}
• Michele Bachmann: 22% / 23% {-1%}
• Tim Pawlenty: 17% / 18% {-1%}
• Mitch Daniels: 14% / 15% {-1%}
• Rick Santorum: 16% / 19% {-3%}
• John Huntsman: 9% / 13% {-4%}
• Newt Gingrich: 30% (32%) {38%} / 44% (40%) {38%} {-14%}
• Sarah Palin: 35% (40%) {39%} / 59% (49%) {55%} {-24%}
• Donald Trump: 31% / 64% {-33%}

Survey of 964 registered voters, including a subsample of 475 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.5 percentage points among Republican and Republican-leaning Independents.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.