Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 43% (12%) {14%} [11%]
• Mitt Romney 25% (12%) {17%} [14%]
• Newt Gingrich 13% (32%) {6%} [16%]
• Ron Paul 9% (9%) {9%} [4%]
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (9%) {8%} [8%]

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 52% (38%)
• Might end up supporting someone else 48% (62%)

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Not sure 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 64% (56%) {56%} [54%] / 30% (30%) {29%} [27%] {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {46%} [52%] / 40% (39%) {35%} [25%] {+6%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% (63%) [54%] / 43% (24%) [25%] {-1%}
• Ron Paul 34% (35%) / 54% (44%) {-20%}

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 71% / 23% {+48%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% / 38% {+7%} 
• Mitt Romney 39% / 46% {-7%}
• Ron Paul 28% / 56% {-28%}

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Rick Santorum 59% / 34% {+25%}
• Mitt Romney 51% / 35% {+16%} 
• Newt Gingrich 40% / 46% {-6%} 
• Ron Paul 38% / 52% {-14%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 27% (31%)
• No 61% (57%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 41%
• Are not 59%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 53%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Not sure 8%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Rick Santorum 36%
• Mitt Romney 31%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Someone else/Not sure 11%

Survey of 564 Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-11, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 35% (41%) {40%} Very conservative; 18% (15%) {16%} Moderate; 6% (4%) {5%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in square brackets.