Thursday, January 31, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Paul Ryan 11%
  • Jeb Bush 11%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Rick Perry 4%
  • Susana Martinez 2%
  • Someone else/Undecided 10%
Survey of 400 usual Republican primary voters was conducted January 24-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% Very conservative; 34% Somewhat conservative; 15% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Not sure 12%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rick Perry (R) 42%
  • Not sure 8%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Not sure 12%
  • Rick Perry (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Not sure 9%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Not sure 13%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Rick Perry (R) 38%
  • Not sure 7%
Survey of 500 Texas voters was conducted January 24-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Republican; 32% Democrat; 25% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 
  • Hillary Clinton 65.38% 
  • Joe Biden 13.74% 
  • Andrew Cuomo 3.85%
  • Not sure 17.03% 
Survey of ~183 likely 2016 Democratic caucus attendees was conducted January 29, 2013.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Harper (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 
  • Marco Rubio 26.50% 
  • Paul Ryan 18.00% 
  • Rick Santorum 13.50%
  • Rand Paul 12.50% 
  • Chris Christie 12.00%
  • Scott Walker 2.50%
  • Not sure 15.00% 
Survey of ~200 likely 2016 Republican caucus attendees was conducted January 29, 2013.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Inside the numbers:
Among Republicans who have previously attended a caucus, Rubio leads Ryan 29%-21%. However, among Republicans who plan to attend their first caucus in 2016, Ryan’s support drops to 7%. Paul (22%) and Santorum (19%) fill the void.
Among voters who consider themselves “Very Conservative”, Rubio leads with 32% followed by Ryan at 18%, Santorum at 15%, and Paul at 14%. Among the “Somewhat Conservative”, Rubio’s lead over Ryan shrinks to 3% (25%-22%).
The gender splits are revealing. Paul scores 17% among Men but his support drops to 8% among Women. Ryan seems a similar drop among Women (14%) compared to Men (22%). Conversely, Santorum (15% with Women, 12% with Men) and Christie (13% with Women, 11% with Men) do slightly better with Women.
Paul’s support jumps among 18 to 35 year olds. He leads among these younger voters with 24%, followed by Ryan (21%), Rubio (18%) and Christie (16%).
Among those voting for Congressman Steve King over Congressman Tom Latham in a Senate primary, Rubio leads with 25%, followed by Santorum and Ryan at 18% each. Among Latham voters, Rubio leads with 36%, followed by Christie at 21% and Ryan at 19%.

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Governor Andrew Cuomo

Quinnipiac New York Poll on Gov. Andrew Cuomo

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 59% [74%] (70%) {73%} [71%] (68%) {69%} [68%] (65%) {66%} [62%] (64%) {61%} [64%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 28% [13%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (19%) {19%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 74% [82%] (73%) {80%} [76%] (67%) {75%} [71%] (70%) {72%} [69%] (75%) {66%} [66%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 14% [9%] (12%) {10%} [11%] (20%) {16%} [12%] (17%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [15%] (14%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 44% [68%] (66%) {69%} [68%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (66%) {61%} [53%] (53%) {59%} [58%] (57%)
  • Disapprove 43% [18%] (21%) {19%} [20%] (24%) {21%} [25%] (19%) {20%} [33%] (26%) {22%} [18%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 54% [70%] (71%) {72%} [69%] (73%) {71%} [69%] (64%) {61%} [63%] (61%) {57%} [66%] (59%)
  • Disapprove 32% [12%] (15%) {17%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [17%] (18%) {21%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
Survey of 1,127 New York State voters was conducted January 23-28, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [46%] (44%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (39%) {41%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (20%) {25%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [22%] Republican; 29% [25%] (28%) {30%} [29%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [31%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%
  • Ed Markey (D) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%
  • Stephen Lynch (D) 39%
  • Not sure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Brown 50% / 43% {+7%}
  • Ed Markey 38% / 35% {+3%}
  • Stephen Lynch 26% / 31% {-5%}
Democratic Primary
  • Ed Markey 52%
  • Stephen Lynch 19%
  • Not sure 29%
Survey of 763 Massachusetts voters and 404 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 29-30, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.9 percentage points among Democratic primary voters. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 17% Republican; 42% Independent/Other. Gender: 50% Male; 50% Female.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 54% {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 36% {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 23-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Forty years after the landmark Roe vs. Wade case legalizing abortion in the United States, fewer voters than ever consider themselves pro-life, while those who say they are pro-choice remains at an all-time high.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of female voters are now pro-choice, compared to 47% of male voters. Voters under 40 are much more likely to be pro-choice than their elders.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Poll Watch: MassINC Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Scott Brown (R) 53% (48%)
  • Ed Markey (D) 31% (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Brown 55% (58%) / 32% (28%) {+23%}
  • Ed Markey 24% (24%) / 17% (12%) {+7%}
  • Steve Lynch 19% (24%) / 14% (12%) {+5%}
  • Mike Capuano 18% (23%) / 15% (11%) {+3%}
Survey of 435 registered voters was conducted January 16-19, 2013.  Party registration: 36% (36%) Democrat; 11% (11%) Republican; 53% (53%) Independent/Unenrolled. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Amy Klobuchar, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 59%
  • Joe Biden 14%
  • Amy Klobuchar 11%
  • Elizabeth Warren 4%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10%
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Amy Klobuchar 43%
  • Andrew Cuomo 14%
  • Elizabeth Warren 10%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Deval Patrick 1%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 30%
Survey of 373 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris Christie, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton 44%
  • Chris Christie 38%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Chris Christie, who would you vote for?
  • Amy Klobuchar 42%
  • Chris Christie 39%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton 50%
  • Marco Rubio 37%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
  • Amy Klobuchar 48%
  • Marco Rubio 36%
Survey of 1,065 Minnesota voters was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/-3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 29% Republican; 33% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 22% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very conservative; 13% Very liberal.

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 74% [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 21% [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 56% [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
  • Disapprove 37% [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 93% [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
  • Disapprove 4% [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 78% [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 18% [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 79% [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 18% [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Approve 69% [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 24% [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
How would you rate Governor Christie's overall response to Hurricane Sandy; excellent, good, not so good or poor? 
  • Excellent 61% [59%]
  • Good 33% [36%]
  • Not so good 3% [3%]
  • Poor 2% [1%]
Do you think it was right or wrong for Governor Christie to criticize Speaker Boehner and House Republicans for delaying a vote on a Hurricane Sandy relief bill?
  • Right 79%
  • Wrong 15%
Among Democrats
  • Right 85%
  • Wrong 11%
Among Republicans
  • Right 70%
  • Wrong 22%
Among Independents
  • Right 81%
  • Wrong 15%
Survey of 1,647 registered voters was conducted January 15-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Codey the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 59% [57%] (47%)
  • Richard Codey 30% [30%] (41%)
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Stephen Sweeney the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 61%
  • Stephen Sweeney 25%
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 63% [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono 22% [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 69% [67%] {52%} / 21% [22%] {42%} {+48%}
  • Richard Codey 37% [35%] / 13% [13%] {+24%}
  • Barbara Buono 8% [8%] / 9% [7%] {-1%}
  • Stephen Sweeney 16% / 18% {-2%}
Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 68% [67%] (52%)
  • No/Does not 24% [25%] (40%)
Survey of 1,647 registered voters was conducted January 15-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Norm Coleman, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 50% {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Norm Coleman 44% {41%} [43%] (41%)
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican John Kline, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 49%
  • John Kline 41%
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Erik Paulsen, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 50%
  • Erik Paulsen 39%
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 54% {55%} [52%] (57%) {54%}
  • Michele Bachmann 40% {37%} [40%] (35%) {39%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Al Franken's job performance?
  • Approve 52% {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%}
  • Disapprove 41% {38%} [42%] (36%) {39%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Norm Coleman?
  • Favorable 35% {36%} [35%] (38%)
  • Unfavorable 43% {42%} [39%] (41%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kline?
  • Favorable 28%
  • Unfavorable 21%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Erik Paulsen?
  • Favorable 24%
  • Unfavorable 21%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michele Bachmann?
  • Favorable 35% {33%} [29%] (33%) {34%} [33%]
  • Unfavorable 59% {55%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [59%]
Republican Senate Primary
  • Michele Bachmann 45%
  • John Kline 19%
  • Chip Cravaack 13%
  • Erik Paulsen 11%
  • Laura Brod 4%
  • Rich Stanek 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 6%
Survey of 1,065 Minnesota voters, including 275 GOP primary voters, was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/-3.0 percentage points among all voters; +/-5.9 percentage points among GOP primary voters. Party ID: 39% {38%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [38%] Democrat; 29% {29%} [32%] (31%) {33%} [31%] Republican; 33% {32%} [33%] (34%) {32%} [31%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% {30%} [28%] (32%) {29%} [29%] Moderate; 24% {23%} [25%] (20%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {20%} [21%] (20%) {22%} [20%] Somewhat liberal; 14% {14%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [15%] Very conservative; 13% {13%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Paul Ryan

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Paul Ryan

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Paul Ryan?
  • Very favorable 21% {29%} [21%] (22%)
  • Somewhat favorable 22% {21%} [18%] (14%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 16% {19%} [10%] (13%)
  • Very unfavorable 30% {13%} [15%] (17%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 43% {50%} [39%] (36%) / 46% {32%} [25%] (30%) {-3%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 17-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-six percent (76%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of Ryan, compared to 83% last summer. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats and a plurality (48%) of unaffiliated voters view Ryan unfavorably.
Voters over 65 view Ryan more favorably than younger voters do.
White voters have a more positive opinion of Ryan than blacks and other minority voters.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marco Rubio

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Marco Rubio

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Marco Rubio?
  • Very favorable 16% [22%] (20%)
  • Somewhat favorable 20% [20%] (15%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 20% [20%] (16%)
  • Very unfavorable 12% [11%] (12%)
  • Undecided 32% [28%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 36% [42%] (35%) / 32% [31%] (28%) {+4%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 17-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Republicans now view Rubio favorably, down slightly from June. This compares to just 19% of Democrats and 36% of voters not affiliated with either major party.
Voters over 65 view Rubio more favorably than younger voters do.
White voters have a more positive opinion of Rubio than blacks and other minority voters.

Monday, January 21, 2013

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

The Supreme Court's 1973 Roe versus Wade decision established a woman's constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?
  • Yes, overturn 24%
  • No, do not overturn 70% 
Which comes closest to your view on abortion--abortion should always be legal, should be legal most of the time, should be made illegal except in cases of rape, incest and to save the mother's life, or abortion should be made illegal without any exceptions?
  • Always legal 31%
  • Legal most of the time 23%
  • Illegal with exceptions 35%
  • Illegal without any exceptions 9%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted January 12-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

President Barack Obama's Second Inaugural Address


Click here to read the transcript of President Obama’s second inaugural address.

Thursday, January 17, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44%
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 51%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 32% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 29%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 53%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 52% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 36%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
  • Favorable 51%
  • Unfavorable 35%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
  • Favorable 52%
  • Unfavorable 41%
Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
  • He should 32%
  • He should not 53% 
    Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
    • He should 38%
    • He should not 49%
    Survey of 501 Florida voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 38% Republican; 18% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
    • Hillary Clinton 65% [61%] (67%)
    • Joe Biden 15% [14%] (11%)
    • Andrew Cuomo 4% [8%] (8%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 4% [1%] (2%) 
    • Mark Warner 1% [2%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 1% [1%] (0%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
    • Martin O'Malley 0% [3%] (0%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (0%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 11% [9%] (11%)
    If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
    • Andrew Cuomo 22% [33%] (31%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% [10%] (10%)
    • Deval Patrick 5% [7%] (7%)
    • Martin O'Malley 4% [4%] (6%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 3%
    • Mark Warner 2% [3%] (3%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (0%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 48% [42%] (43%)
    Survey of 401 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [33%] (41%) Moderate; 28% [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 11% [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
    • Marco Rubio 31% [22%] (24%
    • Jeb Bush 26% [28%] (22%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% [11%] (10%) 
    • Chris Christie 7% [9%] (10%)
    • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (10%)
    • Bobby Jindal 5%
    • Rand Paul 5% [3%] (4%) 
    • Susana Martinez 2%
    • Rick Perry 2%
    • Someone else/Undecided 5% [5%] (4%)
    Among Men
    • Marco Rubio 34% [20%] (28%)
    • Jeb Bush 22% [33%] (23%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% [8%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 7% [8%] (11%)
    • Paul Ryan 7% [8%] (11%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4%
    • Susana Martinez 4%
    • Rand Paul 4% [3%] (4%) 
    • Rick Perry 3%
    • Someone else/Undecided 4% [3%] (3%)
    Among Women
    • Jeb Bush 31% [23%] (21%)
    • Marco Rubio 27% [23%] (20%)
    • Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (11%)
    • Chris Christie 7% [9%] (9%)
    • Bobby Jindal 6%
    • Rand Paul 6% [3%] (5%)
    • Paul Ryan 3% [8%] (9%) 
    • Susana Martinez 1%
    • Rick Perry 0%
    • Someone else/Undecided 6% [6%] (5%)
    Survey of 436 Republican primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 36% [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 19% [19%] (20%) Moderate; 9% [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.