Poll Watch: Latino Decisions/America's Voice 2012 Hispanic Swing State Presidential Survey

Latino Decisions/America's Voice 2012 Hispanic Swing State Presidential Poll

Five States Combined

• Barack Obama 63%
• Mitt Romney 27%
• Undecided 10%

Arizona

• Barack Obama 74%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Undecided 8%

Colorado

• Barack Obama 70%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Undecided 8%

Florida

• Barack Obama 53% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (40%)
• Undecided 10%

Nevada

• Barack Obama 69%
• Mitt Romney 20%
• Undecided 11%

Virginia

• Barack Obama 59%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Undecided 13%

Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Five States Combined

• Strongly approve 39%
• Somewhat approve 28%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 20%

Arizona

• Strongly approve 39%
• Somewhat approve 33%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 15%

Colorado

• Strongly approve 38%
• Somewhat approve 35%
• Somewhat disapprove 9%
• Strongly disapprove 15%

Florida

• Strongly approve 38%
• Somewhat approve 24%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 24%

Nevada

• Strongly approve 44%
• Somewhat approve 24%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 17%

Virginia

• Strongly approve 35%
• Somewhat approve 27%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 23%

On the whole, what are the most important issues facing the Hispanic community that you think Congress and the President should address?

Five States Combined

• Immigration 44%
• Economy 31%
• Jobs 23%
• Health Care 11%
• Education 10%
• Race relations 3%
• Foreign policy 2%

Arizona

• Immigration 55%
• Economy 26%
• Jobs 23%
• Health Care 11%
• Education 10%
• Race relations 4%
• Foreign policy 2%

Colorado

• Immigration 39%
• Jobs 31%
• Economy 19%
• Health Care 17%
• Education 12%
• Race relations 4%
• Foreign policy 3%

Florida

• Immigration 39% (43%)
• Economy 35% (28%)
• Jobs 21% (36%)
• Education 10% (14%)
• Health Care 8% (11%)
• Race relations 3%
• Foreign policy 2% (1%)

Nevada

• Immigration 52%
• Economy 31%
• Jobs 26%
• Health Care 10%
• Education 5%
• Race relations 2%
• Foreign policy 1%

Virginia

• Immigration 55%
• Economy 31%
• Jobs 23%
• Health Care 13%
• Education 9%
• Foreign policy 3%
• Race relations 2%

As of February 2012 the federal government had deported 1.2 million immigrants under the presidency of Barack Obama. The number of people deported under Obama is 50 percent higher than the number deported under President Bush. Does this information make you more enthusiastic or less enthusiastic about Obama and what he has accomplished?

Five States Combined

• More enthusiastic 21%
• Less enthusiastic 38%
• No effect 34%

June 12-16

• More enthusiastic 22%
• Less enthusiastic 41%
• No effect 31%

Arizona

• More enthusiastic 25%
• Less enthusiastic 37%
• No effect 30%

Colorado

• More enthusiastic 23%
• Less enthusiastic 33%
• No effect 35%

Florida

• More enthusiastic 19%
• Less enthusiastic 38%
• No effect 35%

Nevada

• More enthusiastic 19%
• Less enthusiastic 40%
• No effect 36%

Virginia

• More enthusiastic 13%
• Less enthusiastic 45%
• No effect 34%

Recently President Obama announced a new Department of Homeland Security policy to stop the deportation of any undocumented immigrant youth who attends college or serves in the military and to provide them with a legal work permit that is renewable. Does this this new announcement make you more enthusiastic about voting for Obama, less enthusiastic about Obama, or would it have no effect on how you feel about Obama?

Five States Combined

• More enthusiastic 54%
• Less enthusiastic 11%
• No effect 33%

June 17-21 [June 12-16]

• More enthusiastic 58% [49%]
• Less enthusiastic 9% [14%]
• No effect [34%]

Arizona

• More enthusiastic 62%
• Less enthusiastic 11%
• No effect 26%

Colorado

• More enthusiastic 51%
• Less enthusiastic 11%
• No effect 35%

Florida

• More enthusiastic 50%
• Less enthusiastic 10%
• No effect 38%

Nevada

• More enthusiastic 60%
• Less enthusiastic 9%
• No effect 29%

Virginia

• More enthusiastic 56%
• Less enthusiastic 15%
• No effect 28%

Previously, Republican candidate Mitt Romney has said we need to prevent illegal immigrants from being able to work in America, and that any undocumented immigrants should self-deport back home to their original countries. He has called the immigration laws in Arizona, a model for the nation. Do these statements make you more enthusiastic about voting for Romney, less enthusiastic about voting for Romney, or would it have no effect on how you feel about Romney?

Five States Combined

• More enthusiastic 8%
• Less enthusiastic 59%
• No effect 29%

June 12-16

• More enthusiastic 10%
• Less enthusiastic 59%
• No effect 27%

Arizona

• More enthusiastic 7%
• Less enthusiastic 63%
• No effect 27%

Colorado

• More enthusiastic 9%
• Less enthusiastic 55%
• No effect 32%

Florida

• More enthusiastic 8%
• Less enthusiastic 57%
• No effect 29%

Nevada

• More enthusiastic 7%
• Less enthusiastic 63%
• No effect 28%

Virginia

• More enthusiastic 10%
• Less enthusiastic 60%
• No effect 28%

Survey of 2,000 Latino registered voters was conducted June 12-21, 2012, sampled across five states, with 400 each in AZ, CO, FL, NV, VA. Overall, the entire sample has a margin of error of +/- 2.2%, and each state sample has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the Florida poll conducted January 16-23, 2012 are in parentheses.