Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 47%
• Donald Trump 38%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 83%
• Donald Trump 9%

Among Republicans

• Donald Trump 65%
• Barack Obama 13%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 45%
• Donald Trump 42%

Among Liberals

• Barack Obama 86%
• Donald Trump 11%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 61%
• Donald Trump 25%

Among Conservatives

• Donald Trump 65%
• Barack Obama 14%

Among Men

• Donald Trump 45%
• Barack Obama 42%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
• Donald Trump 33%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

• Favorable 49% (47%) [46%] {50%} (49%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 47% (47%) [48%] {46%} (44%) [46%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 84% (83%) [81%] {85%} (82%) [84%]
• Unfavorable 12% (11%) [15%] {13%} (11%) [13%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 13% (9%) [14%] {9%} (11%) [10%]
• Unfavorable 81% (88%) [83%] {87%} (83%) [86%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 48% 45% [40%] {54%} (48%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 48% (47%) [47%] {42%} (45%) [46%]

Among Liberals

• Favorable 86% (91%) [85%] {90%} (88%) [89%]
• Unfavorable 10% (7%) [11%] {9%} (6%) [7%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 63% (61%) [59%] {63%} (62%) [61%]
• Unfavorable 33% (34%) [33%] {34%} (31%) [32%]

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 16% (15%) [19%] {17%} (17%) [16%]
• Unfavorable 79% (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [83%]

Among Men

• Favorable 42% (44%) [38%] {48%} (44%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 54% (52%) [56%] {50%} (49%) [50%]

Among Women

• Favorable 54% (50%) [53%] {54%} (54%) [54%]
• Unfavorable 41% (43%) [41%] {42%} (40%) [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% (45%) [45%] {50%} (48%) [46%]
• Disapprove 47% (48%) [51%] {46%} (45%) [49%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 78% (82%) [78%] {83%} (79%) [80%]
• Disapprove 16% (12%) [18%] {14%} (12%) [15%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 13% (7%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [9%]
• Disapprove 79% (88%) [85%] {85%} (82%) [87%]

Among Independents

• Approve 45% (42%) [42%] {53%} (48%) [43%]
• Disapprove 49% (47%) [50%] {41%} (47%) [51%]

Among Liberals

• Approve 80% (85%) [81%] {91%} (81%) [81%]
• Disapprove 13% (10%) [15%] {7%} (8%) [13%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 61% (58%) [59%] {63%} (62%) [60%]
• Disapprove 34% (34%) [35%] {33%} (31%) [34%]

Among Conservatives

• Approve 13% (16%) [18%] {16%} (16%) [14%]
• Disapprove 78% (78%) [80%] {79%} (78%) [84%]

Among Men

• Approve 41% (42%) [38%] {47%} (45%) [42%]
• Disapprove 54% (53%) [58%] {50%} (49%) [53%]

Among Women

• Approve 50% (49%) [52%] {53%} (51%) [51%]
• Disapprove 42% (43%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [45%]

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 46% (48%) [49%] {44%} (46%) [47%]
• Too conservative 8% (7%) [9%] {10%} (9%) [8%]
• About right 43% (41%) [38%] {43%} (42%) [43%]

Among Democrats

• Too liberal 12% (13%) [17%] {13%} (14%) [13%]
• Too conservative 9% (9%) [14%] {14%} (11%) [10%]
• About right 75% (77%) [66%] {70%} (71%) [73%]

Among Republicans

• Too liberal 79% (86%) [83%] {83%} (84%) [84%]
• Too conservative 7% (3%) [5%] {5%} (5%) [3%]
• About right 12% (7%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%]

Among Independents

• Too liberal 47% (48%) [49%] {38%} (45%) [50%]
• Too conservative 8% (11%) [9%] {10%} (12%) [10%]
• About right 41% (33%) [38%] {47%} (40%) [39%]

Among Liberals

• Too liberal 10% (9%) [11%] {6%} (6%) [8%]
• Too conservative 21% (18%) [24%] {25%} (22%) [23%]
• About right 67% (72%) [58%] {63%} (68%) [67%]

Among Moderates

• Too liberal 31% (35%) [34%] {32%} (33%) [33%]
• Too conservative 7% (7%) [11%] {8%} (7%) [7%]
• About right 59% (53%) [53%] {58%} (57%) [57%]

Among Conservatives

• Too liberal 78% (77%) [79%] {76%} (78%) [82%]
• Too conservative 4% (4%) [3%] {5%} (6%) [3%]
• About right 14% (15%) [15%] {15%} (13%) [12%]

Among Men

• Too liberal 53% (50%) [56%] {48%} (49%) [52%]
• Too conservative 8% (11%) [10%] {11%} (10%) [10%]
• About right 36% (37%) [32%] {38%} (38%) [37%]

Among Women

• Too liberal 39% (46%) [43%] {40%} (43%) [42%]
• Too conservative 8% (5%) [9%] {9%} (9%) [6%]
• About right 49% (45%) [44%] {48%} (46%) [48%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

• Favorable 28%
• Unfavorable 46%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 18%
• Unfavorable 59%

Among Republicans

• Favorable 40%
• Unfavorable 33%

Among Independents

• Favorable 25%
• Unfavorable 47%

Among Liberals

• Favorable 10%
• Unfavorable 65%

Among Moderates

• Favorable 24%
• Unfavorable 54%

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 40%
• Unfavorable 30%

Among Men

• Favorable 32% 
• Unfavorable 45% 

Among Women

• Favorable 24%
• Unfavorable 48% 

Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Boehner is doing?

• Approve 25% {29%} [30%]
• Disapprove 36% {37%} [32%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Nancy Pelosi is doing?

• Approve 30% {30%} [28%]
• Disapprove 53% {54%} [56%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Democrats are doing?

• Approve 36% {38%} [34%]
• Disapprove 52% {52%} [54%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?

• Approve 30% {33%} [33%]
• Disapprove 56% {54%} [51%]

Would you rather that more Democrats or more Republicans were elected to Congress in the next election?

• Democrats 46% {46%} [42%]
• Republicans 42% {42%} [45%]

Among Democrats

• Democrats 84% {82%}
• Republicans 9% {9%}

Among Republicans

• Republicans 82% {86%}
• Democrats 10% {9%}

Among Independents

• Democrats 43% {41%}
• Republicans 35% {33%}

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 30% {31%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 35% {34%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 32% {34%}

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47% {48%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 28% {25%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 22% {25%}

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 12% {13%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 42% {36%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 45% {51%}

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 31% {31%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36% {44%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28% {24%}

Among Liberals

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 63% {68%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 21% {21%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 13% {10%}

Among Moderates

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 36% {35%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41% {39%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20% {24%}

Among Conservatives

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 9% {9%}
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33% {34%}
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 54% {56%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 15% (17%) [18%] {16%} (18%) [15%]
• No 72% (69%) [71%] {74%} (70%) [73%]

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% (38%) [38%] {37%} (41%) [37%] Democrat; 35% (34%) [37%] {33%} (35%) [31%] Republican; 29% (28%) [26%] {29%} (24%) [31%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 47% (46%) [46%] {46%} (46%) [50%] Moderate; 38% (39%) [41%] {37%} (38%) [35%] Conservative; 15% (15%) [13%] {17%} (16%) [14%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll February 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.