Thursday, November 01, 2012

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48.56% (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48.49% (49%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% (51%) {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%]
  • Barack Obama 46% (46%) {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 54% (58%) {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
  • Mitt Romney 43% (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% (53%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
  • Barack Obama 46% (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 51% (52%) {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]
(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 64% (64%) {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 31% (32%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 62% (61%) {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 32% (35%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 3% (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 
  • Approve 50% (50%) {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% (49%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 47% (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
How would you rate Barack Obama's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 35% (35%)
  • Good 44% (42%)
  • Not so good 4% (4%)
  • Poor 5% (4%)
How would you rate Mitt Romney's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 13% (14%)
  • Good 35% (30%)
  • Not so good 13% (13%)
  • Poor 11% (8%)
How would you rate the federal government's overall response to the Hurricane that hit the east coast this week, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
  • Excellent 27% (25%)
  • Good 51% (48%)
  • Not so good 4% (8%)
  • Poor 1% (1%)
If Barack Obama is re-elected, how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two - very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?
  • Very confident 21%
  • Somewhat confident 27%
  • Not so confident 16%
  • Not confident at all 36%
If Mitt Romney is elected, how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two - very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?
  • Very confident 19%
  • Somewhat confident 34%
  • Not so confident 19%
  • Not confident at all 27%
Who do you think is more responsible for the country's current economic problems - Barack Obama or George W. Bush?
  • George W. Bush 51%
  • Barack Obama 36%
Survey of 1,293 likely voters was conducted October 28-31, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (33%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 28% (28%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 36% (36%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: St. Norbert College/WPR Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

  • Tommy Thompson (R) 46%
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 43%
  • Not sure 8%
Survey of 402 likely voters was conducted October 25-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 32% Republican; 22% Independent. Ideology: 21% Very conservative; 36% Somewhat conservative; 28% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: St. Norbert College/WPR Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 51% (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (43%)
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate Mitt Romney or Barack Obama do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues:

Terrorism and National Security 
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
An Unexpected Major Crisis
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Federal Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Barack Obama 38%
The Economy and Unemployment
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
Energy Policy
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Immigration Policy
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Reproductive Rights for Women
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Mitt Romney 32%
Bringing Change to Washington
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Barack Obama 38%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate, Mitt Romney or Barack Obama, do you think cares more about people like you?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Please tell me whether you strongly approve, approve, disapprove, or strongly disapprove with the way Barack Obama is doing his job as president.
  • Strongly approve 23% (16%)
  • Approve 31% (38%)
  • Disapprove 16% (18%)
  • Strongly disapprove 28% (27%)
Do you favor or oppose the recent health care reforms, referred to as Obamacare, passed by Congress and President Obama?
  • Favor 46%
  • Oppose 48%
Survey of 402 likely voters was conducted October 25-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 32% Republican; 22% Independent. Ideology: 21% Very conservative; 36% Somewhat conservative; 28% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 17-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 60%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 56%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43%
Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, and Virgil Goode, as the Constitution party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Gary Johnson 4%
  • Jill Stein 1%
  • Virgil Goode 0%
Survey of 764 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 31% Republican; 35% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 50% [50%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 47% [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 2% [2%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%)
  • Undecided 1% [1%] (2%) {6%} [2%] (5%)
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 37% [34%] (33%) {22%} [21%] (19%)
  • Somewhat favorable 15% [18%] (16%) {26%} [27%] (25%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 12% [13%] (14%) {13%} [14%] (21%)
  • Very unfavorable 34% [34%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 52% [52%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (44%) / 46% [47%] (50%) {50%} [46%] (52%) {+6%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 31% [31%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (23%)
  • Somewhat approve 17% [17%] (25%) {19%} [18%] (25%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 5% [7%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • Strongly disapprove 46% [44%] (39%) {43%} [44%] (43%)
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 48% [48%] (52%) {48%} [49%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 51% [51%] (46%) {51%} [50%] (49%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Sixty-nine percent (69%) of likely Colorado voters have already cast their ballots, and Romney leads 50% to 47% among these voters.
The president leads 50% to 44% among voters in the state not affiliated with either of the major political parties.
Colorado voters are now almost evenly divided when asked whom they think will win the election: 45% say Obama, 42% Romney. Seventy-five percent (75%) are excited about the choice between Obama and Romney, but 22% still say they will be voting for the lesser of two evils.
Voters in the state trust Romney more than Obama by nine points – 53% to 44% - when it comes to handling the economy and by five points – 51% to 46% - in the area of national security. But by a 51% to 46% margin, Colorado voters think the president better understands the issues of the middle class.
If faced with the toughest decision of their lives, 50% say they would rather get advice from Romney, while 46% would turn to Obama instead.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (48%) {49%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (41%)
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?
  • Very favorable  37%
  • Somewhat favorable 14%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 8%
  • Very unfavorable 40%
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 40% [39%] (34%) {37%} [29%] (27%) {23%} [23%] (14%)
  • Somewhat favorable 11% [13%] (15%) {13%} [19%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (33%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 10% [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 38% [34%] (34%) {37%} [38%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (29%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 51% / 48% {+3%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% [52%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {50%} / 48% [47%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [45%] (49%) {44%} {+3%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
  • Strongly approve 36% [32%] (35%) {32%} [33%] (26%) {30%} [27%] (35%) {36%}
  • Somewhat approve 16% [17%] (16%) {17%} [18%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (17%) {15%}
  • Somewhat disapprove 6% [10%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (8%) {10%}
  • Strongly disapprove 42% [40%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (40%) {37%} [44%] (39%) {39%}
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 52% [49%] (51%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (52%) {51%}
  • Disapprove 48% [50%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [52%] (47%) {49%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Twenty-five percent (25%) of likely Wisconsin voters have already voted, and the president leads 56% to 41% among these voters.
Voters in the state trust Romney more than the president by just two points - 50% to 48% - when it comes to handling the economy. Obama has a three-point edge in voter trust - 50% to 47% - in the area of energy policy and leads by one - 49% to 48% - when it comes to national security.
Forty-five percent (45%) expect the economy to improve if Romney is elected and Republicans take over Congress, compared to 38% who say that's likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats are in charge on Capitol Hill. Thirty-eight percent (38%) predict that the economy will get worse if Romney wins, while 40% believe that will be the case if Obama triumphs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 49% [48%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] (49%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
  • Some other candidate 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Undecided 1% [2%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 33% [29%] (29%) {26%} [20%] (12%)
  • Somewhat favorable 17% [21%] (20%) {22%} [30%] (34%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 19% [14%] (15%) {11%} [18%] (25%)
  • Very unfavorable 29% [35%] (35%) {38%} [31%] (26%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 50% [50%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (46%) / 48% [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (51%) {+2%}
Survey of 750 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Forty-two percent (42%) of likely Iowa voters have already voted. The president leads 56% to 39% among these voters.
Iowa voters trust Romney more by seven points – 51% to 44% - when it comes to handling the economy, but trust the candidates equally in the area of national security.
Both candidates earn more than 90% support from Iowa voters in their respective parties. Obama leads 52% to 40% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: WPRI Rhode Island 2012 Presidential Survey

WPRI Rhode Island 2012 Presidential Poll 
  • Barack Obama 54% (57%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% (33%)
  • Undecided 8% (7%)
Survey of 601 likely voters was conducted October 24-27, 2012 by Fleming & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 
The two candidates are winning the vast majority of their political parties' members in Rhode Island, with Obama winning 90% of Democrats and Romney winning 92% of Republicans. Obama has slight edge among independents, 41% to 39%, but 14% of them remain undecided.
Beyond his party, Obama's strongest support in Rhode Island comes from voters ages 18 to 39 (61%), women (59%) and voters ages 60 and older (55%). Romney's biggest backers are men (39%), independents (39%) and voters ages 40 to 59 (38%).
Among 300 likely voters surveyed in the 1st Congressional District, Obama takes 55% and Romney takes 32%, with 9% undecided. Among 301 likely voters in the 2nd District, Obama takes 54% and Romney takes 35%, with 7% undecided.
Obama's approval rating in Rhode Island is also largely unchanged over the last month. The poll shows 54% of voters rate the president's job performance as excellent or good, while 44% rate it as fair or poor.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Mitt Romney 49% 
  • Barack Obama 47% 
  • Some other candidate 1%
  • Undecided 3%
Survey of 3,000 likely voters was conducted October 29-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  
Inside the numbers:
Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Another 49% at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 50% {48%} [47%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {45%} [46%] (45%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Virgil Goode 1%
  • None of these 1%
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [4%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% {52%} [47%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 42% {34%} [39%] (39%)
  • Gary Johnson 2%
  • Virgil Goode 1%
  • None of these 2%
  • Undecided 5% {7%} [8%] (7%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% {53%} [57%] (57%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% {41%} [36%] (34%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Virgil Goode 1%
  • None of these 1%
  • Undecided 2% {4%} [5%] (5%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [48%] (49%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {44%} [43%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Virgil Goode 0%
  • None of these 1%
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [5%] (4%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {52%} [52%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% {42%} [43%] (40%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Virgil Goode 1%
  • None of these 1%
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 44% {44%} [44%] (41%) / 44% {45%} [46%] (46%) {0%} 
  • Mitt Romney 42% {43%} [44%] (39%) / 46% {43%} [43%] (46%) {-4%}
Survey of 1,212 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-29, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow. The margin of error is +/- 2.9  percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {40%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 33% {31%} [33%] (36%) Republican; 23% {27%} [25%] (23%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 11-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (43%)
Survey of 547 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% [45%] {48%} (48%) [44%] 
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [46%] {43%} (43%) [45%] 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% [51%] {51%} (53%) [51%] / 46% [45%] {45%} (43%) [46%] {+6%}
  • Paul Ryan 47% [46%] {43%} (46%) [45%] / 41% [38%] {39%} (38%) [35%] {+6%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% [52%] {48%} (49%) [49%] / 46% [42%] {47%} (45%) [44%] {+5%} 
  • Joe Biden 47% [44%] {44%} (47%) [46%] / 46% [47%] {44%} (44%) [44%] {+1%}
Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

Handling foreign policy
  • Barack Obama 51% [49%] {52%} {54%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% [43%] {41%} {39%}
Protecting the U.S. from terrorist attacks
  • Barack Obama 49% [47%] {50%} {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% [43%] {40%} {41%}
Reducing the deficit
  • Mitt Romney 49% [52%]
  • Barack Obama 44% [39%]
Improving the economy and creating jobs
  • Mitt Romney 52% [51%] {46%} {46%}
  • Barack Obama 43% [43%] {47%} {46%}
Managing your tax dollars
  • Mitt Romney 49% [49%] {46%}
  • Barack Obama 44% [42%] {45%}
Handling immigration
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Handling health care
  • Barack Obama 47% [47%] {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% [45%] {42%}
Protecting Medicare and making sure it's there for future generations
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [42%] {40%}
Helping people achieve the American dream
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Handling education
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Handling the situation in Libya
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Stopping Iran from getting nuclear weapons
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Making the country a better place to live
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
Handling national security and the military
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Helping small businesses
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 46%
Encouraging the values you believe in
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Taking the country in the right direction
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 48%
Regardless of how you would vote, how comfortable would you be with Mitt Romney as president?
  • Extremely comfortable 21%
  • Very comfortable 19%
  • Somewhat comfortable 18%
  • Not at all comfortable 40%
Regardless of how you would vote, how comfortable would you be with Barack Obama as president for another four years?
  • Extremely comfortable 24%
  • Very comfortable 20%
  • Somewhat comfortable 14%
  • Not at all comfortable 41%
Which presidential candidate -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney -- do you think is better described by the following phrases and qualities? 

Is a steady leader
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Has a vision for the future
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Has strong moral values
  • Mitt Romney 43%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Will say anything to get elected
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Barack Obama 40%
Survey of 1,128 likely voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) October 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% [40%] {41%} (42%) [42%] Democrat; 37% [39%] {38%} (36%) [38%] Republican; 18% [18%] {20%} (19%) [18%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets. 

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (49%) {53%} [54%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% (48%) {42%} [40%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [46%] (45%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Barack Obama 53% (52%) {56%} [55%] (52%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (55%) {52%} [52%] (50%) / 44% (45%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {+9%}
  • Paul Ryan 46% (49%) {42%} [41%] (41%) / 42% (41%) {42%} [41%] (34%) {+4%}
  • Joe Biden 45% (45%) {45%} [45%] (38%) / 45% (46%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {0%} 
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {37%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (35%) {40%} [40%] (33%) {32%} [27%] (30%) / 50% (48%) {53%} [51%] (45%) {48%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (42%) {-5%}
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Barack Obama, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 61% (59%) {61%} [64%] (57%)
  • Does not describe 36% (38%) {36%} [33%] (39%)
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mitt Romney, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 44% (47%) {37%} [39%] (37%)
  • Does not describe 52% (49%) {56%} [53%] (51%)
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Barack Obama, or not...he is a strong leader.
  • Describes 56% (53%) {56%} [60%] (52%)
  • Does not describe 42% (45%) {42%} [38%] (46%)
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mitt Romney, or not...he is a strong leader.
  • Describes 55% (55%) {45%} [46%] (46%)
  • Does not describe 38% (37%) {45%} [44%] (38%)
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues:
  
The Economy
  • Barack Obama 49% (49%) {52%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% (50%) {43%}
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {54%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (46%) {40%}
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 54% (50%) {55%}
  • Mitt Romney 40% (47%) {40%}
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%) {54%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (47%) {41%}
Federal Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 49% (52%) {44%}
  • Barack Obama 47% (45%) {50%}
Social Issues Such as Abortion or Same-Sex Marriage
  • Barack Obama 56% (53%) {59%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% (40%) {35%}
Do you think Obama has or has not provided enough details about the policies he would pursue in a second term as president?
  • Has provided enough 50% (48%) {45%}
  • Has not provided enough 48% (49%) {51%} 
Do you think Romney has or has not provided enough details about the policies he would pursue as president?
  • Has provided enough 39% (37%) {27%}
  • Has not provided enough 57% (60%) {69%} 
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 51% (48%) {53%} [54%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (52%) {52%} [45%] (50%) {48%}
  • Disapprove 46% (48%) {42%} [39%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [49%] (46%) {47%}
Survey of 1,243 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (31%) {33%} [34%] (28%) {32%} [33%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 29% (28%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {30%} [29%] (27%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {27%} [26%] Republican; 33% (38%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {35%} [36%] (39%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {36%} [35%] Independent.  Political views: 10% (6%) {10%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] Very conservative; 32% (35%) {30%} [31%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {33%} [38%] (33%) {30%} [30%] Conservative; 34% (34%) {33%} [32%] (30%) {31%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [30%] (32%) {37%} [38%] Moderate; 13% (19%) {16%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {16%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [14%] Liberal; 6% (3%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 11-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [43%] (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% [54%] (53%) / 44% [43%] (42%) {+8%} 
  • Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (42%) / 49% [51%] (50%) {-6%}
Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?
  • Barack Obama 45% [47%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (43%)
Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 51% [51%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (38%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 48% [51%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 46% [44%] (44%)
Survey of 1,142 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [33%] (36%) Democrat; 31% [31%] (31%) Republican; 34% [35%] (33%) Independent.  Ideology: 34% [33%] (32%) Conservative; 33% [36%] (31%) Moderate; 15% [16%] (19%) Liberal; 12% [10%] (12%) Very conservative; 5% [5%] (6%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (51%) 
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% (44%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% (54%) / 46% (43%) {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% (43%) / 46% (52%) {+3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 48% (50%)
  • Disapprove 48% (45%)
Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy:
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (49%)
Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy:
  • Barack Obama 51% (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (41%)
Survey of 1,013 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 27% (25%) Democrat; 26% (25%) Republican; 47% (49%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [49%] (48%)
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 47% [45%] (46%)
Survey of 1,065 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [33%] (33%) Democrat; 29% [28%] (28%) Republican; 35% [38%] (38%) Independent.  Ideology: 33% [34%] (32%) Moderate; 32% [31%] (31%) Conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) Liberal; 12% [12%] (12%) Very conservative; 7% [5%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [45%] (45%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 53% [53%] (51%) / 44% [44%] (44%) {+9%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (43%) / 47% [47%] (46%) {0%}
Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?
  • Barack Obama 47% [48%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (46%)
Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 52% [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (40%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 49% [49%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 45% [46%] (46%)
Survey of 1,065 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [33%] (33%) Democrat; 29% [28%] (28%) Republican; 35% [38%] (38%) Independent.  Ideology: 33% [34%] (32%) Moderate; 32% [31%] (31%) Conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) Liberal; 12% [12%] (12%) Very conservative; 7% [5%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% (89%) {88%} [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 9% (10%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 92% (86%) {90%} [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 6% (13%) {7%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 44% (47%) {44%} [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 56% (50%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (45%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% (57%) {54%} [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (41%) {42%} [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 56% (57%) {59%} [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 39% (41%) {38%} [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 86% (88%) {91%} [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 11% (8%) {7%} [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {49%} [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 46% (51%) {47%} [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+3%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {48%} / 48% (47%) {51%} {+1%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 85% (88%) {85%} / 13% (12%) {15%} {+72%}
  • Mitt Romney 15% (12%) {15%} [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 81% (85%) {80%} [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-66%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 88% (83%) {87%} [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 8% (15%) {12%} [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+80%}
  • Barack Obama 6% (14%) {8%} / 93% (83%) {89%} {-87%} 
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 53% (44%) {51%} [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 40% (50%) {44%} [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+13%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (46%) {44%} / 46% (52%) {53%} {+3%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% (49%) {53%} [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 38% (47%) {42%} [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+17%}
  • Barack Obama 42% (44%) {43%} / 46% (53%) {56%} {-14%} 
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (56%) {52%} / 42% (42%) {46%} {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (42%) {46%} [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 53% (55%) {52%} [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-9%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (47%) {45%} [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% (49%) {53%} [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% (52%) {53%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (44%) {45%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {48%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {47%}
Survey of 600 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012, on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (38%) {42%} [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 36% (34%) {37%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 22% (28%) {21%} [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Race: 73% (71%) {72%} [75%] {73%} White; 20% (20%) {20%} [18%] {17%} Black; 7% (9%) {8%} [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.