Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 21% {16%} [17%] (17%) {14%} [18%] (22%) {22%} [19%] (25%) {23%} [33%] (28%)
• Mike Huckabee 20% {22%} [18%] (20%) {24%} [16%] (21%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (24%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% {15%} [14%] (12%) {11%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [23%] (15%) {21%}
• Sarah Palin 14% {12%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [21%] (17%) {21%} [17%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (23%)
• Ron Paul 8% {8%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (6%) {8%} (11%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% {6%}
• Tim Pawlenty 6% {6%} [5%] (4%) {8%} [5%]

Among Birthers

• Sarah Palin 20%
• Mike Huckabee 18%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Michele Bachmann 10%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%

Among Non-Birthers

• Mitt Romney 25%
• Mike Huckabee 20%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Tim Pawlenty 7%
• Michele Bachmann 5%

If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

• Mike Huckabee 19% {17%}
• Mitt Romney 18% {15%}
• Newt Gingrich 13% {11%}
• Sarah Palin 12% {8%}
• Ron Paul 8% {5%}
• Donald Trump 8% {26%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {4%}
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {4%}

What if neither Mike Huckabee nor Donald Trump ran and the candidates for President in 2012 were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 24% {22%} [20%]
• Newt Gingrich 20% {20%} [18%]
• Sarah Palin 17% {15%} [19%]
• Ron Paul 12% {12%} [12%]
• Michele Bachmann 8% {5%}
• Tim Pawlenty 8% {6%} [6%]

What if Mike Huckabee did run but neither Sarah Palin nor Donald Trump did and the candidates for President in 2012 were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mike Huckabee 24% {24%} [22%]
• Mitt Romney 22% {19%} [18%]
• Newt Gingrich 20% {18%} [20%]
• Michele Bachmann 9% {7%}
• Ron Paul 8% {10%} [9%]
• Tim Pawlenty 7% {6%} [7%]

What if neither Mike Huckabee, nor Sarah Palin, nor Donald Trump ran for President and the candidates were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 28% {25%} [24%]
• Newt Gingrich 26% {23%} [24%]
• Ron Paul 12% {13%} [12%]
• Michele Bachmann 11% {8%}
• Tim Pawlenty 9% {10%} [6%]

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 48%
• No 34%
• Not sure 18%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 59% {61%} [56%] (58%) {64%} [63%] (60%) {62%} [64%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (54%) / 22% {18%} [22%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (14%) {14%} [11%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (16%) {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 61% {61%} [61%] (65%) {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 31% {31%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+30%}
• Newt Gingrich 54% {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 30% {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 52% {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 29% {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+23%}
• Donald Trump 34% / 53% {-19%}

Among Birthers

• Sarah Palin 74% / 20% {+54%}
• Mike Huckabee 60% / 21% {+39%}
• Newt Gingrich 55% / 28% {+27%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 36% {+10%}
• Donald Trump 43% / 44% {-1%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Mike Huckabee 55% / 26% {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 54% / 28% {+26%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% / 35% {+15%}
• Sarah Palin 50% / 41% {+9%}
• Donald Trump 26% / 64% {-38%}

Survey of 610 usual Republican primary voters was conducted May 5-8, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-4.0 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 38% {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 5% {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.