Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mike Huckabee 28% {29%} [27%] (32%)
• Mitt Romney 13% {13%} [14%] (22%)
• Donald Trump 12%
• Newt Gingrich 10% {19%} [15%]
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Sarah Palin 8% {14%} [25%] (28%)
• Ron Paul 6% {7%} [5%]
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {3%} [3%]
• Someone else/Undecided 9% {10%} [9%]

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 23% {23%} [22%] (30%)
• Mitt Romney 16% {13%} [17%] (22%)
• Donald Trump 12%
• Michele Bachmann 11%
• Newt Gingrich 9% {19%} [16%]
• Sarah Palin 9% {15%} [24%] (31%)
• Ron Paul 8% {8%} [6%]
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {4%} [3%]
• Someone else/Undecided 6% {12%} [7%]

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 33% {35%} [32%] (34%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% {19%} [13%]
• Donald Trump 11%
• Mitt Romney 10% {12%} [10%] (23%)
• Sarah Palin 8% {13%} [26%] (24%)
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 4% {6%} [3%]
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {3%} [5%]
• Someone else/Undecided 11% {8%} [11%]

Among Birthers

• Mike Huckabee 37%
• Donald Trump 17%
• Sarah Palin 8%
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Mitt Romney 6%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Among Non-Birthers

• Mitt Romney 21%
• Mike Huckabee 20%
• Michele Bachmann 13%
• Donald Trump 10%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Someone else/Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 71% {73%} [76%] / 15% {12%} [13%] {+56%}
• Sarah Palin 63% {63%} [72%] / 25% {27%} [20%] {+38%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% {53%} [57%] / 25% {24%} [25%] {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {47%} [47%] / 33% {32%} [27%] {+12%}
• Donald Trump 39% / 44% {-5%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 71% {71%} [73%] / 18% {15%} [17%] {+53%}
• Sarah Palin 61% {62%} [69%] / 27% {29%} [23%] {+34%}
• Newt Gingrich 51% {58%} [58%] / 27% {25%} [29%] {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {47%} [49%] / 39% {36%} [31%] {+6%}
• Donald Trump 40% / 46% {-6%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 72% {74%} [79%] / 12% {9%} [9%] {+60%}
• Sarah Palin 65% {64%} [75%] / 23% {25%} [17%] {+42%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {47%} [56%] / 23% {24%} [20%] {+23%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {46%} [44%] / 27% {29%} [24%] {+18%}
• Donald Trump 38% / 42% {-4%}

Among Birthers

• Mike Huckabee 79% / 10% {+69%}
• Sarah Palin 72% / 17% {+55%}
• Donald Trump 54% / 30% {+24%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% / 26% {+22%}
• Mitt Romney 40% / 35% {+5%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Mike Huckabee 68% / 19% {+49%}
• Sarah Palin 58% / 32% {+26%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% / 27% {+22%}
• Mitt Romney 50% / 34% {+16%}
• Donald Trump 32% / 55% {-23%}

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 42%
• No 37%
• Not sure 20%

Survey of 400 Missouri Republican primary voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% {41%} Very conservative; 37% {39%} Somewhat conservative; 18% {15%} Moderate; 4% {4%} Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses.