Poll Watch: Suffolk University/WHDH New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suffolk University/WHDH New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 35%
• Rudy Giuliani 8%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Donald Trump 8%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Mike Huckabee 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Herman Cain 2%
• John Bolton 1%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 13%

If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?

• Mitt Romney 17%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Rudy Giuliani 9%
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Donald Trump 6%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Sarah Palin 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Mitch Daniels 2%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• John Bolton 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 30%

Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

• Barack Obama 28%
• Mitt Romney 20%
• Donald Trump 8%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
• Rudy Giuliani 2%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Sarah Palin 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Ron Paul 1%
• John Bolton 1%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Newt Gingrich 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 30%

Of the Republican candidates we've discussed thus far, who do you feel is the most conservative?

• Ron Paul 18%
• Newt Gingrich 13%
• Mike Huckabee 9%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Mitt Romney 8%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Donald Trump 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Rudy Giuliani 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• John Bolton 0%
• Undecided 30%

Who do you feel is the least conservative?

• Mitt Romney 14%
• Donald Trump 13%
• Rudy Giuliani 11%
• Sarah Palin 8%
• Mike Huckabee 5%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Newt Gingrich 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• John Bolton 0%
• Herman Cain 0%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Undecided 39%

Some Republicans have stated they are NOT running for president in 2012, however, if Jeb Bush, Scott Brown, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, or Colin Powell were to enter the presidential race, would you support one of them over the candidate that is currently your first choice?

• Colin Powell 30%
• Chris Christie 16%
• Jeb Bush 7%
• Scott Brown 6%
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• None 28%
• Undecided 11%

How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

• Very satisfied 10%
• Somewhat satisfied 43%
• Somewhat dissatisfied 27%
• Very dissatisfied 13%

Do you think Donald Trump will become an official candidate for president?

• Yes 39%
• No 55%

Thinking about Mitt Romney, does his involvement in helping to pass Massachusetts's universal health care make you more likely to vote for him, less likely, or does it not affect your decision?

• More likely 14%
• Less likely 29%
• No effect 53%

Recently, Congressman Paul Ryan introduced a plan to reduce the national debt called "The Path to Prosperity," which has been embraced by most Republicans in Washington. The plan makes significant cuts to Medicare and Medicaid and calls for cutting corporate taxes. How would you characterize your support for this plan, strongly approve, approve, disapprove, strongly disapprove?

• Strongly approve 17%
• Approve 30%
• Disapprove 20%
• Strongly disapprove 19%

Do you agree or disagree that raising taxes should be an option for helping to reduce the national debt?

• Agree 32%
• Disagree 63%

Do you agree or disagree that making changes or cuts to entitlement programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are necessary for reducing the national debt?

• Agree 48%
• Disagree 45%

Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?

• Repealed 52%
• Modified 34%
• Left alone 10%

Should the federal government eliminate tax breaks and subsidies for oil companies?

• Yes 64%
• No 27%

Does the White House producing President Obama's long form birth certificate put the issue of Obama's birthplace to rest?

• Yes 59%
• No 26%
• Undecided 15%

Are you comfortable with religious language and references in political speeches?

• Yes 72%
• No 21%

Do you feel that a President's religion should affect his or her policymaking all of the time, some of the time, or never?

• All of the time 12%
• Some of the time 23%
• Never 63%

Are Mormons Christians?

• Yes 63%
• No 18%
• Undecided 20%

Are your values similar to that of the Tea Party?

• Yes 21%
• No 76%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Colin Powell 65% / 21% {+44%}
• Mitt Romney 65% / 22% {+43%}
• Tim Pawlenty 30% / 13% {+17%}
• Mike Huckabee 41% / 31% {+10%}
• Ron Paul 41% / 32% {+9%}
• Michele Bachmann 25% / 22% {+3%}
• Jon Hunstman 8% / 7% {+1%}
• Newt Gingrich 38% / 38% {0%}
• Sarah Palin 42% / 46% {-4%}
• Barack Obama 36% / 59% {-23%}
• Donald Trump 27% / 56% {-29%}

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 30 - May 2, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 50% Republican; 38% Independent; 10% Democrat.  Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 43% Moderate; 9% Liberal.