Sunday, October 12, 2014

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 46.7% (44%) 
  • Bruce Braley (D) 45.5% (38%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 3%
  • Undecided 4% (12%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 54% (55%) 
  • Bruce Braley (D) 38% (30%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 53% (46%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 39% (33%)  
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joni Ernst 47% / 43% {+4%}
  • Bruce Braley 44% / 43% {+1%}
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 3-8, 2014 by Selzer & Company.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-24, 2014 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Among the 15 percent of likely voters who have already cast ballots — early voting started Sept. 25 in Iowa — 41 percent say they're Democrats, 27 percent say they're Republicans and 28 percent say they're independents. That Democratic tilt gives Braley a lead among those who have already voted, 56 percent to 38 percent.

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