Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 41%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
  
• Mitt Romney 41%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.58 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Obama leads among Democrats (90%-9%) and Romney leads with Republicans (86%-6%). But, Romney leads with the key block of independent voters (43%-38%). Independents comprised 24% of the voters surveyed.

Obama leads with younger voters 18-39 (52%-41%) and with 60+ voters (50%-42%). However, Romney leads with those 40-59 (51%-40%).

A majority of men (54%) disapprove of the job Obama is doing, with almost half (48%) saying they strongly disapprove. Although a majority of women (52%) approve, only 34% strongly approve.

Another point of concern for Obama is that almost six in ten (58%) independents disapprove of the job he is doing with almost half (46%) saying they strongly disapprove. Less than four in ten (39%) approve with only one in five saying they strongly approve.

Obama is only getting three fourths (77%) of the African-American vote, but that will likely change between now and the election. Obama received more than 95% of the black vote in 2008 and will probably be close to that percentage on Election Day. Romney leads with white voters by 3% (47%-44%).

Obama leads in Detroit (78%-22%) but he will likely do better in the city when the vote is held. Romney leads in the crucial Tri-County area surrounding Detroit (53%-45%). That area includes Wayne County outside of the City of Detroit, Oakland and Macomb Counties. In the rest of the state outside the Tri-County area, Romney leads 47%-45%.