Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2012 Senate Poll
  • Jon Tester (D) 48% (46%) {45%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [45%] (46%)
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 46% (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {47%} [47%] (48%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 4% (7%) {8%} [8%]
Among Independents
  • Jon Tester (D) 50% (45%) {45%} [41%] (48%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 37% (41%) {36%} [33%] (36%) {41%} [36%] (39%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 8% {15%} [18%]
  • Undecided 4% {5%} [8%] (16%) {13%} [8%] (12%)
Among Republicans
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 88% {78%} [88%] (85%) {85%} [86%] (88%)
  • Jon Tester (D) 7% {9%} [6%] (8%) {10%} [8%] (8%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 4% {8%} [4%]
  • Undecided 1% {5%} [2%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
Among Democrats
  • Jon Tester (D) 92% {88%} [89%] (90%) {86%} [86%] (92%)
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 6% {10%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (6%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 1% {1%} [3%]
  • Undecided 1% {1%} [1%] (3%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
Among Men
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 49% {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
  • Jon Tester (D) 44% {41%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (42%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 5% {11%} [10%]
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [1%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
Among Women
  • Jon Tester (D) 52% {48%} [47%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (49%)
  • Denny Rehberg (R) 43% {42%} [42%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
  • Dan Cox (L) 4% {6%} [6%]
  • Undecided 2% {4%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (6%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jon Tester’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% {42%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [51%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 46% {50%} [48%] (43%) {42%} [39%] (40%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Congressman Denny Rehberg’s job performance?
  • Approve 37% (40%) {41%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [44%]
  • Disapprove 54% (52%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {47%} [45%]
Survey of 836 likely Montana voters was conducted November 2-3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {36%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [39%] (38%) Republican; 32% {29%} [33%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 32% {35%} [33%] (37%) {35%} [30%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% {28%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [27%] Moderate; 26% {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% {20%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {15%} [13%] (16%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 11% {10%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

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