Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Wisconsin Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Wisconsin Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Ron Johnson (R) 52% [52%] 
• Russ Feingold (D) 45% [45%]
• Other 1%
• Undecided 2% [3%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ron Johnson 51% [57%] / 38% [28%] {+13%}
• Russ Feingold 49% [48%] / 46% [44%] {+3%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Scott Walker (R) 51% [51%] 
• Tom Barrett (D) 44% [43%]
• Undecided 5% [6%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 43% [46%]
• Disapprove 50% [50%]

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 53%
• Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 36%

Survey of 491 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 27% Democrat; 26% Republican; 46% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 36% Moderate; 19% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Ken Buck (R) 49% [50%]
• Michael Bennet (D) 45% [42%] 
• Other 3% [2%]
• Undecided 3% [6%]

Already Voted  (25%)

• Michael Bennet (D) 50%
• Ken Buck (R) 45%
• Other 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Michael Bennet 45% [42%] / 48% [45%] {-3%}
• Ken Buck 44% [47%] / 48% [40%] {-4%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [48%]
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [29%]
• Dan Maes (R) 7% [19%]
• Undecided 3% [4%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 40% [39%]
• Disapprove 55% [56%]

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
• Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 39%

Survey of 615 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Republican; 30% Democrat; 32% Independent.  Political ideology: 44% Conservative; 35% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Critical Insights Maine 1st Congressional District

Critical Insights Maine 1st Congressional District

• Dean Scontras (R) 45% [40%] {33%} (26%)
• Chellie Pingree (D) 41% [45%] {48%} (54%)

Survey of 295 likely Maine 1st Congressional District voters was conducted October 27-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% Democrat; 39% Republican; 19% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in parentheses..

Poll Watch: New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Senatorial Survey

New York Times/USF Polytechnic Florida Senatorial Survey

• Marco Rubio (R) 46%
• Charlie Crist (I) 29%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 16%
• Undecided 8%

Among Democrats

• Kendrick Meek (D) 36%
• Charlie Crist (I) 35%
• Marco Rubio (R) 15%

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 76%
• Charlie Crist (I) 17%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 2%

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 43%
• Marco Rubio (R) 32%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 48% / 29% {+19%}
• Charlie Crist 43% / 44% {-1%}
• Kendrick Meek 25% / 28% {-3%}

Survey of 696 likely voters was conducted October 23-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Senatorial Survey

• Ron Wyden (D) 57% {56%} [54%] (53%) {51%}
• Jim Huffman (R) 32% {34%} [38%] (35%) {38%}

Already Voted (60%)

• Ron Wyden (D) 60%
• Jim Huffman (R) 33%

Did Not Vote Yet (40%)

• Ron Wyden (D) 52%
• Jim Huffman (R) 30%

Survey of 580 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 45% {45%} [44%] Democrat; 31% {32%} [32%] Republican; 21% {21%} [23%] Independent.  Political ideology: 37% {36%} [39%] Moderate; 32% {33%} [37%] Conservative; 23% {25%} [21%] Liberal. 

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey 

• John Kitzhaber (D) 48% (46%) {43%} [44%] (40%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 41% (45%) {49%} [46%] (47%)

Among Men

• Chris Dudley (R) 47% (51%) {57%} [44%] (50%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 44% (40%) {38%} [48%] (36%)

Among Women

• John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (52%) {48%} [41%] (44%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 36% (40%) {42%} [47%] (44%)

Among Democrats

• John Kitzhaber (D) 82% (76%) {76%} [73%] (70%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 12% (18%) {20%} [19%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Chris Dudley (R) 83% (83%) {82%} [84%] (79%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 9% (12%) {10%} [7%] (13%)

Among Independents

• Chris Dudley (R) 43% (46%) {61%} [45%] (41%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (37%) {28%} [41%] (35%) 

Among Moderates

• John Kitzhaber (D) 56% (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 34% (41%) {43%} [39%] (34%)

Portland

• John Kitzhaber (D) 49% (48%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 42% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%)

Rest of Oregon

• John Kitzhaber (D) 46% (43%) {38%} [41%] (35%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 40% (49%) {56%} [49%] (53%)

College Grad

• John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (54%) {46%} [48%] (48%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 41% (38%) {44%} [43%] (46%)

Not a College Grad

• John Kitzhaber (D) 45% (36%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 41% (54%) {54%} [47%] (49%)

Pro-Choice

• John Kitzhaber (D) 66% (63%) {65%} [62%] (54%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 26% (30%) {29%} [31%] (33%)

Pro-Life

• Chris Dudley (R) 70% (75%) {75%} [68%] (71%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 18% (16%) {17%} [19%] (18%) 

Regularly Attend Religious Service

• Chris Dudley (R) 61% (58%) {61%} [60%] (56%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (33%) {34%} [28%] (37%)

Occasionally Attend Religious Service

• Chris Dudley (R) 48% (48%) {51%} [49%] (53%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 47% (46%) {36%} [44%] (33%)

Almost Never Attend Religious Service 

• John Kitzhaber (D) 64% (56%) {58%} [60%] (47%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 31% (35%) {36%} [31%] (37%)

Already Voted (60%)

• John Kitzhaber (D) 51%
• Chris Dudley (R) 42%

Did Not Vote Yet (40%)

• John Kitzhaber (D) 43%
• Chris Dudley (R) 41%

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 28% (29%) {34%} [32%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 39% (42%) {36%} [33%] (32%)

Survey of 580 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) {44%} [46%] (38%) Democrat; 31% (32%) {32%} [32%] (35%) Republican; 21% (21%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 32% (33%) {37%} [31%] (34%) Conservative; 23% (25%) {21%} [21%] (18%) Liberal.  Abortion: 60% (62%) {56%} [57%] (57%) Pro-choice; 34% (34%) {42%} [41%] (40%) Pro-life.  Attend Religious Service: 37% (37%) {36%} [37%] (38%) Regularly; 21% (19%) {25%} [22%] (22%) Occasionally; 41% (43%) {39%} [41%] (40%) Almost Never.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fleming/WPRI Rhode Island Gubernatorial Survey

Fleming/WPRI Rhode Island Gubernatorial Survey

• Lincoln Chafee (I) 32.8% [29.8%]
• Frank Caprio (D) 26.2% [32.8%]
• John Robitaille (R) 25.5% [18.6%]
• Ken Block (M) 4.1% [4.0%]
• Undecided 11.0% [14.6%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 21-25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 17% Republican; 42% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-26, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

Western New England College Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

• Deval Patrick (D) 42% {44%} [39%]
• Charlie Baker (R) 37% {36%} [33%]
• Tim Cahill (I) 11% {8%} [16%]
• Jill Stein (G) 3% {5%} [3%]
• Undecided 4% {5%} [7%]

Among Voters 'Very Sure' of Their Vote

• Deval Patrick (D) 35.28% {32.56%}
• Charlie Baker (R) 29.60% {29.16%}
• Tim Cahill (I) 4.29% {2.48%}

Survey of 361 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2010 are in square brackets.

Kentucky Democratic Party Ad: "The Rand Paul STOMP"

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey

Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 37% [37%]
• Joe Miller (R) 27% [31%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 23% [19%]
• Unsure 13% [13%]

Survey of 421 likely voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Respondents are first asked an open-ended question about their vote preference, and their choice of candidate is recorded. If the respondent is unable to make a choice, he or she is read the names of the candidates on the ballot, with the option of a write-in candidate. In order to choose Murkowski, the respondent must choose the write-in option and provide her name.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Sarah Palin

Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Sarah Palin

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

• Strongly favorable 16% [17%] {18%} (20%)
• Somewhat favorable 23% [20%] {20%} (23%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% [14%] {16%} (18%)
• Strongly unfavorable 39% [41%] {38%} (34%)

Among Democrats

• Strongly favorable 6%
• Somewhat favorable 7%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Strongly unfavorable 65%

Among Republicans

• Strongly favorable 30%
• Somewhat favorable 41%
• Somewhat unfavorable 12%
• Strongly unfavorable 10%

Among Independents

• Strongly favorable 14%
• Somewhat favorable 25%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Strongly unfavorable 35%

Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for her, do you think Palin is or is not qualified to serve as president?

• Is qualified 27% {26%} (38%)
• Is not qualified 67% {71%} (60%) 

Among Democrats

• Is qualified 14% {6%} (22%)  
• Is not qualified 82% {91%} (76%)

Among Republicans

• Is qualified 47% {46%} (61%)
• Is not qualified 46% {52%} (36%)

Among Independents

• Is qualified 23% {29%} (37%)
• Is not qualified 70% {67%} (59%)

Survey of 1,202 registered voters was conducted October 25-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-15, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While there are political and ideological divides on Palin, she faces hurdles across the board. Even in her own party, Republicans divide, 47 percent to 46 percent, on whether she’s qualified or unqualified to serve as president. Conservatives split, 45-48 percent, as do Tea Party supporters, 48-48 percent.

In only two groups do majorities see Palin as qualified – conservative Republicans, by 55-40 percent; and “strong” supporters of the Tea Party movement, by a broad 73-22 percent. (They’re a small group, one in 10 registered voters.)

While 82 percent of Democrats and 84 percent of liberals see her as unqualified, as do 70 percent of swing-voting independents and 77 percent of self-described political moderates.

At her peak, shortly after the Republican National Convention, 58 percent of Americans saw her favorably. That fell to 46 percent by the 2008 election and 40 percent last summer, and hasn’t recovered since.

Beyond the expected partisan and ideological differences, Palin is notably more popular among evangelical white Protestants, 61 percent favorable, than among their mainline counterparts, 41 percent. And fewer than half in two key voter groups, independents and white Catholics, see her favorably overall.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Gubernatorial Survey

• John Lynch (D) 53% {51%} [51%] (47%)
• John Stephen (R) 44% {39%} [34%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Lynch’s job performance?

• Approve 51% {51%} [52%] (44%)
• Disapprove 39% {38%} [36%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Stephen 37% {31%} [14%] (12%) / 40% {30%} [21%] (20%) {-3%}

Survey of 1,308 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat;  36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% {47%} [45%] (47%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 41% {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Undecided 3% {9%} [13%] (13%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 57% {35%} [36%] (34%) / 34% {47%} [39%] (24%) {+23%}
• Paul Hodes 34% {35%} [35%] (32%) / 50% {46%} [40%] (39%) {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Judd Gregg’s job performance?

• Approve 52% {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Disapprove 29% {41%} [39%] (37%) 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?

• Approve 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Disapprove 46% {49%} [44%] (48%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 39% {44%} [49%] (47%)
• Disapprove 55% {52%} [47%] (48%)

Survey of 1,959 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {36%} [29%] (30%) Republican; 28% {35%} [35%] (33%) Democrat; 36% {30%} [36%] (37%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% {41%} [47%] (47%) Moderate; 39% {39%} [30%] (35%) Conservative; 14% {21%} [23%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 50% (43%) [50%] {41%} (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (32%) [25%] {30%} (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (20%) [19%] {21%} (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
• Other 1% (2%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 3% (3%) [3%] {5%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 47% (41%) [32%] {41%} (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 38% (40%) [46%] {41%} (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 14% (14%) [16%] {9%} (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
• Not Sure 0% (2%) [4%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 76% (76%) [79%] {78%} (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 20% (15%) [15%] {15%} (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (4%) [3%] {2%} (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
• Other 1% (2%) [2%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
• Not Sure 1% (4%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (33%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 29% (49%) [33%] {38%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (14%) [8%] {22%} (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
• Other 2% (2%) [8%] {5%} (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
• Not Sure 11% (2%) [4%] {7%} (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}

Among Liberals

• Kendrick Meek (D) 100% (47%) [54%] {35%} (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 0% (45%) [29%] {50%} (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 0% (7%) [12%] {6%} (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
• Other (2%) [3%] (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
• Not Sure (0%) [3%] (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}

Among Moderates

• Marco Rubio (R) 63% (24%) [16%] {18%} (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 21% (47%) [47%] {46%} (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (22%) [26%] {27%} (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
• Other (2%) [8%] {3%} (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
• Not Sure (5%) [3%] {6%} (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% (74%) [75%] {69%} (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 31% (15%) [13%] {15%} (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (7%) [8%] {8%} (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {3%} (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 3% (2%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 59% (45%) [55%] {47%} (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 26% (31%) [22%] {26%} (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 12% (21%) [15%] {20%} (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
• Other 1% (2%) [6%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 1% (1%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 41% (42%) [45%] {36%} (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 34% (32%) [28%] {33%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (20%) [23%] {21%} (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
• Not Sure 6% (4%) [4%] {6%} (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 54% (51%) [56%] {49%} (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (30%) [27%] {30%} (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (13%) [11%] {12%} (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
• Other 1% (3%) [2%] {3%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 2% (3%) [3%] {6%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}

Among Blacks

• Charlie Crist (I) 42% (37%) [22%] {25%} (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (48%) [66%] {58%} (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 18% (12%) [8%] {6%} (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
• Other 0% (0%) [0%] {5%} (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
• Not Sure 1% (4%) [4%] {6%} (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}

Among Hispanics/Other

• Marco Rubio (R) 43% (22%) [24%] {15%} (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 26% (37%) [24%] {32%} (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (41%) [37%] {48%} (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
• Other (0%) [10%] {5%} (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
• Not Sure (0%) [4%] {0%} (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 58% (48%) [57%] {54%} (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 39% (49%) [41%] {39%} (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+19%}
• Charlie Crist 51% (46%) [52%] {57%} (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 48% (52%) [47%] {40%} (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+3%}
• Kendrick Meek 41% (39%) [35%] {40%} (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 51% (53%) [56%] {50%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-10%} 

How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% (20%) [15%] {17%} (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
• Somewhat approve 39% (32%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 21% (20%) [25%] {23%} (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 20% (27%) [26%] {21%} (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (32%) [28%] {34%} (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
• Somewhat approve 15% (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
• Somewhat disapprove 11% (4%) [5%] {5%} (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 46% (48%) [52%] {47%} (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (41%) [41%] {40%} (40%) Republican; 31% (41%) [34%] {35%} (34%) Democrat; 25% (19%) [25%] {25%} (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 79% (78%) [80%] {79%} (78%) White; 21% (22%) [20%] {21%} (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.

Lisa Murkowski for Senate TV Ad: "Joe's America"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

• John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [42%] {43%} (46%) [36%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {41%}
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 42% [38%] {35%} (25%) [14%] {18%} (24%)
• Dan Maes (R) 5% [12%] {16%} (21%) [24%] {31%} (27%) [43%] {41%}
• Some other candidate 6% [2%] {1%} (1%) [6%] {3%} (2%) [5%] {5%}
• Not sure 1% [6%] {5%} (6%) [20%] {5%} (5%) [7%] {13%}

Among Voters Certain to Vote

• John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [42%]
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [39%]
• Dan Maes (R) 5% [10%]
• Other 5% [2%]
• Not sure 1% [5%] 

Already Voted

• John Hickenlooper (D) 49%
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 42%
• Dan Maes (R) 4%
• Other 5%

Did Not Vote Yet

• John Hickenlooper (D) 43%
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 40%
• Dan Maes (R) 8%
• Other 6%
• Not sure 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Hickenlooper 52% [53%] {52%} (56%) [51%] {52%} (49%) [50%] {53%} (49%) [55%] {55%} (56%) [57%] / 45% [40%] {45%} (40%) [38%] {43%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (43%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [32%] {+7%}
• Tom Tancredo 49% [49%] {45%} (42%) [34%] {38%} (39%) / 48% [42%] {47%} (51%) [52%] {52%} (51%) {+1%}
• Dan Maes 13% [24%] {29%} (34%) [42%] {44%} (39%) [44%] {45%} / 83% [62%] {61%} (55%) [41%] {42%} (43%) [31%] {25%} {-70%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 38% [30%] {38%} Republican; 32% [30%] {32%} Democrat;  31% [40%] {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-10, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2009 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey

• Rand Paul (R) 46.5% [43.4%] (42.1%) {41.2%} [40.6%] (41%)
• Jack Conway (D) 39.0% [39.5%] (37.4%) {41.7%} [31.4%] (38%)
• Undecided 12.9% [16.6%] (19.5%) {16.4%} [27.0%] (19%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 52.9% [50.2%] (46.8%) {50.4%} [47.9%] (47%)
• Jack Conway (D) 36.7% [38.2%] (35.8%) {35.3%} [29.5%] (33%)
• Undecided 8.7% [10.8%] (16.0%) {14.2%} [22.1%] (19%)

Among Women

• Jack Conway (D) 41.1% [40.5%] (38.9%) {47.5%} [33.1%] (43%)
• Rand Paul (R) 40.8% [37.4%] (37.9%) {33.1%} [34.0%] (36%)
• Undecided 16.7% [21.8%] (22.6%) {18.3%} [31.5%] (19%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jack Conway 46.7% [50.6%] (49.6%) {54.4%} [43.9%] (50%) / 41.3% [28.6%] (22.7%) {22.9%} [21.1%] (19%) {+5.4%}
• Rand Paul 48.0% [47.1%] (48.7%) {46.8%} [49.8%] (48%) / 43.4% [36.5%] (33.4%) {36.4%} [25.7%] (33%) {+4.6%}

What is your opinion of the job President Obama is doing?

• Strongly approve 15.6% [13.6%] (15.8%) {13.3%}
• Somewhat approve 24.2% [23.8%] (26.9%) {26.9%}
• Somewhat disapprove 14.4% [18.8%] (15.9%) {18.4%}
• Strongly disapprove 43.8% [41.4%] (38.3%) {39.2%}

Which party would you rather see in control of Congress after the November election, the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Republicans 48.9% [47.0%] (45.4%) {47.7%}
• Democrats 36.8% [37.4%] (36.5%) {36.0%}

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 54.0% [53.9%] (54.0%) {54.2%} [54.2%] (54%) Democrat; 37.9% [38.1%] (37.8%) {37.5%} [37.6%] (38%) Republican; 8.0% [7.9%] (8.0%) {8.2%} [8.1%] (8%) Independent.  Party ID breakdown: 49.8% [46.8%] Republican; 38.5% [42.8%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 50.2% [47.7%] (47.2%) {53.5%} [53.5%] (50%) Conservative; 25.4% [30.5%] (25.6%) {24.2%} [23.3%] (25%) Moderate; 20.1% [18.1%] (23.0%) {19.7%} [19.9%] (20%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Perry (R) 53% {48%} [43%] (48%)
• Bill White (D) 44% {42%} [43%] (42%)
• Undecided 3% {10%} [14%] (10%)

Already Voted (44%)

• Rick Perry (R) 56%
• Bill White (D) 44%

Did Not Vote Yet (56%)

• Rick Perry (R) 51%
• Bill White (D) 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?

• Approve 45% {39%} [36%] (33%)
• Disapprove 45% {50%} [49%] (50%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill White?

• Favorable 46% {44%} [37%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 39% {29%} [25%] (17%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 61%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison’s job performance?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 33%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Cornyn’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 31%

Survey of 568 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 2-6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Party ID breakdown: 44% {47%} [43%] (40%) Republican; 31% {30%} [37%] (36%) Democrat; 25% {23%} [20%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 50% {47%} [46%] (51%) Conservative; 38% {39%} [41%] (34%) Moderate; 12% {15%} [13%] (15%) Liberal. 

Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (40%) {38%} [32%]
• Charlie Crist (I) 28% [27%] (28%) {33%} [38%]
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% [21%] (23%) {18%} [19%]

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error for each survey is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-5, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

Monmouth University Delaware Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Chris Coons (D) 51% [57%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 41% [38%]

Among Democrats

• Chris Coons (D) 85% [91%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 10% [8%]

Among Republicans

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 71% [67%]
• Chris Coons (D) 19% [26%]

Among Independents

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 47% [41%]
• Chris Coons (D) 42% [51%]

Among Men

• Christine O'Donnell (R) 48% [48%]
• Chris Coons (D) 43% [46%]

Among Women

• Chris Coons (D) 57% [68%]
• Christine O'Donnell (R) 34% [27%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Castle 57% [56%] / 29% [29%] {+28%}
• Chris Coons 45% [50%] / 39% [33%] {+6%}
• Christine O'Donnell 34% [31%] / 51% [58%] {-17%}

Is Chris Coons qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 65% [64%]
• Unqualified 25% [25%]

Is Christine O’Donnell qualified or unqualified to be a United States Senator?

• Qualified 35% [35%]
• Unqualified 56% [57%]

CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION

• John Carney (D) 51% [53%]
• Glen Urquhart (R) 44% [44%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Carney 46% [49%] / 28% [24%] {+18%}
• Glen Urquhart 38% [36%] / 27% [25%] {+11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 43% [44%]
• Disapprove 49% [50%]

Who would you rather see in control of Congress next year – the Democrats, the Republicans, or does it make no difference?

• Republicans 40% [45%]
• Democrats 38% [41%]
• No difference 22% [14%]

Survey of 1,171 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010. The margin of error is + 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% [34%] Democrat; 30% [32%] Republican; 34% [34%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2010 are in square brackets.