Poll Watch: PPP (D) California 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) California 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 22% {25%} [24%] (25%)
• Newt Gingrich 18% {15%} [21%] (28%)
• Sarah Palin 16% {18%} [18%] (18%)
• Mike Huckabee 15% {15%} [17%] (13%)
• Ron Paul 10%
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {2%}
• Mitch Daniels 2% {1%}
• John Thune 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Undecided 12% {19%}

Among Conservatives

• Mitt Romney 21% {24%} [20%] (26%)
• Sarah Palin 20% {24%} [21%] (19%)
• Newt Gingrich 19% {14%} [24%] (33%)
• Ron Paul 13%
• Mike Huckabee 13% {16%} [18%] (12%)
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {4%}
• Mitch Daniels 1% {1%}
• John Thune 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Undecided 8% {13%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 25% {30%} [36%] (25%)
• Mike Huckabee 19% {15%} [14%] (16%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% {18%} [13%] (17%)
• Sarah Palin 9% {2%} [9%] (14%)
• Ron Paul 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {0%}
• Mitch Daniels 2% {1%}
• John Thune 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Undecided 20% {33%}

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 25% {15%} [20%] (30%)
• Mitt Romney 18% {22%} [25%] (25%)
• Sarah Palin 17% {24%} [16%] (21%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% {12%} [17%] (9%)
• Ron Paul 10%
• Mitch Daniels 3% {2%}
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {3%}
• John Thune 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Undecided 9% {19%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 25% {29%} [24%] (25%)
• Mike Huckabee 17% {19%} [18%] (17%)
• Sarah Palin 15% {11%} [19%] (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% {14%} [22%] (26%)
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {2%}
• Mitch Daniels 1% {1%}
• John Thune 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Undecided 15% {18%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 61% / 21% {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 59% / 22% {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 63% / 27% {+36%}
• Newt Gingrich 56% / 23% {+33%}

Among Conservatives

• Sarah Palin 75% / 14% {+61%}
• Mike Huckabee 71% / 15% {+56%}
• Newt Gingrich 66% / 15% {+51%}
• Mitt Romney 61% / 20% {+41%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 53% / 26% {+27%}
• Mike Huckabee 42% / 32% {+10%}
• Newt Gingrich 38% / 36% {+2%}
• Sarah Palin 39% / 51% {-12%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 61% / 24% {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 65% / 29% {+36%}
• Mitt Romney 60% / 27% {+33%}
• Newt Gingrich 58% / 27% {+31%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 62% / 18% {+44%}
• Mitt Romney 57% / 17% {+40%}
• Newt Gingrich 55% / 19% {+36%}
• Sarah Palin 61% / 25% {+36%}

Survey of 403 usual California Republican primary voters was conducted January 28-30, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 64% Conservative; 33% Moderate; 3% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.