Thursday, January 20, 2011

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

2012 Republican Nomination

1st Choice
  • Mitt Romney 19%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Sarah Palin 14%
  • Newt Gingrich 10%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Tim Pawlenty 5%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Haley Barbour 2%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Other (VOL) 2%
  • None (VOL) 6%
  • Not sure 8%
2nd Choice
  • Mike Huckabee 16%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
  • Sarah Palin 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 9%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Mitch Daniels 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Haley Barbour 2%
  • John Thune 2%
  • Other (VOL) 1%
  • None (VOL) 4%
  • Not sure 7%
Combined Choice
  • Mitt Romney 34%
  • Mike Huckabee 34%
  • Sarah Palin 26%
  • Newt Gingrich 19%
  • Ron Paul 16%
  • Tim Pawlenty 8%
  • Mitch Daniels 5%
  • Rick Santorum 5%
  • Haley Barbour 4%
  • John Thune 3%
  • Other (VOL) 3%
  • None (VOL) 10%
  • Not sure 15%
2012 Presidential Election
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mike Huckabee 41%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Newt Gingrich 35%
I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

Barack Obama
  • Very positive 29%
  • Somewhat positive 23%
  • Neutral 15%
  • Somewhat negative 14%
  • Very negative 18%
Sarah Palin
  • Very positive 8%
  • Somewhat positive 19%
  • Neutral 21%
  • Somewhat negative 16%
  • Very negative 33%
The Democratic Party
  • Very positive 15%
  • Somewhat positive 24%
  • Neutral 25%
  • Somewhat negative 19%
  • Very negative 16%
The Republican Party
  • Very positive 7%
  • Somewhat positive 27%
  • Neutral 24%
  • Somewhat negative 21%
  • Very negative 19%
The Tea Party Movement
  • Very positive 13%
  • Somewhat positive 16%
  • Neutral 22%
  • Somewhat negative 14%
  • Very negative 24%
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 53%
  • Disapprove 41%
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?
  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 50%
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the war in Afghanistan?
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 38%
Would you describe Barack Obama as liberal, moderate, or conservative?
  • Very liberal 27%
  • Somewhat liberal 18%
  • Moderate 40%
  • Somewhat conservative 8%
  • Very conservative 3%
Do you think President Obama will be too inflexible in dealing with Republicans in Congress, will be too quick to give in to Republicans in Congress, or will he strike the right balance in dealing with Republicans in Congress?
  • Too inflexible 26%
  • Too quick to give in 15%
  • Right balance 55%
Do you think Republicans in Congress will be too inflexible in dealing with President Obama, will be too quick to give in to President Obama, or will they strike the right balance in dealing with President Obama?
  • Too inflexible 55%
  • Too quick to give in 8%
  • Right balance 32%
Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?
  • Yes 27%
  • No 62%
In general, do you feel that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict, less strict, or kept as they are now?
  • More strict 52%
  • Less strict 10%
  • Kept as now 37%
From what you have heard about Barack Obama's health care plan that was passed by Congress and signed into law by the President last year, do you think his plan is a good idea or a bad idea?
  • Good idea 39%
  • Bad idea 39%
And, would you favor or oppose repealing and eliminating this new health care law? And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly?
  • Strongly favor eliminating 35%
  • Not so strongly favor eliminating 10%
  • Not so strongly oppose eliminating 12%
  • Strongly oppose eliminating 34%
The President has announced that he plans to begin reducing American troop levels in Afghanistan in July 2011. Which of these statements comes closest to your point of view on this?

Statement A: The troops should be removed now.
Statement B: The troops should be removed on the timetable of July 2011.
Statement C: The troops should be removed depending upon the military conditions in July 2011.
Statement D: The troops should only be removed after the Afghan government has stabilized and the Taliban has been defeated.
  • A/Removed now 23%
  • B/Removed on this timetable 21%
  • C/Removed depending on military conditions 34%
  • D/Removed after gov’t stabilized and Taliban defeated 21%
As you may know, under our constitution and current laws, all children born in the United States are automatically granted citizenship. Do you think we should continue to grant citizenship to all children born in the U.S. or do you think this should be changed so children of illegal immigrants are not automatically granted citizenship?
  • Continue to grant automatic citizenship 50%
  • Change/not automatic citizenship 47%
Among Hispanics
  • Continue to grant automatic citizenship 79%
  • Change/not automatic citizenship 19%
Thinking about the shootings of a Member of Congress, a Federal judge and others in Tucson, Arizona last weekend, do you feel the extreme political rhetoric used by some in the media and by political leaders was an important contributor to the incident or do you feel this is more of an isolated incident by a disturbed person that occurs from time to time?
  • Isolated incident by disturbed person 71%
  • Rhetoric an important contributor 24%
  • Some of both (VOL) 3%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the shootings of a Member of Congress, a Federal judge and others in Tucson, Arizona?
  • Approve 74%
  • Disapprove 11%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted January 13-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Strong Democrat 20%; Not very strong Democrat 11%; Independent/lean Democrat 10%; Strictly Independent 18%; Independent/lean Republican 11%; Not very strong Republican 9%; Strong Republican 12%. Political ideology: Very liberal 7%; Somewhat liberal 15%; Moderate 41%; Somewhat conservative 20%; Very conservative 14%.

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (20%) {19%} [22%] (29%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (22%) {19%} [17%] (23%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% (15%) {23%} [25%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (15%) {17%} [18%] (32%)
  • Ron Paul 9% {8%} [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% (20%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 26% (20%) {18%} [23%] (32%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (23%) {21%} [18%] (27%)
  • Newt Gingrich 20% (17%) {24%} [28%]
  • Ron Paul 9% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 9% (14%) {18%} [16%] (30%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 7% (18%)
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 23% (16%) {22%} [17%] (22%)
  • Sarah Palin 23% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% (23%) {15%} [26%] (40%)
  • Newt Gingrich 12% (10%) {17%} [15%]
  • Ron Paul 11% {9%} [6%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 0% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 13% (25%)
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (19%) {18%} [21%] (27%)
  • Sarah Palin 25% (20%) {16%} [18%] (26%)
  • Newt Gingrich 14% (22%) {29%} [27%]
  • Mitt Romney 11% (15%) {18%} [17%] (33%)
  • Ron Paul 8% {8%} [10%]
  • Mitch Daniels 6% (2%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (4%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 5% (12%)
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 24% (21%) {20%} [22%] (30%)
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (7%) {16%} [22%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% (23%) {23%} [16%] (21%)
  • Ron Paul 10% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (16%) {16%} [19%] (31%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (28%)
If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
  • Mike Huckabee 24% [18%]
  • Newt Gingrich 17% [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% [17%]
  • Ron Paul 10% [8%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% [14%]
  • Rick Perry 9% [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 4%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Someone else/Undecided 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 15% {+56%}
  • Sarah Palin 69% / 24% {+45%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 26% {+39%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 22% {+38%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 27% {+25%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 77% / 9% {+68%}
  • Sarah Palin 77% / 15% {+62%}
  • Rick Perry 70% / 19% {+51%}
  • Newt Gingrich 67% / 16% {+51%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 25% {+29%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 60% / 25% {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 29% {+25%}
  • Rick Perry 52% / 42% {+10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 44% / 37% {+7%}
  • Sarah Palin 45% / 51% {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 20% {+51%}
  • Sarah Palin 71% / 24% {+47%}
  • Rick Perry 64% / 29% {+35%}
  • Newt Gingrich 62% / 28% {+34%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 35% {+17%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 10% {+60%}
  • Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 23% {+42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 59% / 17% {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% / 21% {+30%}
Survey of 400 usual Texas Republican primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 75% {75%} [77%] (73%) Conservative; 21% {23%} [22%] (25%) Moderate; 4% {3%} [2%] (2%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research Survey on Sarah Palin

CNN/Opinion Research Survey on Sarah Palin

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
  • Favorable 38% (40%) [38%]
  • Unfavorable 56% (49%) [52%]
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 17% (15%) [17%]
  • Unfavorable 79% (82%) [74%]
Among Independents
  • Favorable 33% (38%) [35%]
  • Unfavorable 59% (45%) [53%]
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 68% (73%) [72%]
  • Unfavorable 25% (18%) [20%]
Among Liberals
  • Favorable 16% (15%) [16%]
  • Unfavorable 81% (75%) [79%]
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 27% (31%) [29%]
  • Unfavorable 64% (60%) [62%]
Among Conservatives
  • Favorable 63% (65%) [58%]
  • Unfavorable 30% (25%) [29%]
Under Age 50
  • Favorable 33% (36%) [36%]
  • Unfavorable 58% (52%) [56%]
50 and Older
  • Favorable 44% (46%) [41%]
  • Unfavorable 53% (46%) [47%]
Among Men
  • Favorable 43% (42%) [41%]
  • Unfavorable 50% (47%) [48%]
Among Women
  • Favorable 33% (39%) [35%]
  • Unfavorable 61% (51%) [56%]
Income Under $50K
  • Favorable 38% (38%) [36%]
  • Unfavorable 54% (45%) [52%]
Income $50K+
  • Favorable 36% (41%) [40%]
  • Unfavorable 61% (53%) [55%]
No College Education
  • Favorable 42% (44%) [43%]
  • Unfavorable 50% (41%) [43%]
Attended College
  • Favorable 35% (38%) [34%]
  • Unfavorable 60% (55%) [60%]
Northeast
  • Favorable 30% (33%) [32%]
  • Unfavorable 66% (54%) [56%]
Midwest
  • Favorable 36% (42%) [40%]
  • Unfavorable 56% (50%) [54%]
South
  • Favorable 46% (45%) [42%]
  • Unfavorable 45% (45%) [48%]
West
  • Favorable 34% (40%) [37%]
  • Unfavorable 62% (49%) [53%]
Urban
  • Favorable 24% (27%) [22%]
  • Unfavorable 69% (62%) [69%]
Suburban
  • Favorable 42% (42%) [39%]
  • Unfavorable 54% (49%) [54%]
Rural
  • Favorable 49% (55%) [46%]
  • Unfavorable 43% (33%) [41%]
Support Tea Party
  • Favorable 75% (79%)
  • Unfavorable 17% (17%)
Oppose Tea Party
  • Favorable 2% (9%)
  • Unfavorable 97% (86%)
Survey of 1,014 adults was conducted January 14-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-2, 2010 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps/CAF (D) 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Sarah Palin 39%
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 89%
  • Mitt Romney 8%
  • Barack Obama 90%
  • Sarah Palin 8%
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 88%
  • Barack Obama 7%
  • Sarah Palin 74%
  • Barack Obama 9%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Sarah Palin 35%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 47%
I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?
  • Republican candidate 47%
  • Democratic candidate 44%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Campaign for America’s Future January 9-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 34% Republican; 28% Independent. Political ideology: 42% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 18% Liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Click here to view graphs.  Click here to view memo.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Sarah Palin and the Arizona Shooting

Pew Research Survey on Sarah Palin

How much, if anything, have you seen or heard about Sarah Palin’s comments on the Arizona shooting?
  • A lot 19%
  • A little 39%
  • Nothing at all 40%
If heard 'a lot' or 'a little' about Palin's comments (N=641): What was your reaction to Sarah Palin’s comments…
  • Very positive 14%
  • Mostly positive 30%
  • Mostly negative 21%
  • Very negative 20%
Among Democrats
  • Very positive 8%
  • Mostly positive 17%
  • Mostly/Very negative 64%
Among Republicans
  • Very positive 26%
  • Mostly positive 45%
  • Mostly/Very negative 16%
Among Independents
  • Very positive 10%
  • Mostly positive 32%
  • Mostly negative 22%
  • Very negative 17%
All things considered…these days have you been hearing too much, too little, or the right amount about Sarah Palin?
  • Too much 49%
  • Too little 15%
  • Right amount 29%
Among Democrats
  • Too much 58%
  • Too little 14%
  • Right amount 21%
Among Republicans
  • Too much 40%
  • Too little 14%
  • Right amount 42%
Among Independents
  • Too much 51%
  • Too little 14%
  • Right amount 26%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted January 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Newt Gingrich to Sarah Palin: ‘Slow Down, Be a Lot More Careful, Think Through What You're Saying, and How You Say It'

Dick Cheney: Obama Finding We Were Right About Terror


Poll Watch: PPP (D) National Survey on Sarah Palin and the Arizona Shooting

PPP (D) National Survey on Sarah Palin and the Arizona Shooting

Do you think Sarah Palin’s video response to the Arizona shooting this week was appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 27%
  • Inappropriate 40%
Among Democrats
  • Appropriate 13%
  • Inappropriate 60%
Among Republicans
  • Appropriate 41%
  • Inappropriate 17%
Among Independents
  • Appropriate 28%
  • Inappropriate 42%
Among Conservatives
  • Appropriate 48%
  • Inappropriate 14%
Among Moderates
  • Appropriate 15%
  • Inappropriate 53%
Among Liberals
  • Appropriate 7%
  • Inappropriate 67%
Among Men
  • Appropriate 31%
  • Inappropriate 38%
Among Women
  • Appropriate 22%
  • Inappropriate 42%
Do you think Sarah Palin bears any responsibility for last week’s shooting in Arizona or not?
  • Bears some responsibility 26%
  • Does not 64%
Among Democrats
  • Bears some responsibility 45%
  • Does not 43%
Among Republicans
  • Bears some responsibility 8%
  • Does not 87%
Among Independents
  • Bears some responsibility 22%
  • Does not 64%
Among Conservatives
  • Bears some responsibility 6%
  • Does not 86%
Among Moderates
  • Bears some responsibility 34%
  • Does not 56%
Among Liberals
  • Bears some responsibility 52%
  • Does not 35%
Among Men
  • Bears some responsibility 26%
  • Does not 67%
Among Women
  • Bears some responsibility 26%
  • Does not 61%
Do you think the media treats Sarah Palin fairly or not?
  • Treats her fairly 47%
  • Treats her unfairly 45%
Among Democrats
  • Treats her fairly 77%
  • Treats her unfairly 15%
Among Republicans
  • Treats her fairly 17%
  • Treats her unfairly 77%
Among Independents
  • Treats her fairly 44%
  • Treats her unfairly 47%
Among Conservatives
  • Treats her fairly 14%
  • Treats her unfairly 78%
Among Moderates
  • Treats her fairly 64%
  • Treats her unfairly 29%
Among Liberals
  • Treats her fairly 84%
  • Treats her unfairly 9%
Among Men
  • Treats her fairly 44%
  • Treats her unfairly 49%
Among Women
  • Treats her fairly 51%
  • Treats her unfairly 42%
Survey of 632 American voters was conducted January 14-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% Democrat; 37% Republican; 23% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 41% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

Monday, January 17, 2011

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News Survey on Response to Tucson Shootings

Washington Post/ABC News Survey on Response to Tucson Shootings

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama has responded to this shooting incident?
  • Strongly approve 51%
  • Somewhat approve 26%
  • Somewhat disapprove 6%
  • Strongly disapprove 7%
Among Democrats
  • Strongly approve 75%
  • Somewhat approve 16%
  • Somewhat disapprove 3%
  • Strongly disapprove 2%
Among Republicans
  • Strongly approve 33%
  • Somewhat approve 39%
  • Somewhat disapprove 8%
  • Strongly disapprove 10%
Among Independents
  • Strongly approve 44%
  • Somewhat approve 28%
  • Somewhat disapprove 6%
  • Strongly disapprove 7%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sarah Palin has responded to this shooting incident?
  • Strongly approve 14%
  • Somewhat approve 16%
  • Somewhat disapprove 14%
  • Strongly disapprove 32%
Among Democrats
  • Strongly approve 6%
  • Somewhat approve 9%
  • Somewhat disapprove 17%
  • Strongly disapprove 54%
Among Republicans
  • Strongly approve 26%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 14%
Among Independents
  • Strongly approve 12%
  • Somewhat approve 20%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 25%
Survey of 1,053 adults was conducted January 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Friday, January 14, 2011

Scarborough: Tucson Reply a Career-Ender for Palin


Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 50% (47%)
  • Mike Huckabee 38% (43%)
  • Barack Obama 51% (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 56% (52%)
  • Sarah Palin 30% (40%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 87% (81%)
  • Mitt Romney 8% (11%)
  • Barack Obama 88% (83%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (10%)
  • Barack Obama 89% (85%)
  • Sarah Palin 6% (11%)
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 81% (86%)
  • Barack Obama 8% (7%)
  • Mitt Romney 81% (87%)
  • Barack Obama 10% (6%)
  • Sarah Palin 66% (78%)
  • Barack Obama 16% (12%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 45% (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee 40% (40%)
  • Barack Obama 47% (39%)
  • Mitt Romney 37% (47%)
  • Barack Obama 57% (52%)
  • Sarah Palin 29% (35%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 30% (38%)
  • Barack Obama 56% (55%)
  • Mike Huckabee 29% (31%)
  • Barack Obama 69% (68%)
  • Sarah Palin 17% (26%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 68% (67%)
  • Barack Obama 23% (25%)
  • Mitt Romney 65% (67%)
  • Barack Obama 24% (23%)
  • Sarah Palin 58% (64%)
  • Barack Obama 28% (26%)
Among Liberals
  • Barack Obama 85% (78%)
  • Mitt Romney 8% (13%)
  • Barack Obama 85% (80%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (10%)
  • Barack Obama 85% (83%)
  • Sarah Palin 7% (13%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 47% (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% (47%)
  • Barack Obama 47% (49%)
  • Mike Huckabee 41% (42%)
  • Barack Obama 52% (53%)
  • Sarah Palin 35% (40%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% (44%)
  • Mike Huckabee 36% (43%)
  • Barack Obama 54% (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 60% (50%)
  • Sarah Palin 27% (39%)
Northeast
  • Barack Obama 53% (53%)
  • Mike Huckabee 30% (37%)
  • Barack Obama 54% (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 30% (43%)
  • Barack Obama 59% (58%)
  • Sarah Palin 22% (36%)
Midwest
  • Barack Obama 54% (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (43%)
  • Barack Obama 55% (47%)
  • Mike Huckabee 38% (42%)
  • Barack Obama 63% (52%)
  • Sarah Palin 27% (39%)
South
  • Barack Obama 46% (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee 43% (49%)
  • Barack Obama 49% (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% (53%)
  • Barack Obama 52% (45%)
  • Sarah Palin 35% (47%)
West
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (38%)
  • Barack Obama 47% (48%)
  • Mike Huckabee 38% (36%)
  • Barack Obama 54% (58%)
  • Sarah Palin 32% (32%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 48% (42%)
  • Disapprove 43% (50%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 84% (74%)
  • Disapprove 9% (21%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 9% (7%)
  • Disapprove 83% (87%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 44% (39%)
  • Disapprove 44% (52%)
Overall, do you have a favorable or  an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? 
  • Favorable 53%
  • Unfavorable 40% 
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 85% 
  • Unfavorable 9% 
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 14% 
  • Unfavorable 76% 
Among Independents
  • Favorable 53%
  • Unfavorable 42%
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?
  • Strongly support Tea Party 9% (10%)
  • Support Tea Party 20% (19%)
  • Do not support Tea Party 63% (62%)
Among Democrats
  • Strongly support Tea Party 2% (1%)
  • Support Tea Party 9% (6%)
  • Do not support Tea Party 83% (87%)
Among Republicans
  • Strongly support Tea Party 17% (21%)
  • Support Tea Party 30% (34%)
  • Do not support Tea Party 42% (34%)
Among Independents
  • Strongly support Tea Party 9% (12%)
  • Support Tea Party 23% (18%)
  • Do not support Tea Party 60% (62%)
The Republicans have control of the House of Representatives. Which comes 
closer to your view about what you think should happen: 
  • The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 71%
  • The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 23%
Among Democrats
  • The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 92%
  • The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 6%
Among Republicans
  • The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 46%
  • The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 47%
Among Independents
  • The Republicans should compromise with the Democrats & President Obama to get things done. 73%
  • The Republicans should stand firm on their positions even if it means things don't get done. 23%
Which one of the following comes closest to your opinion about what Congress should do with the 2010 Health Care Law: 
  • Let it stand 14%
  • Change it so it does more 35%
  • Change it so it does less 13%
  • Repeal it completely 30%
Among Democrats
  • Let it stand 23%
  • Change it so it does more 51%
  • Change it so it does less 8%
  • Repeal it completely 9%
Among Republicans
  • Let it stand 4%
  • Change it so it does more 17%
  • Change it so it does less 14%
  • Repeal it completely 57%
Among Independents
  • Let it stand 14%
  • Change it so it does more 34%
  • Change it so it does less 16%
  • Repeal it completely 29%
    Survey of 827 registered voters was conducted January 6-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% (37%) Democrat; 28% (28%) Republican; 36% (33%) Independent. Political ideology: 42% (46%) Conservative; 34% (34%) Moderate; 23% (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, January 13, 2011

    Good Morning America: Chris Christie on Obama's Speech, Heated Rhetoric

    Tim Pawlenty on Morning Joe


    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey
    • Barack Obama 47%
    • Mike Huckabee 43%
    • Barack Obama 47%
    • Mitt Romney 41%
    • Barack Obama 51%
    • Newt Gingrich 38%
    • Barack Obama 53%
    • Sarah Palin 37%
    Among Independents
    • Mike Huckabee 42%
    • Barack Obama 41%
      • Barack Obama 40%
      • Mitt Romney 38%
      • Barack Obama 49%
      • Sarah Palin 38%
      • Barack Obama 49%
      • Newt Gingrich 34%
      Among Republicans
      • Mike Huckabee 79%
      • Barack Obama 10%
      • Mitt Romney 76%
      • Barack Obama 11%
      • Newt Gingrich 73%
      • Barack Obama 13%
      • Sarah Palin 67%
      • Barack Obama 17%
      Among Democrats
      • Barack Obama 86%
      • Mitt Romney 9%
      • Barack Obama 89%
      • Mike Huckabee 7%
      • Barack Obama 90%
      • Newt Gingrich 5%
      • Barack Obama 91%
      • Sarah Palin 6%
      Among Conservatives
      • Mike Huckabee 80%
      • Barack Obama 9%
      • Mitt Romney 75%
      • Barack Obama 10%
      • Newt Gingrich 73%
      • Barack Obama 12%
      • Sarah Palin 71%
      • Barack Obama 12%
      Among Moderates
      • Barack Obama 58%
      • Mitt Romney 29%
      • Barack Obama 60%
      • Mike Huckabee 30%
      • Barack Obama 66%
      • Newt Gingrich 23%
      • Barack Obama 68%
      • Sarah Palin 24%
      Among Liberals
      • Barack Obama 87%
      • Mitt Romney 9%
      • Barack Obama 89%
      • Newt Gingrich 9%
      • Barack Obama 90%
      • Mike Huckabee 5%
      • Barack Obama 94%
      • Sarah Palin 5%
      Among Men
      • Mike Huckabee 51%
      • Barack Obama 38%
      • Mitt Romney 48%
      • Barack Obama 36%
      • Newt Gingrich 46%
      • Barack Obama 42%
      • Sarah Palin 46%
      • Barack Obama 42%
      Among Women
      • Barack Obama 56%
      • Mike Huckabee 36%
      • Barack Obama 56%
      • Mitt Romney 35%
      • Barack Obama 59%
      • Newt Gingrich 31%
      • Barack Obama 62%
      • Sarah Palin 29%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Mike Huckabee 42% / 39% {+3%}
      • Mitt Romney 37% / 42% {-5%}
      • Newt Gingrich 30% / 49% {-19%}
      • Sarah Palin 34% / 59% {-25%}
      Among Democrats
      • Mike Huckabee 17% / 62% {-45%}
      • Mitt Romney 16% / 62% {-46%}
      • Newt Gingrich 10% / 73% {-63%}
      • Sarah Palin 7% / 90% {-83%}
      Among Republicans
      • Mike Huckabee 68% / 20% {+48%}
      • Mitt Romney 59% / 25% {+34%}
      • Sarah Palin 60% / 28% {+32%}
      • Newt Gingrich 54% / 27% {+27%}
      Among Independents
      • Mike Huckabee 40% / 34% {+6%}
      • Mitt Romney 35% / 39% {-4%}
      • Sarah Palin 35% / 56% {-21%}
      • Newt Gingrich 26% / 48% {-22%}
      Among Conservatives
      • Mike Huckabee 67% / 18% {+49%}
      • Newt Gingrich 57% / 22% {+35%}
      • Sarah Palin 60% / 26% {+34%}
      • Mitt Romney 54% / 25% {+29%}
      Among Moderates
      • Mike Huckabee 34% / 43% {-9%}
      • Mitt Romney 32% / 46% {-14%}
      • Newt Gingrich 18% /61% {-43%}
      • Sarah Palin 23% / 71% {-48%}
      Among Liberals
      • Mitt Romney 16% / 67% {-51%}
      • Mike Huckabee 13% / 72% {-59%}
      • Newt Gingrich 12% / 72% {-60%}
      • Sarah Palin 9% / 88% {-79%}
      Among Men
      • Mike Huckabee 47% / 39% {+8%}
      • Mitt Romney 42% / 40% {+2%}
      • Sarah Palin 43% / 49% {-6%}
      • Newt Gingrich 38% / 49% {-11%}
      Among Women
      • Mike Huckabee 37% / 40% {-3%}
      • Mitt Romney 32% / 45% {-13%}
      • Newt Gingrich 24% / 50% {-26%}
      • Sarah Palin 26% / 67% {-41%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
      • Approve 50%
      • Disapprove 43%
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 87%
      • Disapprove 8%
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 13%
      • Disapprove 82%
      Among Independents
      • Approve 49%
      • Disapprove 40%
      Among Conservatives
      • Approve 11%
      • Disapprove 84%
      Among Moderates
      • Approve 64%
      • Disapprove 27%
      Among Liberals
      • Approve 88%
      • Disapprove 9%
      Among Men
      • Approve 43%
      • Disapprove 51%
      Among Women
      • Approve 56%
      • Disapprove 37%
        Survey of 1,077 Iowa voters was conducted January 7-9, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 37% Republican; 25% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

        Wednesday, January 12, 2011

        Chris Christie on Morning Joe


        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary

        PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary
        • Mike Huckabee 26% (23%) {19%} [20%] (27%)
        • Sarah Palin 21% (16%) {19%} [24%] (27%)
        • Mitt Romney 16% (16%) {20%} [16%] (31%)
        • Newt Gingrich 15% (15%) {19%} [23%]
        • Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
        • Ron Paul 5%
        • Mitch Daniels 2% (2%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 9% (22%)
        Among Conservatives
        • Mike Huckabee 27% (25%) {20%} [22%] (28%)
        • Sarah Palin 23% (17%) {18%} [28%] (31%)
        • Newt Gingrich 15% (15%) {22%} [24%]
        • Mitt Romney 14% (15%) {21%} [14%] (28%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 9% (3%)
        • Ron Paul 4%
        • Mitch Daniels 1% (3%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 7% (19%)
        Among Moderates
        • Mike Huckabee 24% (17%) {16%} [16%] (24%)
        • Mitt Romney 22% (16%) {20%} [22%] (39%)
        • Sarah Palin 15% (15%) {21%} [15%] (20%)
        • Newt Gingrich 14% (17%) {11%} [20%]
        • Ron Paul 8%
        • Mitch Daniels 3% (0%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 1% (1%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 14% (31%)
        Among Men
        • Sarah Palin 24% (14%) {17%} [26%] (30%)
        • Mike Huckabee 22% (19%) {15%} [17%] (24%)
        • Mitt Romney 18% (18%) {21%} [18%] (33%)
        • Newt Gingrich 14% (19%) {27%} [23%]
        • Ron Paul 6%
        • Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
        • Mitch Daniels 3% (4%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 8% (22%) 
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 30% (28%) {23%} [23%] (30%)
        • Sarah Palin 18% (20%) {20%} [22%] (24%)
        • Newt Gingrich 17% (12%) {11%} [22%]
        • Mitt Romney 15% (14%) {20%} [14%] (28%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%)
        • Ron Paul 4%
        • Mitch Daniels 1% (1%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 10% (23%)
        If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
        • Mike Huckabee 21%
        • Sarah Palin 18%
        • Newt Gingrich 16%
        • Mitt Romney 14%
        • Rick Santorum 11%
        • Tim Pawlenty 6%
        • Ron Paul 4%
        • Mitch Daniels 1%
        • Someone else/Undecided 8%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mike Huckabee 64% / 17% {+47%}
        • Sarah Palin 63% / 28% {+35%}
        • Newt Gingrich 54% / 25% {+29%}
        • Rick Santorum 54% / 27% {+27%}
        • Mitt Romney 52% / 25% {+27%}
        Among Conservatives
        • Mike Huckabee 70% / 12% {+58%}
        • Sarah Palin 71% / 19% {+52%}
        • Newt Gingrich 60% / 17% {+43%}
        • Rick Santorum 60% / 20% {+40%}
        • Mitt Romney 52% / 23% {+29%}
        Among Moderates
        • Mike Huckabee 52% / 29% {+23%}
        • Mitt Romney 51% / 31% {+20%}
        • Rick Santorum 41% / 44% {-3%}
        • Newt Gingrich 40% / 46% {-6%}
        • Sarah Palin 42% / 52% {-10%}
        Among Men
        • Mike Huckabee 64% / 20% {+44%}
        • Sarah Palin 62% / 30% {+32%}
        • Newt Gingrich 57% / 27% {+30%}
        • Rick Santorum 58% / 30% {+28%}
        • Mitt Romney 53% / 30% {+23%}
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 65% / 14% {+51%}
        • Sarah Palin 64% / 26% {+38%}
        • Mitt Romney 51% / 21% {+30%}
        • Newt Gingrich 52% / 23% {+29%}
        • Rick Santorum 50% / 24% {+26%}
        Survey of 400 usual Republican primary voters was conducted January 3-5, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 68% Conservative; 29% Moderate; 3% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

        Tuesday, January 11, 2011

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

        PPP (D) Nevada 2012 GOP Caucus Survey 
        • Mitt Romney 31% (34%) [34%]
        • Sarah Palin 19% (16%) [16%]
        • Newt Gingrich 18% (21%) [28%]
        • Mike Huckabee 14% (11%) [11%]
        • Ron Paul 7%
        • Mitch Daniels 1% (1%)
        • John Thune 1% (0%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 1% (2%)
        • Someone else/Undecided 8% (13%)
        Who would your second choice be as the Republican candidate for President next year?
        • Sarah Palin 21%
        • Newt Gingrich 17%
        • Mitt Romney 17%
        • Mike Huckabee 14%
        • Ron Paul 6%
        • Mitch Daniels 5%
        • Tim Pawlenty 5%
        • John Thune 3%
        • Someone else/Undecided 12%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mitt Romney 70% / 18% {+52%}
        • Sarah Palin 70% / 24% {+46%}
        • Mike Huckabee 65% / 22% {+43%}
        • Newt Gingrich 63% / 20% {+43%}
        Survey of 400 usual Republican primary voters was conducted January 3-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 68% Conservative; 30% Moderate; 2% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

        PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
        • Mike Huckabee 30% (27%)
        • Mitt Romney 18% (15%)
        • Sarah Palin 15% (17%)
        • Newt Gingrich 13% (16%)
        • Ron Paul 6% (7%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 4%
        • John Thune 3% (2%)
        • Mitch Daniels 1%
        • Someone Else/Undecided 10%
        Among Conservatives
        • Mike Huckabee 30% (28%)
        • Sarah Palin 17% (16%)
        • Mitt Romney 15% (14%)
        • Newt Gingrich 14% (19%)
        • Ron Paul 7% (7%)
        • John Thune 4% (3%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 3%
        • Mitch Daniels 1%
        • Someone Else/Undecided 9%
        Among Moderates
        • Mike Huckabee 29% (26%)
        • Mitt Romney 25% (20%)
        • Newt Gingrich 10% (10%)
        • Sarah Palin 9% (17%)
        • Ron Paul 6% (9%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 5%
        • Mitch Daniels 1%
        • John Thune 0% (0%)
        • Someone Else/Undecided 13%
        Among Men
        • Mike Huckabee 26% (21%)
        • Mitt Romney 18% (18%)
        • Newt Gingrich 16% (15%)
        • Sarah Palin 16% (18%)
        • Ron Paul 8% (11%)
        • John Thune 4% (3%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 4%
        • Mitch Daniels 0%
        • Someone Else/Undecided 8%
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 35% (34%)
        • Mitt Romney 19% (11%)
        • Sarah Palin 14% (15%)
        • Newt Gingrich 10% (17%)
        • Ron Paul 4% (3%)
        • John Thune 3% (1%)
        • Tim Pawlenty 3%
        • Mitch Daniels 1%
        • Someone Else/Undecided 12%
        Who would your second choice be as the Republican candidate for President next year?
        • Mike Huckabee 19%
        • Sarah Palin 13%
        • Newt Gingrich 12%
        • Mitt Romney 9%
        • Ron Paul 5%
        • Tim Pawlenty 5%
        • John Thune 3%
        • Mitch Daniels 2%
        • Someone Else/Undecided 31%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mike Huckabee 72% / 16% {+56%}
        • Sarah Palin 60% / 29% {+31%}
        • Mitt Romney 57% / 26% {+31%}
        • Newt Gingrich 53% / 27% {+26%}
        • Ron Paul 47% / 23% {+24%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 34% / 12% {+22%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 49% / 30% {+19%}
        • Rick Santorum 28% / 9% {+19%}
        • Jim DeMint 22% / 10% {+12%}
        • John Thune 20% / 9% {+11%}
        • Haley Barbour 22% / 14% {+8%}
        • Mike Pence 16% / 8% {+8%}
        • Mitch Daniels 11% / 11% {0%}
        Among Conservatives
        • Mike Huckabee 76% / 13% {+63%}
        • Sarah Palin 67% / 19% {+48%}
        • Newt Gingrich 63% / 18% {+45%}
        • Ron Paul 51% / 18% {+33%}
        • Mitt Romney 57% / 25% {+32%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 35% / 8% {+27%}
        • Rick Santorum 32% / 5% {+27%}
        • Jim DeMint 27% / 6% {+21%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 49% / 30% {+19%}
        • John Thune 25% / 6% {+19%}
        • Haley Barbour 27% / 10% {+17%}
        • Mike Pence 20% / 5% {+15%}
        • Mitch Daniels 13% / 6% {+7%}
        Among Moderates
        • Mike Huckabee 62% / 24% {+38%}
        • Mitt Romney 56% / 28% {+28%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 49% / 31% {+18%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 30% / 23% {+7%}
        • Ron Paul 38% / 35% {+3%}
        • Rick Santorum 17% / 21% {-4%}
        • Jim DeMint 10% / 19% {-9%}
        • John Thune 9% / 19% {-10%}
        • Sarah Palin 41% / 53% {-12%}
        • Haley Barbour 11% / 23% {-12%}
        • Mike Pence 6% / 18% {-12%}
        • Mitch Daniels 8% / 22% {-14%}
        • Newt Gingrich 30% / 49% {-19%}
        Among Men
        • Mike Huckabee 74% / 18% {+56%}
        • Sarah Palin 62% / 27% {+35%}
        • Newt Gingrich 59% / 30% {+29%}
        • Ron Paul 52% / 23% {+29%}
        • Mitt Romney 57% / 29% {+28%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 52% / 31% {+21%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 35% / 15% {+20%}
        • Rick Santorum 30% / 11% {+19%}
        • John Thune 24% / 10% {+14%}
        • Jim DeMint 24% / 12% {+12%}
        • Haley Barbour 26% / 15% {+11%}
        • Mike Pence 18% / 9% {+9%}
        • Mitch Daniels 15% / 12% {+3%}
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 69% / 14% {+55%}
        • Mitt Romney 57% / 22% {+35%}
        • Sarah Palin 57% / 31% {+26%}
        • Newt Gingrich 46% / 23% {+23%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 32% / 9% {+23%}
        • Ron Paul 40% / 22% {+18%}
        • Rick Santorum 25% / 8% {+17%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 45% / 29% {+16%}
        • Jim DeMint 19% / 8% {+11%}
        • John Thune 16% / 8% {+8%}
        • Mike Pence 13% / 8% {+5%}
        • Haley Barbour 16% / 13% {+3%}
        • Mitch Daniels 8% / 9% {-1%}
        Survey of 494 usual Iowa Republican primary voters was conducted January 7-9, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 69% (74%) Conservative; 29% (21%) Moderate; 2% (5%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses. Data compilation by Argo Journal ©.

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

        PPP (D) New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey
        • Barack Obama 52%
        • Mitt Romney 37%
        • Barack Obama 55%
        • Chris Christie 38%
        • Barack Obama 53%
        • Mike Huckabee 36%
        • Barack Obama 54%
        • Newt Gingrich 37%
        • Barack Obama 59%
        • Sarah Palin 29%
        Among Independents
        • Chris Christie 42%
        • Barack Obama 42%
        • Barack Obama 42%
        • Mitt Romney 41%
        • Barack Obama 45%
        • Newt Gingrich 43%
        • Barack Obama 45%
        • Mike Huckabee 38%
        • Barack Obama 53%
        • Sarah Palin 32%
        Among Conservatives
        • Newt Gingrich 69%
        • Barack Obama 21%
        • Mike Huckabee 64%
        • Barack Obama 22%
        • Chris Christie 64%
        • Barack Obama 24%
        • Mitt Romney 64%
        • Barack Obama 24%
        • Sarah Palin 56%
        • Barack Obama 27%
        Among Moderates
        • Barack Obama 58%
        • Mitt Romney 32%
        • Barack Obama 62%
        • Chris Christie 32%
        • Barack Obama 61%
        • Mike Huckabee 29%
        • Barack Obama 62%
        • Newt Gingrich 28%
        • Barack Obama 67%
        • Sarah Palin 21%
        Among Men
        • Barack Obama 48%
        • Newt Gingrich 45%
        • Barack Obama 48%
        • Mitt Romney 45%
        • Barack Obama 49%
        • Chris Christie 43%
        • Barack Obama 50%
        • Mike Huckabee 40%
        • Barack Obama 55%
        • Sarah Palin 37%
        Among Women
        • Barack Obama 59%
        • Chris Christie 34%
        • Barack Obama 56%
        • Mike Huckabee 32%
        • Barack Obama 56%
        • Mitt Romney 31%
        • Barack Obama 58%
        • Newt Gingrich 30%
        • Barack Obama 63%
        • Sarah Palin 23%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mitt Romney 35% / 41% {-6%}
        • Mike Huckabee 32% / 41% {-9%}
        • Newt Gingrich 29% / 49% {-20%}
        • Sarah Palin 27% / 65% {-38%}
        Among Republicans
        • Newt Gingrich 59% / 21% {+38%}
        • Mike Huckabee 57% / 24% {+33%}
        • Mitt Romney 57% / 26% {+31%}
        • Sarah Palin 53% / 39% {+14%}
        Among Independents
        • Mitt Romney 37% / 36% {+1%}
        • Mike Huckabee 30% / 40% {-10%}
        • Newt Gingrich 29% / 51% {-22%}
        • Sarah Palin 30% / 61% {-31%}
        Among Conservatives
        • Newt Gingrich 52% / 23% {+29%}
        • Mike Huckabee 51% / 26% {+25%}
        • Mitt Romney 50% / 27% {+23%}
        • Sarah Palin 46% / 42% {+4%}
        Among Moderates
        • Mitt Romney 32% / 44% {-12%}
        • Mike Huckabee 26% / 46% {-20%}
        • Newt Gingrich 24% / 57% {-33%}
        • Sarah Palin 22% / 73% {-51%}
        Among Men
        • Mitt Romney 36% / 43% {-7%}
        • Mike Huckabee 32% / 48% {-16%}
        • Newt Gingrich 34% / 52% {-18%}
        • Sarah Palin 32% / 62% {-30%}
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 31% / 35% {-4%}
        • Mitt Romney 33% / 40% {-7%}
        • Newt Gingrich 25% / 47% {-22%}
        • Sarah Palin 23% / 68% {-45%}
        Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Chris Christie’s job performance?
        • Approve 48%
        • Disapprove 45%
        Among Independents
        • Approve 55%
        • Disapprove 39%
        Among Republicans
        • Approve 79%
        • Disapprove 16%
        Among Democrats
        • Approve 23%
        • Disapprove 68%
        Among Conservatives
        • Approve 67%
        • Disapprove 26%
        Among Moderates
        • Approve 44%
        • Disapprove 51%
        Among Men
        • Approve 51%
        • Disapprove 43%
        Among Women
        • Approve 46%
        • Disapprove 47%
        Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
        • Approve 51%
        • Disapprove 43%
        Among Independents
        • Approve 39%
        • Disapprove 54%
        Among Men
        • Approve 46%
        • Disapprove 50%
        Among Women
        • Approve 57%
        • Disapprove 36%
        Survey of 520 New Jersey voters was conducted January 6-9, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Democrat; 29% Republican; 27% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 48% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 18% Liberal.  Data compilation by Argo Journal ©.

        Monday, January 10, 2011

        Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Presidential Favorability Survey

        Gallup: Within GOP, Huckabee Most Liked, Palin Best Known

        Republican Candidate Images, Basic Data (Combination of Recogntion and Favorability Questions), Based on Republicans and Republican-Leaning Independents

        Republican Candidate Images, Strongly Favorable vs. Strongly Unfavorable, and Net Favorable, January 2011

        Republican Presidential Candidate Images, January 2011
        GOP Candidate Images (Net Favorable + Recognition) Among Republicans and Republican-Leaning Independents, January 2011
        Survey Methods

        Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Jan. 4-5, 2011, on the Gallup Daily tracking survey, with a random sample of 923 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling.
        For results based on the total sample of Republicans, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

        Poll Watch: Neighborhood Research (R) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

        Neighborhood Research (R) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
        • Mike Huckabee 24%
        • Mitt Romney 19%
        • Sarah Palin 11%
        • Newt Gingrich 8%
        • Tim Pawlenty 4%
        • Ron Paul 3%
        • Michele Bachmann 2%
        • Mike Pence 1%
        • Haley Barbour 1%
        • John Thune 0%
        • Rick Santorum 0%
        • Herman Cain 0%
        • Gary Johnson 0%
        • Undecided 27%
        Among Definite Caucus Attendees
        • Mike Huckabee 22%
        • Mitt Romney 21%
        • Sarah Palin 13%
        • Newt Gingrich 6%
        • Tim Pawlenty 4%
        • Ron Paul 4%
        • Michele Bachmann 3%
        • Mike Pence 1%
        • Haley Barbour 0%
        • John Thune 0%
        • Rick Santorum 0%
        • Herman Cain 0%
        • Gary Johnson 0%
        • Undecided 26%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mike Huckabee 59% / 6% {+53%}
        • Newt Gingrich 44% / 9% {+35%}
        • Sarah Palin 44% / 19% {+25%}
        • Mitt Romney 38% / 13% {+25%}
        • Michele Bachmann 24% / 2% {+22%}
        • Ron Paul 25% / 9% {+16%}
        • Tim Pawlenty 16% / 2% {+14%}
        • Haley Barbour 12% / 2% {+10%}
        • Rick Santorum 10% / 2% {+8%}
        • John Thune 7% / 1% {+6%}
        • Mike Pence 6% / 0% {+6%}
        • Herman Cain 4% / 0% {+4%}
        • Gary Johnson 1% / 0% {+1%}
        Survey of 556 likely 2012 caucus attendees was conducted January 3-8, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. 70 percent of those surveyed said they were definitely attending the caucus. Political ideology: 78% Conservative; 16% Moderate; 2% Liberal.

        Inside the numbers:
        When counting second choice votes, Huckabee led Romney 36-28 (35-28 with definites) with Palin at 22 percent (26 percent with definites) and Gingrich at 19 percent (17 percent with definites). Pawlenty had 7 percent, Paul 6 percent, Bachmann 5 percent, Pence and Thune 2 percent and Barbour, Santorum and Cain at 1 percent.
        Counting third choice votes also, Huckabee led Romney 41-32 with 27 for Palin, 26 for Gingrich, 9 for Pawlenty, 8 for Paul and Bachmann, 3 for Pence, Barbour and Thune, 2 for Santorum and 1 for Cain. With definite voters, Huckabee was up 40-32 with 30 for Palin, 23 for Gingrich, 10 for Pawlenty, 7 for Bachmann, 6 for Paul and 4 for Pence.
        Sarah Palin had the highest name ID at 100 percent followed by Mike Huckabee at 99 percent, Newt Gingrich at 98 percent and Mitt Romney at 97 percent. Ron Paul had 89 percent. From there, name ID dropped off significantly. Tim Pawlenty’s name ID was 64 percent, followed by Michele Bachmann at 60 percent, Rick Santorum at 58 percent, Haley Barbour at 52 percent, John Thune at 43 percent, Mike Pence at 38 percent, Herman Cain at 20 percent and Gary Johnson at 19 percent.
        Among those definitely voting, name ID figures for nearly every candidate were similar except for Bachmann, whose name ID was 70 percent with definite caucus attendees.
        With those definitely voting, Huckabee and Gingrich were slightly weaker while Palin was slightly stronger.
        Among the candidates, Romney converts a higher percentage of his favorables into votes than any other candidate (42 percent) followed by Huckabee at 36 percent, Palin and Pawlenty at 24 percent, Pence at 20 percent, Gingrich at 16 percent, Paul at 13 percent, Cain at 9 percent, Bachmann at 8 percent, Thune at 5 percent, Santorum at 4 percent and Barbour at 3 percent.
        When it comes to first and second choices, Romney converts 56 percent of his favorables followed by Huckabee at 51 percent, Palin at 46 percent, Pawlenty at 37 percent, Gingrich at 36 percent, Pence at 33 percent, Thune at 28 percent, Cain at 22 percent, Paul at 21 percent, Bachmann at 19 percent, Barbour at 16 percent and Santorum at 9 percent.
        Looking at first, second or third choice, Romney gets 64 percent of his favorables, Huckabee 60 percent, Palin 53 percent, Pawlenty 52 percent, Gingrich 48 percent, Pence 43 percent, Thune 33 percent, Bachmann 29 percent, Paul 28 percent, Cain 26 percent, Barbour 22 percent and Santorum 14 percent.
        46 percent of respondents are over 65, 34 percent 50-64 (in other words, 80 percent of likely caucus goers are 50 or over). 12 percent are 35 to 49 and 8 percent are under 35.
        When asked their ethnic background, 46 percent said they were German, 24 percent English, 23 percent Irish, 9 percent Dutch, 6 percent Scottish, 5 percent Swedish, 5 percent Norwegian, 3 percent French, 3 percent Danish, 2 percent American Indian, 1 percent for each of the following: Italian, Polish, Czech, Swiss and Welsh. 65 percent attend religious services weekly, 13 percent “occasionally” and 22 percent never go.

        Friday, January 07, 2011

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

        PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey
        • Barack Obama 47%
        • Mitt Romney 46%
        • Barack Obama 51%
        • Mike Huckabee 41%
        • Barack Obama 51%
        • Newt Gingrich 40%
        • Barack Obama 52%
        • Sarah Palin 39%
        Among Independents
        • Mitt Romney 52%
        • Barack Obama 41%
        • Barack Obama 57%
        • Sarah Palin 35%
        • Barack Obama 58%
        • Mike Huckabee 35%
        • Barack Obama 56%
        • Newt Gingrich 29%
        Among Conservatives
        • Mitt Romney 76%
        • Barack Obama 14%
        • Newt Gingrich 73%
        • Barack Obama 14%
        • Mike Huckabee 74%
        • Barack Obama 17%
        • Sarah Palin 72%
        • Barack Obama 19%
        Among Moderates
        • Barack Obama 61%
        • Mitt Romney 35%
        • Barack Obama 68%
        • Mike Huckabee 24%
        • Barack Obama 69%
        • Newt Gingrich 23%
        • Barack Obama 68%
        • Sarah Palin 21%
        Among Men
        • Mitt Romney 47%
        • Barack Obama 44%
        • Barack Obama 49%
        • Mike Huckabee 41%
        • Barack Obama 50%
        • Sarah Palin 38%
        • Barack Obama 51%
        • Newt Gingrich 38%
        Among Women
        • Barack Obama 49%
        • Mitt Romney 45%
        • Barack Obama 51%
        • Newt Gingrich 41%
        • Barack Obama 53%
        • Mike Huckabee 40%
        • Barack Obama 54%
        • Sarah Palin 39%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mitt Romney 47% / 37% {+10%}
        • Mike Huckabee 43% / 39% {+4%}
        • Newt Gingrich 35% / 51% {-16%}
        • Sarah Palin 36% / 58% {-22%}
        Among Republicans
        • Mitt Romney 71% / 20% {+51%}
        • Newt Gingrich 67% / 21% {+46%}
        • Mike Huckabee 67% / 21% {+46%}
        • Sarah Palin 67% / 27% {+40%}
        Among Independents
        • Mitt Romney 58% / 28% {+30%}
        • Mike Huckabee 38% / 50% {-12%}
        • Sarah Palin 28% / 61% {-33%}
        • Newt Gingrich 26% / 65% {-39%}
        Among Conservatives
        • Mike Huckabee 66% / 17% {+49%}
        • Sarah Palin 71% / 23% {+48%}
        • Mitt Romney 66% / 18% {+48%}
        • Newt Gingrich 64% / 17% {+47%}
        Among Moderates
        • Mitt Romney 42% / 42% {0%}
        • Mike Huckabee 35% / 47% {-12%}
        • Newt Gingrich 20% / 65% {-45%}
        • Sarah Palin 17% / 74% {-57%}
        Among Men
        • Mike Huckabee 44% / 40% {+4%}
        • Mitt Romney 45% / 46% {-1%}
        • Sarah Palin 36% / 57% {-21%}
        • Newt Gingrich 31% / 58% {-27%}
        Among Women
        • Mitt Romney 49% / 30% {+19%}
        • Mike Huckabee 42% / 39% {+3%}
        • Newt Gingrich 38% / 44% {-6%}
        • Sarah Palin 36% / 58% {-22%}
        Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
        • Approve 50%
        • Disapprove 46%
          Survey of 932 Nevada voters was conducted January 3-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 39% Republican; 16% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 17% Liberal.

          Giuliani on Morning Joe


          Thursday, January 06, 2011

          Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) 2012 New Hampshire GOP Primary

          Magellan Strategies (R) 2012 New Hampshire GOP Primary
          • Mitt Romney 39% (40%)
          • Sarah Palin 16% (11%)
          • Mike Huckabee 10% (10%)
          • Newt Gingrich 8% (16%)
          • Ron Paul 7% (6%)
          • Tim Pawlenty 4% (5%)
          • Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
          • Haley Barbour 1%
          • Other 4% (5%)
          • Undecided 8% (6%)
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Mitt Romney 73% / 16% {+57%}
          • Sarah Palin 59% / 31% {+28%}
          • Mike Huckabee 55% / 27% {+28%}
          • Newt Gingrich 52% / 32% {+20%}
          • Tim Pawlenty 30% / 14% {+16%}
          • Ron Paul 41% / 29% {+12%}
          • Rick Santorum 27% / 20% {+7%}
          • Haley Barbour 21% / 22% {-1%}
          Survey of 1,451 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 4, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.57 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 67% (66%) Republican; 33% (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 81% (68%); Moderate 15% (26%); Liberal 1% (6%).  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

          PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey
          • Barack Obama 47%
          • Mike Huckabee 44%
          • Barack Obama 46%
          • Mitt Romney 42%
          • Barack Obama 48%
          • Rick Santorum 40%
          • Barack Obama 50%
          • Newt Gingrich 40%
          • Barack Obama 51%
          • Sarah Palin 36%
          Among Independents
          • Barack Obama 49%
          • Mike Huckabee 37%
            • Barack Obama 47%
            • Mitt Romney 29%
            • Barack Obama 51%
            • Sarah Palin 33%
            • Barack Obama 53%
            • Newt Gingrich 33%
            • Barack Obama 49%
            • Rick Santorum 29%
            Among Conservatives
            • Mike Huckabee 75%
            • Barack Obama 15%
            • Mitt Romney 67%
            • Barack Obama 17%
            • Newt Gingrich 68%
            • Barack Obama 19%
            • Rick Santorum 67%
            • Barack Obama 18%
            • Sarah Palin 61%
            • Barack Obama 18%
            Among Moderates
            • Barack Obama 56%
            • Mitt Romney 33%
            • Barack Obama 59%
            • Mike Huckabee 32%
            • Barack Obama 60%
            • Rick Santorum 29%
            • Barack Obama 64%
            • Newt Gingrich 27%
            • Barack Obama 68%
            • Sarah Palin 23%
            Among Men
            • Mike Huckabee 49%
            • Barack Obama 44%
            • Mitt Romney 46%
            • Barack Obama 43%
            • Barack Obama 46%
            • Rick Santorum 46%
            • Barack Obama 48%
            • Newt Gingrich 43%
            • Barack Obama 50%
            • Sarah Palin 39%
            Among Women
            • Barack Obama 49%
            • Mike Huckabee 40%
            • Barack Obama 48%
            • Mitt Romney 38%
            • Barack Obama 51%
            • Newt Gingrich 37%
            • Barack Obama 50%
            • Rick Santorum 35%
            • Barack Obama 53%
            • Sarah Palin 33%
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • Mike Huckabee 39% / 36% {+3%}
            • Mitt Romney 34% / 38% {-4%}
            • Rick Santorum 38% / 44% {-6%}
            • Newt Gingrich 29% / 53% {-24%}
            • Sarah Palin 34% / 59% {-25%}
            Among Republicans
            • Mike Huckabee 62% / 19% {+43%}
            • Mitt Romney 52% / 25% {+27%}
            • Sarah Palin 58% / 32% {+26%}
            • Rick Santorum 53% / 28% {+25%}
            • Newt Gingrich 53% / 29% {+24%}
            Among Independents
            • Mitt Romney 26% / 49% {-23%}
            • Rick Santorum 30% / 54% {-24%}
            • Mike Huckabee 21% / 57% {-36%}
            • Sarah Palin 28% / 67% {-39%}
            • Newt Gingrich 12% / 71% {-59%}
            Among Conservatives
            • Mike Huckabee 60% / 16% {+44%}
            • Rick Santorum 55% / 23% {+32%}
            • Sarah Palin 60% / 31% {+29%}
            • Newt Gingrich 51% / 25% {+26%}
            • Mitt Romney 44% / 27% {+17%}
            Among Moderates
            • Mitt Romney 34% / 39% {-5%}
            • Mike Huckabee 30% / 43% {-13%}
            • Rick Santorum 32% / 52% {-20%}
            • Newt Gingrich 18% / 67% {-49%}
            • Sarah Palin 21% / 72% {-51%}
            Among Men
            • Mike Huckabee 42% / 40% {+2%}
            • Rick Santorum 38% / 50% {-12%}
            • Mitt Romney 32% / 46% {-14%}
            • Newt Gingrich 32% / 55% {-23%}
            • Sarah Palin 35% / 58% {-23%}
            Among Women
            • Mitt Romney 37% / 31% {+6%}
            • Mike Huckabee 36% / 32% {+4%}
            • Rick Santorum 38% / 38% {0%}
            • Newt Gingrich 28% / 52% {-24%}
            • Sarah Palin 34% / 59% {-25%}
            Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
            • Approve 46%
            • Disapprove 49%
              Survey of 547 Pennsylvania voters was conducted January 3-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% Democrat; 43% Republican; 9% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 17% Liberal.

              Monday, January 03, 2011

              Poll Watch: Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

              Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey
              Republican Nomination
              • Chris Christie 27%
              • Mitt Romney 17%
              • Sarah Palin 16%
              • Mike Huckabee 14%
              • Mitch Daniels 5%
              • Tim Pawlenty 2%
              • John Thune 2%
              • Not sure/Other 18%
              General Election
              • Chris Christie 43%
              • Barack Obama 40%
              • Mitt Romney 41%
              • Barack Obama 41%
              • Barack Obama 42%
              • Mike Huckabee 39%
              • Barack Obama 41%
              • Tim Pawlenty 38%
              • Barack Obama 40%
              • Mitch Daniels 36%
              • Barack Obama 42%
              • John Thune 35%
              • Barack Obama 45%
              • Sarah Palin 38%
              Survey 2,073 likely voters, including a subset of 746 Republican likely voters, was conducted December 30, 2010 - January 3, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points; +/-3.7% among likely Republican voters.

              Inside the numbers:
              Christie leads among conservative Republicans with 28%, followed by Palin (18%), Huckabee (15%) and Romney (14%). Christie also leads among Born-Again Christians with 27%. He also does well with moderate Republicans (23%). Romney leads that group with 28%.
              Looking at age groups, Christie does best with those 18-29 (36%) and 30-49 (33%).

              Both Christie and Romney lead Obama among independent voters. For Christie, that margin is 42%-29%; and for Romney, 39%-31%. Of the listed Republicans, Palin does the worst against Obama among independents, losing 38%-32%.

              Obama loses to each of the Republicans among voters over age 65; and trails by the biggest margins to Romney (51%-38%) and Christie (49%-39%).

              Pollster John Zogby: "Christie's blunt talk about public employees and his aggressive actions on the New Jersey state budget have made him very popular both within the Republican Party and with independents. His style and appearance would present quite the contrast to that of the President. He adds not only an alternative governing philosophy, but also real efforts at cutting spending. If he decided to run, Christie could quickly oust Romney as the favorite of establishment Republicans. Our results are not good news for Palin. She isn't winning independents, and despite her star power with conservatives, she is not their first choice to take on Obama."