Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 38% [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 66% [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 29% [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% [44%] (45%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 46% [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%) 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 49% [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 40% [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 48% [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-8%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 33% [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 51% [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-18%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 65% [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 32% [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+33%}
• Mitt Romney 26% [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 60% [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-34%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 47% [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {-5%}
• Barack Obama 44% [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 52% [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-8%}   

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 47% [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 39% [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 49% [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 48% [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 8% [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 41% [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

Do you see this year’s Presidential election more as a referendum on Barack Obama’s performance as President, or as a choice between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney?

• Referendum on Obama 45%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 43%

Among Democrats

• Referendum on Obama 40%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 45%

Among Republicans

• Referendum on Obama 52%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 38%

Among Independents

• Referendum on Obama 42%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 47%

Among Moderates

• Referendum on Obama 40%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 49%

Among Men

• Referendum on Obama 45%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 46%

Among Women

• Referendum on Obama 45%
• Choice between Obama and Romney 41%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted June 14-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 36% [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 26% [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 42% [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 41% [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 18% [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.