Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Among Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% {43%} (43%) [45%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% {48%} (48%) [44%]
Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% {49%} (46%) [44%] {49%} (45%) [45%] {43%} (46%) [46%] {44%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (47%) [48%] {48%} 
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% {41%} (42%) [42%] {40%} (41%) [40%] {43%} (39%) [46%] {46%} (42%) [42%] {45%} {42%} [44%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {41%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% {47%} (48%) [48%] {41%} (43%) [40%] {46%} (46%) [49%] {52%} [47%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41% {45%} (42%) [40%] {47%} (42%) [45%] {41%} (37%) [45%] {38%} [42%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {51%} (53%) [48%] {51%} (48%) [46%] {46%} (55%) [47%] {49%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41% {40%} (39%) [42%] {39%} (40%) [39%] {40%} (33%) [42%] {41%} [38%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney 52% {48%} (49%) [49%] / 42% {47%} (45%) [44%] {+10%}
  • Paul Ryan 46% {43%} (46%) [45%] / 38% {39%} (38%) [35%] {+8%} 
  • Barack Obama 51% {51%} (53%) [51%] / 45% {45%} (43%) [46%] {+6%}
  • Joe Biden 44% {44%} (47%) [46%] / 47% {44%} (44%) [44%] {-3%}
Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 52% {52%} (52%) [52%] {54%} (52%) {54%} (52%) [50%] (50%) {51%} / 44% {43%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (46%) {42%} (44%) [48%] (47%) {46%} {+8%}
  • Paul Ryan 45% {41%} (43%) [41%] / 38% {40%} (36%) [34%] {+7%}
  • Mitt Romney 50% {46%} (48%) [46%] {46%} (52%) {46%} (45%) [42%] (39%) {45%} / 44% {48%} (45%) [45%] {45%} (40%) {42%} (43%) [45%] (49%) {38%} {+6%}
  • Joe Biden 44% {44%} (45%) [45%] / 46% {43%} (44%) [42%] {-2%} 
Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

Likely Voters

Handling foreign policy
  • Barack Obama 49% {52%} {54%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% {41%} {39%}
Protecting the U.S. from terrorist attacks
  • Barack Obama 47% {50%} {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% {40%} {41%}
Reducing the deficit
  • Mitt Romney 52%
  • Barack Obama 39%
Improving the economy and creating jobs
  • Mitt Romney 51% {46%} {46%}
  • Barack Obama 43% {47%} {46%}
Managing your tax dollars
  • Mitt Romney 49% {46%}
  • Barack Obama 42% {45%}
Handling illegal immigration
  • Mitt Romney 45% {42%}
  • Barack Obama 42% {46%}
Handling health care
  • Barack Obama 47% {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {42%}
Protecting Medicare and making sure it's there for future generations
  • Barack Obama 50% {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {40%} 
Who do you want to nominate the next Supreme Court Justice?
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 44%
No matter how you plan to vote, who do you honestly think won the debate -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Mitt Romney 76%
  • Barack Obama 14%
Regardless of how you might vote, which candidate do you think relies more on a teleprompter?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 18%
Would you trust Mitt Romney to manage your family’s money and bank accounts? 
  • Yes 50%
  • No 46%
Would you trust Barack Obama to manage your family’s money and bank accounts?
  • Yes 38%
  • No 59%
If Mitt Romney gets elected president, do you think your taxes will go up, go down or stay about the same? 
  • Go up 41%
  • Go down 11%
  • Stay the same 44%
If Barack Obama gets re-elected president, do you think your taxes will go up, go down or stay about the same? 
  • Go up 50%
  • Go down 5%
  • Stay the same 41% 
Which of the following comes closer to how you feel about Barack Obama and the economy? 1. Obama’s policies are working and we should stick with him 2. Obama’s policies haven’t helped enough, but it’s too risky to change presidents right now 3. Obama’s policies aren’t working and so it’s time to vote him out.  
  • Policies working/stick with him 32%
  • Too risky to change now 17%
  • Not working/Vote him out 48%
In the past week, have you read or heard anything about Mitt Romney? [IF YES] Did that make you feel more positive about him or less positive about him?
  • Yes, more positive 46%
  • Yes, less positive 34%
In the past week, have you read or heard anything about Barack Obama? [IF YES] Did that make you feel more positive about him or less positive about him?
  • Yes, more positive 30%
  • Yes, less positive 46%
Survey of 1,204 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,109 likely voters, was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) October 7-9, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID (among likely voters): 40% {41%} (42%) [42%] Democrat; 39% {38%} (36%) [38%] Republican; 18% {20%} (19%) [18%] Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 41% {41%} (40%) [42%] {44%} (42%) [41%] {41%} Democrat; 39% {36%} (37%) [35%] {35%} (38%) [36%] {37%} Republican; 19% {20%} (19%) [21%] {14%} (18%) [19%] {20%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

No comments: