Poll Watch: PPP (D) Washington 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Washington 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Mitt Romney 37% (27%)
• Rick Santorum 32% (38%)
  
• Ron Paul 16% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (12%)
• Someone else/Not sure 2% (8%)

Would you say you that you will definitely participate or probably participate in Saturday’s Republican caucus?

• Will definitely participate 69%
• Will probably participate 31%

Will Definitely Participate

• Mitt Romney 35% 
• Rick Santorum 32%
  
• Ron Paul 18%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 3%

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 38% (50%)
  
• Mitt Romney 35% (19%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (11%) 
• Ron Paul 11% (12%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 3% (8%)

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 40% (33%) 
• Rick Santorum 32% (36%)
• Ron Paul 15% (11%) 
• Newt Gingrich 11% (15%)
• Someone else/Not sure 2% (6%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 73% (50%)
• Might end up supporting someone else 27% (50%)

Strongly Committed to That Candidate

• Mitt Romney 40%
• Rick Santorum 31% 
• Ron Paul 18%
• Newt Gingrich 10%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 60% (69%) / 31% (18%) {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 55% (47%) / 37% (42%) {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% (39%) / 43% (46%) {+2%} 
• Ron Paul 40% (38%) / 49% (49%) {-9%}  

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 32% (35%)
• No 56% (50%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 43% (50%)
• Are not 57% (50%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 41% (50%)
  
• Mitt Romney 30% (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% (12%)
• Ron Paul 9% (14%)
• Someone else/Not sure 2% (6%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 41% (36%)
• Rick Santorum 24% (26%) 
  
• Ron Paul 22% (15%) 
• Newt Gingrich 10% (12%)
  
• Someone else/Not sure 2% (10%)

Are you a Mormon, or not?

• Are a Mormon 14%
• Are not 86%

Among Mormons

• Mitt Romney 64%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Rick Santorum 13%
  
• Newt Gingrich 7%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 1%

Among Non-Mormons

• Rick Santorum 35%
  
• Mitt Romney 32%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Someone else/Not sure 3%

Survey of 447 likely Washington caucus voters was conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 79% Republican; 16% Independent/Other; 4% Democrat.  Political ideology: 40% (39%) Very conservative; 36%  (37%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (17%) Moderate; 5% (2%) Very liberal; 3% (5%) Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.