Thursday, June 14, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 52% (50%) {48%} [50%] (49%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 36% (38%) {44%} [36%] (42%)
  • Some other candidate 6% (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
  • Not sure 6% (7%) {4%} [10%] (6%)
    • Eric Hovde (R) 44%
    • Tammy Baldwin (D) 42%
    • Some other candidate 4%
    • Not sure 10%
    • Mark Neumann (R) 45% (44%) {40%} [46%] (43%)
    • Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% (42%) {48%} [37%] (44%)
    • Some other candidate 5% (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
    • Not sure 7% (9%) {8%} [13%] (9%)
    • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% (45%) {48%} [40%] (46%)
    • Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 43% (41%) {40%} [41%] (39%)
    • Some other candidate 5% (4%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
    • Not sure 8% (9%) {7%} [15%] (11%)
    Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted June 12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Inside the numbers:
    All four Republicans continue to lead among male voters, while Baldwin leads among female voters against all her GOP opponents except Thompson. It’s Thompson 46%, Baldwin 40% among women voters in the state.

    Baldwin picks up 86% to 91% support among Wisconsin Democrats against three of the Republicans, but against Thompson support in her own party falls to 74%. The former governor leads Baldwin 51% to 32% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. The other GOP candidates are also ahead among these voters but by narrower margins.

    Twenty-five percent (25%) of all voters in the state share a Very Favorable opinion of Baldwin, while 33% view her Very Unfavorably.

    Thompson is viewed Very Favorably by 20% and Very Unfavorably by 20%. For Neumann, Very Favorables are 14%, Very Unfavorables 24%. Fourteen percent (14%) hold a Very Favorable view of Fitzgerald, but 30% regard him Very Unfavorably. Hovde earns Very Favorables of 19% and Very Unfavorables of 21%.

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