Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 46% {46%} [46%] (45%) {47%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [44%] (44%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {41%} [41%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 43% {46%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [38%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 41% {39%} [46%] (43%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [45%] (35%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [45%] (51%)
• Barack Obama 40% {43%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [38%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (40%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {49%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [47%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {39%} [41%] (39%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {39%} [38%] (39%)

College Degree

• Barack Obama 51% {51%} [49%] {50%} [45%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 41% {41%} [45%] {43%} [46%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (42%)

No College Degree

• Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [43%] {41%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [42%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% {45%} [45%] {46%} [41%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%)

Married

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 38%

Married Men

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 35%

Married Women 

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 42%

Single

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 34%

Single Men

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 38%

Single Women

• Barack Obama 60%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [42%] (47%) / 48% {49%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [53%] (47%) {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 37% {33%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [39%] (36%) / 41% {38%} [43%] (31%) {35%} [28%] (27%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?  

• Approve 45% {47%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [41%]
• Disapprove 49% {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [55%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 40% {38%} [41%] (33%) {37%} [32%] (32%)
• Disapprove 55% {56%} [55%] (61%) {60%} [64%] (62%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?

• Approve 47% {44%} [46%] (49%) {52%} [44%]
• Disapprove 44% {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [48%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling illegal immigration?

• Approve 39% (30%)
• Disapprove 52% (53%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?

• Approve 43% [40%]
• Disapprove 52% [56%]

Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Deserves reelection 47% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [42%] (42%) {47%} [46%] (43%)
• Does not 49% {49%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [54%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (49%)

Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Barack Obama's plans for the economy? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

• Strongly favorable 20%
• Somewhat favorable 24%
• Somewhat unfavorable 13%
• Strongly unfavorable 37%

Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney's plans for the economy? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

• Strongly favorable 14%
• Somewhat favorable 26%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Strongly unfavorable 29%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy?

• Mitt Romney 46% {47%} [45%] (46%) {43%} [49%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% {43%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [39%] (42%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would be better for your personal economic future, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 44%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 47% {46%} [43%]
  
• Mitt Romney 40% {40%} [43%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care?

• Barack Obama 45% {44%}
  
• Mitt Romney 44% {43%}

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration?

• Mitt Romney 45% {43%}
• Barack Obama 43% {39%}

Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 59% {60%} [49%]
  
• No 39% {36%} [49%]

Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not? 

• Yes 59% {61%} [55%]
  
• No 32% {24%} [24%]

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 56% {57%} [58%] [54%] (54%)
• No 41% {39%} [40%] [43%] (42%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 42% {44%} [40%] [43%]
• No 50% {43%} [50%] [35%]

Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not?

• Yes 79% {81%} {80%}
• No 16% {14%} {18%}

Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not?

• Yes 65% {63%} {61%}
• No 27% {24%} {22%}

Survey of 2,722 registered voters was conducted July 1-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 1.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {31%} [30%] (32%) Democrat; 27% {25%} [28%] (25%) Republican; 36% {38%} [33%] (35%) Independent; 6% {6%} [8%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 3, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.