Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 87% (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
• Mitt Romney 7% (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 84% (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% (70%) {59%} [57%] (62%) [56%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 23% (24%) {27%} [28%] (24%) [26%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 43% (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Terry Branstad for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49% (50%)
• Romney-Branstad 42% (42%)
• Undecided 9% (8%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Steve King for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48% (50%)
• Romney-King 40% (40%)
• Undecided 12% (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 37% (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 55% (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-18%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 7% (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 88% (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-81%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 72% (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 19% (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+53%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 31% (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 57% (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-26%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 20% (22%) {33%} [31%] (34%) [30%] (32%) / 70% (70%) {50%} [49%] (44%) [47%] (46%) {-50%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 42% (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 50% (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {-8%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 31% (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 60% (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-29%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
• Disapprove 49% (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 86% (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
• Disapprove 11% (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 9% (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
• Disapprove 89% (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)

Among Independents

• Approve 45% (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
• Disapprove 48% (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 63% (65%) {55%} [58%] (65%) [62%] (64%)
• Disapprove 31% (28%) {37%} [32%] (26%) [30%] (27%)

Among Men

• Approve 41% (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
• Disapprove 54% (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 53% (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
• Disapprove 44% (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)

Given the following list of choices, how old do you think Barack Obama is: 35 to 39, 40 to 44, 45 to 49, 50 to 54, 55 to 59, 60 to 64, 65 to 69, 70 to 74, or are you not sure?

• 35 to 39: 3%
• 40 to 44: 21%
• 45 to 49: 38%
• 50 to 54: 29%
• 55 to 59: 2%
• 60 to 64: 1%
• 65 to 69: 1%
• 70 to 74: 0%
• Not sure 4%

Note: Barack Obama, who was born August 4, 1961, is 50 years old.

Given the same list of choices, how old do you think Mitt Romney is?

• 35 to 39: 1%
• 40 to 44: 4%
• 45 to 49: 11%
• 50 to 54: 23%
• 55 to 59: 31%
• 60 to 64: 17%
• 65 to 69: 7%
• 70 to 74: 0%
• Not sure 5%

Note: Mitt Romney, who was born March 12, 1947, is 65 years old. 

Survey of 1,131 Iowa voters was conducted July 12-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.91 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 30% (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (30%) {29%} [32%] (34%) [30%] Moderate; 24% (24%) {24%} [23%] (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (19%) {18%} [17%] (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 18% (18%) {18%} [19%] (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 7% (10%) {12%} [9%] (9%) [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.