Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Regardless of how you plan to vote, how likely is it that Barack Obama will be re-elected in 2012?

• Very likely 26%
• Somewhat likely 28%
• Not very likely 22%
• Not at all likely 18%

Suppose that the president calls for a balanced approach to deficit reduction and insists that half the reduction comes from increasing taxes on corporations and the wealthy. Would that help or hurt his chances for re-election?

• Help 41%
• Hurt 38%
• No impact 11%

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 3-4, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Predictably, most Democrats (83%) think the president is likely to be reelected, while the majority (68%) of Republicans don’t. But voters not affiliated with either major party – by a 52% to 41% margin – also think Obama’s releection is likely. 

Younger voters are more confident than their elders in the likelihood of the president’s reelection. Eighty-nine percent (89%) of black voters think the president is likely to win a second term, a view shared by 49% of whites and 48% of those of other races.