Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% [49%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 49% [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (41%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 55% [44%] (43%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {57%}
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (39%) {31%}

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 37% [29%] (27%) {23%} [23%] (14%)
• Somewhat favorable 13% [19%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (33%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% [13%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (20%)
• Very unfavorable 37% [38%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% [48%] (54%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {50%} / 50% [51%] (44%) {48%} [45%] (49%) {44%} {0%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 32% [33%] (26%) {30%} [27%] (35%) {36%}
• Somewhat approve 17% [18%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (17%) {15%}
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [7%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (8%) {10%}
• Strongly disapprove 43% [42%] (40%) {37%} [44%] (39%) {39%}

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 49% [51%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (52%) {51%}
• Disapprove 51% [49%] (50%) {47%} [52%] (47%) {49%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-one percent (91%) of Wisconsin voters are certain of how they will vote. Among those who are certain, 51% favor the president, while 49% support Romney.

Wisconsin voters are evenly divided over which candidate they trust more to handle the issues of the economy and national security.

However, voters in the state are slightly more confident in economic improvement under a Romney presidency and a GOP-ed Congress. Forty-seven percent (47%) say if Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress, the nation’s economy will get better. That compares to 41% who feel that way if Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress. Forty-four percent (44%) say the economy will get worse under Obama, compared to 37% who say the same if Romney takes over.