Wednesday, February 04, 2015

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 14%
  • Scott Walker 11% 
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Rand Paul 10%
  • Ben Carson 8%
  • Mike Huckabee 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%  
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
Survey of 337 registered Republicans was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 32% (21%) {27%} [25%] (22%)
  • Marco Rubio 15% (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
  • Mike Huckabee 11% (7%) {6%}
  • Scott Walker 9% (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%)  
  • Ben Carson 8%
  • Ted Cruz 4% (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%) 
  • Chris Christie 3% (6%) {7%} [9%] (14%) 
  • Rand Paul 3% (8%) {14%} [11%] (9%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (1%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (1%) 
  • Rick Perry 1% (5%)
  • John Kasich 0% (1%)
Survey of 348 registered Republicans was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 61% (67%) {64%} [64%] (70%)
  • Joe Biden 11% (8%) {11%} [9%] (9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% (8%) {6%} [5%] (4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 2%
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of 322 registered Democrats was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Scott Walker (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (44%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% (42%) {43%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {46%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% (42%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Scott Walker (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (47%) {51%} [50%] (45%) {46%} {46%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (43%) {37%} [39%] (43%) {38%} {44%} [47%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% (49%) {51%} [56%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%) {38%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {38%} [37%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% (48%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (43%) {38%} [40%] (44%) {41%} [47%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Scott Walker (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {51%} {54%} [54%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% (41%) {36%} [37%] (33%) {36%} {39%} [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (52%) {51%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {37%} [41%] (37%) {37%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {53%} [55%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (54%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 36% (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {34%} [37%] (37%)
National survey of 861 registered voters was conducted January 20-21, 2015. Party ID: 39% (41%) {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 37% (34%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 23% (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [47%] (47%) {51%} [49%]
  • John Kasich (R) 43% [40%] (42%) {39%} [38%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [48%] (48%) {51%} [50%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36% [37%] (39%) {36%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [46%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (47%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 36% [42%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (46%) {49%} [42%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% [37%] (38%) {36%} [41%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 34% (41%)
Survey of 943 registered voters was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 26% [28%] (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 32% [35%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 13% [6%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {49%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% {42%} [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {53%} [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39% {39%} [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [55%] (53%) {51%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% {37%} [37%] (38%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [53%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 34% [35%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {54%} [52%] (51%) {45%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% {33%} [34%] (35%) {41%}
Survey of 936 registered voters was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 33% {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 8% {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [45%] (46%) {44%} (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% [41%] (41%) {43%} (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [51%] (53%) {52%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [35%] (36%) {36%} 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [51%] (53%) {52%} [52%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 34% [37%] (38%) {40%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [51%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 34% [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (53%) {51%} [53%]
  • Rick Santorum (R) 34% (37%) {38%} [36%]
Survey of 881 registered voters was conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [38%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 28% [30%] (32%) {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 28% [27%] (26%) {27%} [21%] (24%) Independent; 8% [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 56% (53%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (10%)
  • Joe Biden 9% (9%)
  • Bernie Sanders 5% (3%)
  • Jim Webb 3% (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (0%)
Survey of 401 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted January 26-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Scott Walker 16% (4%)
  • Rand Paul 15% (10%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13% (9%) 
  • Ben Carson 10% (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% (4%)
  • Chris Christie 6% (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (2%)
  • Rick Perry 3% (7%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (1%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1%
  • John Kasich 1%  (1%)
  • Donald Trump 1%
  • Mike Pence 0% (0%)
Survey of 402 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 26-29, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 48.3%
  • Elizabeth Warren 16.5%
  • Joe Biden 12.6% 
  • Bernie Sanders 3.8%
  • Jim Webb 2.3%
  • Martin O'Malley 0.4%
  • Undecided 16.1%
Survey of 261 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted January 21-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.06 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 14.4% (14.7%)
  • Jeb Bush 13.1% (10.7%)
  • Ben Carson 12.8%
  • Scott Walker 9.9% (4.7%)
  • Rand Paul 7.0% (8.5%)
  • Chris Christie 5.4% (8.0%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.4% (6.2%)
  • Marco Rubio 4.2% (4.7%)
  • Rick Santorum 3.8% (4.7%)
  • Rick Perry 3.2% (3.0%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1.6%
  • Carly Fiorina 1.3%
  • John Kasich 1.3% (0.7%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.6%
Survey of 316 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted January 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 60%
  • Joe Biden 15%
  • Elizabeth Warren 10%
  • Bernie Sanders 2%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 11%
Survey of 386 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 22-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 22% Very liberal; 11% Somewhat conservative; 3% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Mitt Romney 21%
  • Jeb Bush 17%
  • Ben Carson 15%
  • Scott Walker 11%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Mike Huckabee 9%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Rand Paul 4%
  • Rick Perry 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 5%
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted January 22-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% Somewhat conservative; 35% Very conservative; 21% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Thursday, January 29, 2015

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 55% (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
  • Joe Biden 17% (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%) 
  • Bernie Sanders 3% (3%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Jim Webb 1% (1%)
National survey of 390 registered Democrats was conducted January 25-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Mitt Romney 21% (19%)
  • Mike Huckabee 11% (8%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (8%) {11%} [14%] (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 9% (6%)
  • Scott Walker 8% (7%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% (4%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 4% (8%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (2%) {12%} [5%] (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (1%) {4%} [2%] 
  • John Kasich 1% (2%) {2%} 
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Lindsey Graham 1%
If Mitt Romney does not run:
  • Jeb Bush 15% {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 13% {11%} [14%] (11%) 
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Ben Carson 10%
  • Scott Walker 9% {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Chris Christie 6% {10%} [15%] (16%
  • Marco Rubio 5% {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% {9%} [7%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 4% {12%} [5%] (3%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 3% {4%} [2%] 
  • John Kasich 2% {2%} 
  • Rick Santorum 2% {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Lindsey Graham 1%
National survey of 394 registered Republicans was conducted January 25-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Mitt Romney (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%) {52%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 44% (40%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (52%) {50%} [50%] (49%)
    • Chris Christie (R) 42% (40%) {40%} [42%] (38%)
    National survey of 1,009 registered voters was conducted January 25-27, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) {43%} [39%] (40%) Democrat; 39% (39%) {35%} [38%] (34%) Republican; 19% (18%) {18%} [20%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

    Wednesday, January 28, 2015

    Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Townhall (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    • Mitt Romney 20%
    • Jeb Bush 16%
    • Scott Walker 9%
    • Mike Huckabee 8%
    • Ted Cruz 8%
    • Marco Rubio 7% 
    • Rand Paul 7% 
    • Chris Christie 5%
    • Rick Santorum 4%
    • Rick Perry 4%
    • Undecided 12%
    If Mitt Romney does not run:
    • Jeb Bush 18% [22%] (16.0%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% [19%] (15.8%)
    • Scott Walker 11% [5%] (2.3%)
    • Ted Cruz 9% [8%] (11.1%)
    • Marco Rubio 9% [6%] (7.2%) 
    • Chris Christie 8% [12%] (16.6%)
    • Rand Paul 8% [8%] (9.7%)
    • Rick Perry 5%
    • Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (2.8%)
    • Undecided 17% [19%] (18.5%)
    Survey of 831 likely GOP primary voters was conducted January 21-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 6-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, January 27, 2015

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 59% (62%) {70%} [77%] (63%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 12% (17%)
    • Joe Biden 6% (7%) {10%} [11%] (12%)
    • Bernie Sanders 4%
    • Jim Webb 3% (2%)
    • Martin O'Malley 2% (2%) 
    • Some other candidate 5%
    • Undecided 9%
    Survey of 648 likely Democratic voters was conducted January 18-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Friday, January 23, 2015

    Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Howie Carr (R) Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

    Gravis Marketing/Howie Carr (R) Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Hillary Clinton 46%
    • Elizabeth Warren 22%
    • Undecided 32%
    Survey of 358 registered Democratic voters was conducted January 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    Rasmussen (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Mitt Romney 24%
    • Jeb Bush 13% {18%} [12%] (16%) 
    • Ben Carson 12%
    • Scott Walker 11% {20%} [5%] (6%)
    • Chris Christie 7% {15%} [22%] (21%)  
    • Rand Paul 7% {13%} [20%] (15%) 
    • Marco Rubio 5% [16%] (18%) 
    • Rick Perry 5%
    • Some other candidate 4%
    • Undecided 12%
    Survey of 787 likely Republican voters was conducted January 18-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.