Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 44% [43%] (43%)

• Barack Obama 46% [44%] (45%)
• Mike Huckabee 44% [48%] (49%)

• Barack Obama 47% [46%]
• Newt Gingrich 40% [46%]

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (47%)
• Sarah Palin 38% [41%] (47%)

• Barack Obama 48%
• Donald Trump 36%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 52% [43%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 35% [43%] (43%)

• Barack Obama 56% [47%] (47%)
• Mike Huckabee 28% [40%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 55% [53%]
• Newt Gingrich 25% [38%]

• Barack Obama 56%
• Donald Trump 25%

• Barack Obama 61% [57%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 25% [31%] (43%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 85% [83%] (84%)
• Barack Obama 8% [9%] (11%)

• Mike Huckabee 79% [85%] (81%)
• Barack Obama 9% [7%] (13%)

• Newt Gingrich 74% [81%]
• Barack Obama 12% [10%]

• Sarah Palin 70% [74%] (77%)
• Barack Obama 13% [14%] (13%)

• Donald Trump 65%
• Barack Obama 12%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 85% [83%] (80%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% [13%] (15%)

• Barack Obama 85% [80%] (79%)
• Mitt Romney 9% [16%] (15%)

• Barack Obama 86% [81%]
• Newt Gingrich 7% [12%]

• Barack Obama 87% [84%] (81%)
• Sarah Palin 7% [10%] (15%)

• Barack Obama 88%
• Donald Trump 7%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% [52%] (53%)
• Barack Obama 41% [38%] (42%)

• Mike Huckabee 45% [52%] (51%)
• Barack Obama 43% [40%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 44% [43%]
• Newt Gingrich 44% [49%]

• Barack Obama 47% [47%] (45%)
• Sarah Palin 42% [44%] (50%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Donald Trump 39%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47% [46%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [47%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 48% [47%] (46%)
• Mike Huckabee 43% [45%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 49% [48%]
• Newt Gingrich 37% [43%]

• Barack Obama 50%
• Donald Trump 34%

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] (49%)
• Sarah Palin 35% [38%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (40%) / 37% [38%] (39%) {+8%}
• Mike Huckabee 35% [44%] (36%) / 48% [35%] (35%) {-13%}
• Sarah Palin 32% [39%] (44%) / 62% [57%] (48%) {-30%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% [34%] / 59% [48%] {-33%}
• Donald Trump 24% / 66% {-42%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 40% [42%] (37%) / 41% [42%] (45%) {-1%}
• Mike Huckabee 25% [40%] (31%) / 55% [42%] (45%) {-30%}
• Donald Trump 21% / 68% {-47%}
• Sarah Palin 25% [32%] (39%) / 72% [67%] (56%) {-47%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% [23%] / 69% [59%] {-53%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 68% [59%] (61%) / 16% [22%] (19%) {+52%}
• Mike Huckabee 57% [66%] (55%) / 28% [15%] (20%) {+29%}
• Sarah Palin 57% [67%] (70%) / 34% [25%] (19%) {+23%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% [59%] / 36% [22%] {+10%}
• Donald Trump 38% / 49% {-11%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 20% [28%] (19%) / 62% [54%] (58%) {-42%}
• Mike Huckabee 13% [21%] (16%) / 69% [55%] (46%) {-56%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% [14%] / 81% [69%] {-74%}
• Donald Trump 8% / 88% {-80%}
• Sarah Palin 6% [12%] (16%) / 91% [85%] (76%) {-85%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (27%) / 40% [41%] (51%) {-1%}
• Mike Huckabee 29% [31%] (25%) / 49% [45%] (42%) {-20%}
• Donald Trump 18% / 74% {-56%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% [22%] / 70% [59%] {-58%}
• Sarah Palin 17% [20%] (29%) / 77% [76%] (62%) {-60%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [45%] (44%) / 35% [40%] (40%) {+15%}
• Mike Huckabee 33% [47%] (36%) / 53% [39%] (41%) {-20%}
• Sarah Palin 36% [43%] (48%) / 59% [54%] (46%) {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 29% [37%] / 61% [50%] {-32%}
• Donald Trump 27% / 66% {-39%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 41% [43%] (37%) / 40% [37%] (37%) {+1%}
• Mike Huckabee 37% [41%] (36%) / 43% [33%] (29%) {-6%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% [32%] / 57% [45%] {-34%}
• Sarah Palin 29% [36%] (39%) / 65% [59%] (50%) {-36%}
• Donald Trump 21% / 67% {-46%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 50% [51%] (47%)

Would you like for Sarah Palin to move to Arizona or not?

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 27%
• Would not like her to 57%

Among Independents

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 17%
• Would not like her to 66%

Among Republicans

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 45%
• Would not like her to 32%

Among Democrats

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 10%
• Would not like her to 84%

Among Moderates

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 16%
• Would not like her to 68%

Among Men

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 30%
• Would not like her to 58%

Among Women

• Would like Palin to move to Arizona 24%
• Would not like her to 57%

Survey of 623 Arizona voters voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] (42%) Republican; 34% [36%] (37%) Democrat; 23% [24%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political views: 33% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 7% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in parentheses.